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AL Cy Young Odds & Best Bets 2023

Last Updated: Sep 1, 2023

The top of the American League Cy Young race has talented names, but their performances are not as eye-popping as those in the National League.

There are still worthy candidates, but only a few appear to be separating themselves from the pack head of September’s final push.

Let’s take a look at the updated AL Cy Young odds.

AL Cy Young Odds 2024

AL Cy Young MLB betting odds are current as of Friday, Sept. 1, and courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Gerrit Cole, New York Yankees (-180)
  • Luis Castillo, Seattle Mariners (+260)
  • Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays (+1100)
  • Sonny Gray, Minnesota Twins (+1800)
  • George Kirby, Seattle Mariners (+3300)
  • Framber Valdez, Houston Astros (+3300)
  • Pablo López, Minnesota Twins (+5000)
  • Nathan Eovaldi, Texas Rangers (+5000)

Cole has the best odds of any pitcher in either league to win their respective Cy Young, but he, like the NL Cy Young odds favorite, should not be the winner despite being the odds-on favorite.


AL Cy Young Best Bet 2024

Luis Castillo (+260)

Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Castillo gets the nod over Gausman and Cole because his 2023 season has mirrored the second half of his 2022 campaign when he joined Seattle.

No matter how the Mariners were performing, Castillo was consistent, producing a strong enough K/BB ratio while keeping his ERA low. ERA is a flawed stat, but the fact that the 30-year-old continually throws in the high 2s and lower 3s speaks to his talent.

Castillo also can claim to pitching for the best team among the top candidates.

AL Cy Young Contenders 2024

Gerrit Cole, New York Yankees (-180)

Caesars Sportsbook

Cole and NL Cy Young favorite Blake Snell have one thing in common: they shouldn’t be favored to win Cy Young.

Cole is on pace for his worst season since 2017 with Pittsburgh. Aside from his 2023 ERA, his numbers mirror his last full season with the Pirates — a sub-10 K/9, a 2.3+ BB/9, and finishing with a WAR below 4.0.

Cole does have his lowest HR/FB and HR/9 since 2018, but that’s it. If voters rely on his current 12-4 record and ERA, they should lose their voting rights.

He should’ve won a Cy Young before 2023, but that does not mean he should get a lifetime achievement nod for his above-average campaign.

Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays (+1200)

BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units

The AL leader in FanGraphs WAR remains disrespected. Cole and Castillo are at least 1.1 points below Gausman in WAR and are dwarfed in their ability to miss bats and allow home runs.

Gausman’s ERA is why he remains lower in the odds, and I also understand if sportsbooks give Castillo and Cole a notch above Gausman for innings pitched; Cole has almost 19 more innings thrown in only two more outings.

Gausman has been the lynchpin of a disappointing Jays rotation in 2023, and without him, Toronto would not be in contention for the third Wild Card spot.


See the latest MLB futures odds and picks


AL Cy Young Sleeper 2024

Sonny Gray, Minnesota Twins (+1800)

Caesars Sportsbook

Gray won’t win, but the Twins have one of the best rotations in MLB with Gray as the face of the staff.

The veteran’s 0.34 HR/9 and 4.7 LOB% are hands-down the best among the AL Cy Young candidates, and he has the best ERA by 0.03 over Cole.

However, Gray has two knocks against him: low innings pitched and the highest walk rate among Cy Young odds leaders.

It’s great to see Gray succeed, but he’ll be a footnote in the Cy Young race.

Author

Jeff Hicks

Jeff is the Digital Content Coordinator at The Game Day. He has been covering sports in some fashion for a decade. He has been published on Yahoo Fantasy, 4for4, FantasyLabs, The Action Network, Bleacher Report, Daily Herald (IL), and numerous others. His first published piece was a poem in 8th grade, so naturally he progressed to sports writing.

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