NBA MVP Odds 2023

Posted: Oct 3, 2022Last updated: Oct 3, 2022

Following one of the most impressive individual performances in NBA history, Denver Nuggets big Nikola Jokić rightfully earned his second consecutive MVP award for the 2021-22 season. The hyper-efficient center averaged 27.1 points, 13.8 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game and led an oft-injured Nuggets team to the playoffs.

Even still, Joel Embiid and Giannis Antetokounmpo were right on his tail. Embiid led the league in scoring at 30.6 points per game, while the Greek Freak averaged 29.9 points per game and was as dominant as we’ve come to expect.

Now entering the 2022-23 season, there are some familiar faces atop the list of favorites to bring home next year’s MVP award. Embiid, Antetokounmpo, and Jokic all find themselves near the top of the list, where they’re accompanied by a former MVP and a young superstar.

Below, I’ll share a look at the odds for next season and provide my best picks and predictions.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Betting Odds

FanDuel Sportsbook provides NBA lines for the 2023 NBA MVP, which are current as of Tuesday, Sept. 6, at 1 p.m. ET.

  • Luka Dončić (+450)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (+700)
  • Joel Embiid (+700)
  • Nikola Jokić (+1000)
  • Kevin Durant (+1000)
  • Ja Morant (+1100)
  • Stephen Curry (+1500)
  • Jayson Tatum (+1600)
  • Kawhi Leonard (+2300)
  • LeBron James (+2400)
  • Zion Williamson (+3000)
  • Devin Booker (+4000)
  • Trae Young (+4000)
  • Anthony Davis (+4600)
  • Jimmy Butler (+5000)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (+6000)
  • Anthony Edwards (+6000)
  • Damian Lillard (+6500)
  • Paul George (+6500)
  • Donovan Mitchell (+6500)

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Favorites

Luka Dončić, Dallas Mavericks (+450)

It’s only a matter of time before Dončić wins his first MVP. The 23-year-old superstar has already achieved so much for his age, and he’s cemented himself as one of the best players in the league. He also does a little bit of everything — Dončić averaged 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per game in 2021-22.

Dončić also has a new sidekick at his disposal coming into this season in Christian Wood, who only figures to make the game easier for him. His usage rate will remain sky-high, so expect Dončić to be in the MVP conversation all season long.

Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers (+700)

Embiid’s 2021-22 campaign was phenomenal, and in most other seasons, it would’ve been enough for him to win MVP. In addition to becoming the first center to lead the league in scoring since Shaquille O’Neal in 2000, Embiid also helped his Philadelphia 76ers earn the second-best record in the Eastern Conference.

Embiid will be in an identical situation next season. As his team’s best player and leader, the weight falls on his shoulders to lead Philadelphia back to a top seed in the standings. It’ll be hard to follow this past season in terms of scoring, but if he can exceed that, he’ll be a shoo-in to win his first MVP.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (+700)

In what was arguably his best season to date, Antetokounmpo recorded a career-high 29.9 points per game in 2021-22 to go along with 11.6 points and 5.8 assists. The evolution of his game continues to show in his passing ability, proving that he is far more than an uber-athletic seven-footer.

Historically great seasons from Jokic and Embiid kept Antetokounmpo from earning his third MVP. It’s plausible that another player exceeds expectations and beats him in next year’s MVP race, but the fact that Antetokounmpo seems to improve every season (and is one of the most likable players in the league) certainly helps his case.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Contenders

Nikola Jokić, Denver Nuggets (+1000)

Jokić’s case to win MVP this season isn’t as clear-cut as it’s been in the past. Not only does it seem unlikely that he’d be given the award in three consecutive seasons, but with Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. due back this year, his usage will inevitably decrease.

With that said, if Jokić can post another phenomenal campaign, it’s certainly possible for him to win a third MVP.  Voter fatigue is very real, but don’t expect them to ignore another streak of historic performances if Jokić breaks new ground in 2023.

Ja Morant, Memphis Grizzlies (+1100)

Morant finished seventh in MVP voting in 2021-22. That would’ve come as a huge surprise before the season began, but seeing as how he led the Grizzlies to the second-best record in the NBA and averaged 27.4 points per game, his place among the rest of the field was certainly warranted.

Unfortunately, Morant set the bar rather high for himself entering 2022-23. As the reigning Most Improved Player, it’ll be interesting to see how he elevates his game next season. If he proves capable, though, the numbers alone could be enough to earn him the MVP, regardless of his team’s standing.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Sleepers

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics (+1600)

Tatum was hardly expected to be one of the big names in the 2021-22 MVP race. However, he managed to finish in sixth place, thanks in part to leading the charge during the second half of Boston’s season. Tatum’s counting stats were great, too, averaging 26.9 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game.

At just 24 years old, Tatum still has plenty of room to grow. If he continues on his current trajectory, he could follow in the footsteps of players like Antetokounmpo and Durant and win his first MVP at a relatively young age.

Kawhi Leonard, Los Angeles Clippers (+2300)

This is a riskier pick given Leonard’s less-than-clean bill of health, but it may not be a bad one to make. The MVP award has historically been given to the best player on the best team, and Leonard has a chance to be that next season. Now healthy after missing the entire 2020-21 campaign, the two-way star will come out determined.

Leonard is hurt by the fact that he has Paul George at his side, who was a finalist to win MVP in 2019. But Leonard is the unquestioned No. 1 on this roster, and the league’s adoration for the silent superstar could help him win his first MVP award if he can lead the Clippers to one of the top spots in the West.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Prediction

Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks (+450)

Doncic is favored to win his first MVP award for a reason this year. The young superstar is a generational talent, and after ripping through the Phoenix Suns in the playoffs en route to the Western Conference Finals, he’ll be hungry for more in 2022-23.

Doncic will fill the stat sheet night after night and hold voters captive all season long. He’s bound to win one of these eventually, and this coming campaign seems like as good a time as any.


Garrett Chorpenning

Garrett Chorpenning is a Digital Content Coordinator for The Game Day. His previous work includes covering the LA Clippers for Sports Illustrated and FanSided.

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