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AL Cy Young Odds & Predictions 2022 | American League Cy Young Award Futures Bets

The AL Cy Young Award appears up for grabs in 2022.

Gerrit Cole is the only true big name who can realistically win with Justin Verlander returning from Tommy John surgery, Chris Sale sidelined to begin the season, and reigning winner Robbie Ray likely coming back to earth.

As such, this year’s award will likely go to a first-time winner again. Since 2007, Verlander and Corey Kluber have been the only repeat winners in the American League. The AL is typically a wide-open field, especially this year with some returning faces and new ones.

With that in mind, let’s go over our AL Cy Young predictions and best bets for the upcoming season.

AL Cy Young Odds 2022

AL Cy Young MLB betting odds are current as of March 30, 2022, from Caesars Sportsbook.

  • Gerrit Cole, SP, New York Yankees (+350)
  • Shane Bieber, SP, Cleveland Indians (+700)
  • Lucas Giolito, SP, Chicago White Sox (+800)
  • Robbie Ray, SP, Seattle Mariners (+900)
  • Chris Sale, SP, Boston Red Sox (+1400)
  • Justin Verlander, SP, Houston Astros (+2000)
  • Lance McCullers Jr., SP, Houston Astros (+2000)
  • Alek Manoah, SP, Toronto Blue Jays (+2500)
  • Kevin Gausman, SP, Toronto Blue Jays (+2500)
  • Jose Berrios, SP, Toronto Blue Jays (+2500)
  • Shane McClanahan, SP, Tampa Bay Rays (+2500)
  • Lance Lynn, SP, Chicago White Sox (+2500)
  • Sean Manaea, SP, Oakland A’s (+3000)
  • Frankie Montas, SP, Oakland A’s (+3000)
  • Dylan Cease, SP, Chicago White Sox (+3000)
  • Nathan Eovaldi, SP, Boston Red Sox (+4000)
  • Shohei Ohtani, SP/DH, Los Angeles Angels (+4000)

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AL Cy Young Prediction 2022

Lucas Giolito, Chicago White Sox (+800) at Caesars

Giolito is so good and consistent that people seem to forget about him when discussing the league’s best pitchers. He’s now earned Cy Young consideration in three straight seasons, compiling a 3.47 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, and an 11.1 K/9 over that span.

While he’s yet to actually win the award, it only feels like a matter of time. In addition to his insane strikeout rate, Giolito also pitches a good number of innings (170+ in each of his last three full seasons) and plays for a good team, which helps in the win department as well.

Giolito should have the second-best odds to win this award given the state of pitching across the league, so there’s a bit of value here at (+800), making this our MLB bet of the day.

Player Prop

+800

Lucas Giolito: To Win 2022 AL Cy Young

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AL Cy Young Contenders 2022

Jose Berrios, Toronto Blue Jays (+2500) at Caesars

Last year was the first time Berrios received Cy Young votes, which seems overdue considering that he’d already made a pair of All-Star teams. Similar to Giolito, Berrios remains underrated despite being one of the league’s best and most consistent pitchers over the last few years.

Berrios really took off after being traded from the Minnesota Twins to the Toronto Blue Jays last summer. Working with pitching coach Pete Walker seemed to help him find another gear, as he posted the best walk rate (1.7 BB/9) and strikeout rate (10.0 K/9) of his career following the trade.

If Berrios can maintain those improvements over a full season, he could emerge as a legitimate ace and end up winning the award. At 25-to-1, there’s a lot to like about this bet.

Player Prop

+2500

Jose Berrios: To Win 2022 AL Cy Young

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See the latest MLB futures odds and picks


Nathan Eovaldi, Boston Red Sox (+4000) at Caesars

Eovaldi is not exactly the Red Sox starter one would expect to see on a list of AL Cy Young contenders, but he is extremely worthy. He’s become the ace of Boston’s staff over the past two seasons with Sale’s injury woes and is coming off an outstanding 2021 that saw him earn Cy Young consideration, MVP votes, and an All-Star selection.

Eovaldi was at his best for the Red Sox down the stretch last year with the team fighting for a playoff berth. Over his final 10 regular-season starts, he posted a 3.04 ERA, a 2.85 FIP, and a 71:11 K/BB ratio over 56 1/3 innings, pitching Boston to an 8-2 record during those outings.

That hot streak wasn’t a fluke, either, as Eovaldi led the AL in FIP (2.79) for the entire season thanks in part to his career-high 195 strikeouts and an MLB-best 1.7 BB/9 rate.

Assuming he stays healthy, Eovaldi is a worthy longshot at (+4000) if he’s able to maintain his elevated performance for an entire season.

Player Prop

+4000

Nathan Eovaldi: To Win 2022 AL Cy Young

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AL Cy Young Sleepers 2022

Framber Valdez, Houston Astros (+10000) at Caesars

Valdez isn’t the most recognizable name, but he’s quietly developed into one of the league’s better pitchers with Houston over the past two years.

He’s become an elite ground-ball pitcher who led MLB with a 70.3% ground-ball rate last year — 9.4% higher than runner-up Logan Webb. It’s hard to do much damage as a hitter when you’re constantly pounding the ball into the dirt.

Valdez saw his walk rate nearly double from 2020, however, while his strikeout rate dipped from 9.7 K/9 to 8.4 K/9. If he can correct both of those trends while sustaining his exceptional ground-ball rate, he’s going to have a ton of success this year.

Player Prop

+10000

Framber Valdez: To Win 2022 AL Cy Young

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