NBA MVP Odds 2023

Posted: Jan 16, 2023Last updated: Jan 17, 2023

With the 2022-23 NBA season halfway complete, we’ve got an interesting MVP race on our hands. Not only are the usual faces involved, but a couple of young superstars find themselves near the top of the list as well.

Below, I’ll share a look at the updated odds for the award and provide my best picks and predictions.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Betting Odds

Caesars Sportsbook provides NBA lines for the 2023 NBA MVP, which are current as of Friday, Jan. 13, at 4 p.m. ET.

  • Nikola Jokić (+225)
  • Luka Dončić (+225)
  • Jayson Tatum (+425)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (+600)
  • Joel Embiid (+1000)
  • Kevin Durant (+1800)
  • Ja Morant (+2500)
  • Donovan Mitchell (+3500)
  • Stephen Curry (+4500)
  • Zion Williamson (+6500)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+10000)
  • Damian Lillard (+12500)
  • LeBron James (+12500)

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Favorites

Nikola Jokić, Denver Nuggets (+225)

Nikola Jokić has made a striking rise to the top of the leaderboard, and it’s not hard to see why. The two-time reigning MVP not only has the Nuggets sitting atop the Western Conference standings, but he’s making new strides with his game as well.

Jokić has long been the best passing big man in the league, but we’re now reaching a point where he should be considered the best passer — period. The 27-year-old has looked like Magic Johnson lately with the way he whips the ball around the floor.

Jokić’s counting stats are equally absurd. Through 38 games, he’s averaging 24.9 points, 11.0 rebounds, and a career-high 9.7 assists. He’s also converting at a 61.8% rate from the field, which is several points higher than his previous best mark of 58.3%.

If Jokić keeps this up, he could easily be looking at earning his third consecutive MVP.

Luka Dončić, Dallas Mavericks (+225)

Tied with Jokić atop the leaderboard is Luka Dončić, who has been a mainstay in the MVP conversation for some time now. Although his Mavericks have been inconsistent thus far, Dončić has stayed busy by stuffing the stat sheet on a nightly basis.

On top of leading the league in points per game (34.3), Dončić ranks fourth in assists (8.8) and 18th in rebounds (9.0). Notably, he’s the highest-ranked player in rebounds per game that isn’t listed as a center or power forward.

Dončić certainly has the individual statistics and accolades necessary to win the award. But if that alone isn’t enough, this Dallas squad will need to continue rising in the standings for him to truly be considered a lock.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Contenders

Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics (+425)

Once considered a longshot, Boston forward Jayson Tatum is one of the top contenders to win the NBA MVP award as of mid-January. It helps that his Celtics have the best record in the league to this point, but that isn’t the only reason why he sits atop the list.

Tatum is posting career-high marks virtually across the board this year. His 30.6 points and 8.2 rebounds are both new bests, while his 4.2 assists per game are right in line with what he’s accomplished over the past two seasons.

Through his first 41 appearances, Tatum has logged more games with 30+ points (22) than 20-29 (15) and 10-19 (4) combined. As the undisputed best player on the Association’s best team, he deserves to be in this spot.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (+600)

Should Tatum and the Celtics fall from the top spot in the Eastern Conference, we could easily see Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks rise up. In that case, the Greek Freak’s MVP odds would almost certainly shrink, too.

The two-time league MVP has put together a phenomenal first half, averaging a career-high 31.0 points to go along with 11.9 rebounds, and 5.3 assists in just 33.7 minutes per game. It’s incredible to see what he continues to accomplish despite playing less than 36 minutes each night.

There’s hardly a more likable superstar in the NBA today, and if Antetokounmpo keeps his astonishing figures up, it’ll be tough for voters to keep a third MVP trophy away from him.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Sleepers

Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers (+1000)

Joel Embiid‘s 76ers are several games behind behind the Celtics and Bucks in the Eastern Conference standings, but his dominance as a scorer simply can’t be overlooked. One year after leading the league in scoring with 30.6 points per game, Embiid is up to 33.5 through 30 appearances this season.

The 28-year-old big man’s season highlight has to be his near-quadruple-double performance against the Jazz, in which he logged 59 points, 11 rebounds, eight assists, and seven blocks in a seven-point victory.

If Embiid can lead the league in scoring again — or at least come close to doing so — he’ll deservedly remain a prominent figure in the MVP race.

Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers (+3500)

The Cavaliers have been a pleasant surprise this season, competing directly with the likes of the Celtics, Nets, and Bucks for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. Donovan Mitchell, who is in the midst of a career year, is a big reason why Cleveland has already been able to achieve so much.

The former Jazz guard is averaging a career-high 29.2 points per game in his first season with the Cavs, while his other counting stats (4.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 1.5 steals) are right in line with what we’ve come to expect from the perennial All-Star.

Mitchell’s MVP campaign can’t be discussed without touching on his 71-point, 11-assist performance in early January, which will undoubtedly go down as one of the greatest individual showings in NBA history. That alone should keep him in this race for a long time coming.

NBA 2022-23 MVP Award Prediction

Nikola Jokić, Denver Nuggets (+225)

Jokić is doing things that we’ve never seen another player of his size accomplish, and he’s making it look easy. If he and the Nuggets can maintain their current level of dominance, he’ll be a shoo-in to win his third-straight MVP award.


Garrett Chorpenning

Garrett Chorpenning is a Digital Content Coordinator for The Game Day. His previous work includes covering the LA Clippers for Sports Illustrated and FanSided.

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