The New England Patriots just missed out on the playoffs last season, finishing with an 8-9 record. Their offense didn’t help their cause, averaging just 21.4 points per game.
With some new additions to their offense in hand, the Patriots hope to get back into the playoffs in what is a tough AFC East division.
Patriots Best Futures Odds
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NFL odds featured in this Patriots report were found at FanDuel Sportsbook and are current as of May 29, 2023, at 10 p.m. ET.
Patriots Win Total Odds
- Over 7.5 Wins (-105)
- Under 7.5 Wins (-115)
Patriots Win Total Bet: Under 7.5 (-115)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Patriots are already facing an uphill battle within their own division. The Buffalo Bills have the potential to be one of the best teams in the league and the Miami Dolphins also made the playoffs last season.
To top it off, the New York Jets finally stabilized their quarterback spot with Aaron Rodgers.
In addition to those difficult six games within their division, they also have the Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Chargers, and Kansas City Chiefs on their schedule. If their offense can’t make significant strides, they could have trouble keeping pace in many of those games.
Patriots Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (+250)
- Yes (-300)
Patriots Make Playoffs Bet: No (-300)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Lots of juice with this wager, but it still has an excellent opportunity to be a winning one. The Bills and Dolphins combined for 22 wins last season and both have excellent opportunities to make the playoffs again.
Even with the Jets struggling mightily at quarterback, they only had one fewer win than the Patriots. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Patriots come in last in their division.
Patriots Futures Prop Bets
Patriots vs Dolphins Series Correct Score: Series Tied at 1-1 (+100)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Last season, these two teams split the regular season series. Going back even further, they have split the season series in five of the last six years.
The one time that they didn’t was in 2021 with the Dolphins squeaking out a one-point victory in New England.
The Dolphins have the most talented roster of the two, but the Patriots are hoping to have a more scoring upside after adding JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mike Gesicki. The Patriots are also good at home, so look for these two teams to split the season series again.
Mac Jones Over 3,275.5 Passing Yards (-112)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
This number feels way too low. In his rookie season, Jones threw for 3,801 yards while playing in 17 games.
Despite being limited to 14 games last year due to injuries, he threw for 2,997 yards.
Smith-Schuster had a nice bounce-back campaign with the Chiefs last season, catching 78 of 101 targets for 933 yards. Going from Patrick Mahomes to Jones is a massive downgrade, but he and Gesicki help give Jones a favorable opportunity to reach this Over.
Patriots to Win Exactly 7 Games (+550)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
Historically, the Patriots have played well at home. The problem this season is that, in addition to their three home games against the tough teams in their division, they also play the Eagles, Chiefs, and Chargers at home.
Their road schedule isn’t much easier. They will play three road games against teams who had losing records last season, but one of them is against the Jets, who should be considerably better this year.
With all of that in mind, taking a chance on the Patriots to win exactly one fewer game than last season could be worth the potential reward.
Patriots Game Odds & Lines
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Patriots Best Player Prop Odds
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More AFC East odds: Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | New York Jets
How to Bet on Patriots Games in 2023
How to Bet Patriots Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Patriots are a (-200) favorite against the rival Jets, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If New England was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Patriots Moneyline Record: 8-9
How to Bet Patriots Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Patriots are 6-point favorites over the Colts, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Patriots -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Patriots would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
The Patriots didn’t have a great offense last year, and their defense played well, which contributed to the spread being 3.5 points or fewer in 12 of their 17 games.
- 2022 Patriots Against the Spread Record: 7-9-1
How to Bet Patriots Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Patriots games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Jones, Smith-Schuster, and the Patriots to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under.
- 2022 Patriots Over/Under Record: 8-9
