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NL MVP Odds & Best Bets 2024

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
@FAmmiranteTFJ
Last Updated: Mar 19, 2024

The 2024 MLB season is here, so it’s time to dive in and find our favorite futures bets.

On this page, we’ll explore MLB AL MVP odds, including a favorite along with contenders and sleepers for the award.

So without further ado, let’s take a look at the NL MVP odds and best bets for the 2024 MLB season.

NL MVP Odds 2024

  • Ronald Acuña Jr, Atlanta Braves (+450)
  • Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers (+600)
  • Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers (+600)
  • Freddie Freeman, Los Angeles Dodgers (+800)
  • Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies (+1000)
  • Fernando Tatis Jr, San Diego Padres (+1000)
  • Matt Olson, Atlanta Braves (+1000)
  • Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+2000)
  • Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies (+2000)
  • Austin Riley, Atlanta Braves (+2200)

Ronald Acuña Jr. is the favorite to repeat as NL MVP, but the Braves’ superstar is a banged up with a knee injury. While Acuña is going to be ready for Opening Day, it’s hard to lay a bet on him to win the NL MVP while dealing with an injury before the year even begins.

It’s also difficult to go with Shohei Ohtani (+600). Not only is the dual-threat generational talent unable to pitch this year (UCL procedure), but there’s a risk that this has a negative impact on his hitting as well. We saw how Bryce Harper got off to a slow start last year due to an elbow injury.

It’s tough to roll with Trea Turner, even at (+2000) odds because the Phillies shortstop appears to be a bit on the decline, needing a massive second half to put up his usual numbers last season. Turner was only worth 3.8 WAR last year, so he’d need a huge jump to contend for this award.

With those three players removed from our list, it’s time to look at the favorite, contenders, and sleepers for the 2024 NL MVP award.

Odds are courtesy of as of March 18, 2024.

NL MVP Favorite

Fernando Tatis Jr, San Diego Padres (+1000)

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit

Fernando Tatis Jr. is my favorite bet for NL MVP because he’s poised for a bounce-back season after a down year in 2023 as he returned from a myriad of injuries.

Let’s not forget that this is a hitter who put up an absurd 21.3% barrel rate in 2021. For context, the 2023 league leader in this stat was Aaron Judge (27.5%).

Tatis Jr. has 40+ home run power along with the ability to steal 30+ bases. We’ve seen the Padres’ star worth as much as 7.3 WAR in only 551 plate appearances back in 2021.

With the Padres losing Juan Soto in a trade, the team will need to rely on Tatis to carry their offense in 2024.

If San Diego is able to contend for the NL West or at least lock in a playoff spot, you can bet that Tatis will be among the favorites for this award. At (+1000) odds, this is one of the best bets on the board.

NL MVP Contender

Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies (+1000)

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units

Bryce Harper had a down year in 2023 because he got off to a slow start in his quick return from Tommy John surgery.

But Harper put up an impressive 164 wRC+ in the second half, showing off the type of elite offensive ability that we’ve come to expect from the Phillies slugger.

Now a full-time first baseman, we could see the shift to a less-demanding position allow Harper to stay healthy for more plate appearances, which would have a positive impact on his overall production.

We’re also getting a terrific price on Harper at (+1000) odds, especially since he’s been worth as high as 9.3 WAR throughout his career.

Look for a big year from Harper, making him a great bet for NL MVP.

NL MVP Sleeper

Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+2000)

bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 units

While I’m a bit concerned that Corbin Carroll‘s shoulder issues could zap his power or cause him to miss time, this is a great price for NL MVP at (+2000) odds.

Let’s remember that this is a young hitter capable of putting up 25+ home runs and 60+ stolen bases.

As a rookie, Carroll was worth an astounding 6.0 WAR, so there’s a lot of upside here for the 23-year-old.

It’s also worth noting that the Diamondbacks clearly depend on their young superstar because their roster is not nearly as deep as other NL contenders.

If Arizona can build off last year’s trip to the World Series and stay afloat in the NL West, we could see Carroll in position for 2024 NL MVP.


See the Latest NL Futures Odds and Picks

Author

Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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