Table of Contents

AL MVP Odds & Predictions 2022 | American League MVP Award Futures Bets

When projecting the AL MVP winner, you need to consider Wins Above Replacement (WAR). This is a metric that accounts for both offensive and defensive contributions, determining an overall value for a player.

Last season’s winner, Shohei Ohtani, put up 9.1 WAR (per Baseball-Reference), so we’ll be using that number as a benchmark to help forecast this year’s MVP race. With that in mind, let’s move on to the 2022 AL MVP candidates.

AL MVP Odds 2022

AL MVP MLB betting odds are current as of May 12, 2022, from Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Shohei Ohtani, DH/SP, Los Angeles Angels (+250)
  • Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels (+400)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 1B, Toronto Blue Jays (+600)
  • Aaron Judge, OF, New York Yankees (+850)
  • Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins (+1000)
  • Jose Ramirez, 3B, Cleveland Guardians (+1300)
  • Wander Franco, SS, Tampa Bay Rays (+2500)
  • George Springer, OF, Toronto Blue Jays (+4000)
  • Rafael Devers, 3B, Boston Red Sox (+4000)
  • Yordan Alvarez, OF, Houston Astros (+4000)
  • Anthony Rizzo, 1B, New York Yankees (+5000)
  • Luis Robert, OF, Chicago White Sox (+5000)
  • Ty France, 1B, Seattle Mariners (+6000)
  • Alex Bregman, 3B, Houston Astros (+8000)
  • Kyle Tucker, OF, Houston Astros (+10000)

The two preseason favorites remain the same, as Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout have gotten off to good starts with the Angels carrying a division lead. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up modest production by his standards, but he’s always capable of going on an absurd hot streak.

The biggest mover here is Byron Buxton, who has performed like one of the best players in baseball while on the field. If he can stay healthy and the Twins remain competitive, he’s firmly in play for the award. Aaron Judge has also seen his odds shift, as he’s been phenomenal for the first-place Yankees.


Sportsbook Play of the Day

Looking for a way to make AL MVP 2022 bets? You’re in luck: You can claim Caesars Sportsbook’s welcome bonus that grants you up to $1,100 in first-bet insurance when you use the code GAMEDAYCZR.

Read Chris Wassel’s Caesars Sportsbook review for more insight and get your welcome bonus below, or continue reading our AL MVP picks.

Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook

  • Intuitive App

  • Plenty of Markets & Bet Types

  • VIP Rewards System

Get up to $1,100 FREE

First Bet Insurance

GAMEDAYCZRGet bonus

New Customers Only, 21+. T&C’s Apply.


We see some value with power-speed hitters like Luis Robert and Kyle Tucker, who currently have underpriced odds in the latest update. It’ll be interesting to see if that shifts as the season progresses.

Let’s dive in to check out my 2022 AL MVP best bets.

AL MVP Prediction 2022

Byron Buxton, Minnesota Twins (+1000) at Caesars

My preseason pick of Buxton to win AL MVP is off to a good start, as his odds have moved from a longshot +4500 to one of the favorites at +1000. He’s been mashing home runs so far, but dealt with a few injuries and dodged a major bullet on one ailment that looked like it would force him out for a while.

If Buxton can stay on the field, we can project his odds to continue to shift in a positive direction. This is now one of the best hitters in baseball who also plays elite defense in centerfield while being a threat on the basepaths. When scouts say “five-tool player” this is exactly what they mean.

Player Prop

+1000

Byron Buxton: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $220

AL MVP Contenders 2022

Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Angels (+250) at Caesars

It’s no surprise that Ohtani has retained his pole position as the favorite for AL MVP. He has continued to perform as one of the premier sluggers in the sport while showing electric stuff on the mound en route to one of the most prolific strikeout rates in baseball.

One concern with taking Ohtani for MVP other than the short odds is that what if voters decide to give him the AL Cy Young instead, especially after he won MVP last year? Ohtani is firmly in play for this award as well, so it wouldn’t shock me to see him win that one while another player takes MVP this time around.

Player Prop

+250

Shohei Ohtani: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $70

Mike Trout, Los Angeles Angels (+400) at Caesars

While Trout now has a challenger for the best player in baseball title from his teammate Ohtani, the veteran superstar is in the midst of another fantastic season. To make things even better, the Angels are finally playing like a contending team, sitting near the top of the AL West.

All that Trout needs to do is stay healthy and he’ll be one of the finalists for this award. Wouldn’t it be something if voters decided to give Ohtani Cy Young and Trout MVP, making them the first teammates since Miguel Cabrera and Max Scherzer accomplished this feat with the Tigers back in 2013?

Player Prop

+400

Mike Trout: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $100

Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Toronto Blue Jays (+600) at Caesars

Vlad Jr. is among the best hitters in baseball, but because of his average defense and base-running, he needs to put up monster offensive production in order to be in consideration for this award. That hasn’t happened so far, which means that he’ll have to really pick up the pace to get back on track.

The Blue Jays have fallen short of expectations so far, but it’s early in the season and they’ve had to deal with injuries to notable players, like Teoscar Hernandez. Once we get into the dog days of summer, expect the ball to fly off the bat of this slugging first baseman.

Player Prop

+600

Vladimir Guerrero Jr: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $140


See the latest MLB futures odds and picks


AL MVP Sleepers 2022

Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (+850) at Caesars

Aaron Judge has absolutely carried the Yankees thus far in his contract year, smacking a bunch of home runs, including a clutch 3-run, walk-off shot that gave them a win over the rival Blue Jays. Judge has won this award before and remains a legitimate contender.

If the Yankees are able to surprisingly win the division and Judge hits 50 or more homers, he’ll have a chance to win AL MVP. The issue here is that this is a high bar to clear, but that’s what it’ll take when you have a player like Ohtani pitching like an ace and hitting like a slugger.

Player Prop

+850

Aaron Judge: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $190

Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox (+5000) at Caesars

Robert’s odds have shifted dramatically since the start of the season, as the White Sox have gotten off to a slow start. However, as of May 12, the dynamic outfielder had put up four home runs and six stolen bases, putting him on track for a 30-30 season.

While it’s going to be tough for him to contend for the award with such huge seasons from Ohtani, Trout, Buxton, and Judge, Robert has the skillset to put up a fight. He continues to improve as a hitter, once again trimming his strikeout rate this season. This is a budding superstar.

Player Prop

+5000

Luis Robert: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $1020

Kyle Tucker, Houston Astros (+10000) at Caesars

Tucker saw the biggest shift in his odds since the start of the season, now looking like a major longshot. However, this looks like a misprice that is an overcorrection for his slow start. Tucker has absolutely mashed in the month of May and is pacing for close to a 30-30 season.

He has a similar profile to Robert, but comes at twice the odds, making him a terrific value right now. While he’ll need to come close to 35-35 to knock off players like Ohtani or Trout, the young Astros outfielder is worth a look at this current price.

Player Prop

+10000

Kyle Tucker: To Win 2022 AL MVP

Caesars Sportsbook Welcome OfferGet Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance
Caesars Sportsbook Logo

Bet $20, Payout $2020

Related articles

Promotions

Welcome offer Caesars Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,100 in Bet Insurance

5 stars
Welcome offer BetMGM Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk-Free

5 stars
Welcome offer BetRivers Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $250 Free

5 stars
Welcome offer Betway Sportsbook promotion

Get Up To $1,000 Risk Free Bet

5 stars

Schedule & Odds

Top Offers

NBA Betting News

  • Mavericks vs. Warriors over/under listed at 215.5

    The over/under for tonight's matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Golden State Warriors is listed at 215.5, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The total for this contest sits at 215.5. 58 percent of the public action has come on the over.

  • Mavericks -1.5 vs. Warriors

    The Dallas Mavericks are -1.5 for their matchup against the Golden State Warriors, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The spread for this contest sits at -1.5, down from the -1 it opened at. 53 percent of the public action has come on the Mavericks to cover.

  • Warriors -10000 to win West

    The Golden State Warriors are -10000 to win the Western Conference, according to BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    The Warriors hold a commanding 3-0 series lead and are fully expected to advance to the NBA Finals. No team has ever overcome a 0-3 hole to win a Conference Finals series.

  • Warriors -143 to win NBA Championship

    The Golden State Warriors are -143 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    With the Western Conference Finals all but wrapped up with the Warriors holding a 3-0 series lead, Golden State has become the first team pegged with negative juice to win it all. Their odds will only see more movement prior to Game 4, and after they win the series, so those with designs on a Warriors future may want to take that into consideration.

  • Celtics +340 to win NBA Title

    The Boston Celtics are listed at +340 to win the 2021-22 NBA Championship, per BettingPros consensus odds.

    Betting Impact:
    Boston, back at the +340 they sat at prior to Game 2, has seen their championship odds hold steady despite their odds to win the East dropping from positive to negative juice. Boston was +180 prior to Game 3's loss.