The NBA season is underway, and the Rookie of the Year race is heating up. This pool of this year’s youngest players is filled with tremendous talents, and plenty of them have put their full abilities on display in the early part of the year.
Here’s a look at the 2022-23 NBA Rookie of the Year odds and our favorite picks to bring home the award.
NBA Rookie of the Year Odds 2023
These NBA gameday odds are current as of Tuesday, Nov. 8, at 1 p.m. ET and courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Paolo Banchero (-700)
- Bennedict Mathurin (+750)
- Jaden Ivey (+3000)
- Keegan Murray (+4300)
- Jabari Smith (+10000)
- Shaedon Sharpe (+24000)
NBA Rookie of the Year Favorites
Paolo Banchero, F, Orlando Magic (-700)
It’s not even been a month, and Banchero has already completely blown the doors off of the Rookie of the Year race.
The 19-year-old already looks like an All-Star, averaging 23.5 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game. He’s also posted three double-doubles, including a 33-point, 16-rebound effort in a loss to the Kings on Nov. 5.
Already, this is Banchero’s award to lose. He doesn’t even need to keep playing this well. As long as he stays healthy, he’ll be the 2022-23 Rookie of the Year.
Bennedict Mathurin, G, Indiana Pacers (+750)
Before the season began, I predicted that Mathurin’s rookie campaign would look an awful lot like Donovan Mitchell‘s. As it turns out, I couldn’t have been more correct.
Here’s a side-by-side of their numbers from their respective rookie campaigns:
- Mitchell: 20.5 points, 3.7 rebounds, 3.7 assists, 43.7 FG%, 34.0 3PT%
- Mathurin: 19.4 points, 3.7 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 44.4 FG%, 40.3 3PT%
Mitchell has the slight edge in points and assists, but Mathurin has been far more efficient from three-point range than Mitchell was. That’s important in today’s era of basketball, too.
Unfortunately for Mathurin, a second-place finish in the Rookie of the Year race is likely as high as he’ll finish. He’s been terrific, but Banchero has still been better.
NBA Rookie of the Year Contenders
Jaden Ivey, G, Detroit Pistons (+3000)
If you haven’t watched Ivey play yet, I highly recommend doing so. The 20-year-old Purdue product is as electrifying a rookie as I’ve seen in years, and he’s been one of the few bright spots for a Pistons team that ranks near the bottom of the league in offense.
The efficiency hasn’t quite been there — Ivey has posted .438/.311/.727 shooting splits through his first 10 games — but he’s still averaging 15.0 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1.5 steals per game, which shows that he’s finding other ways to impact the game when his shot isn’t falling.
Ivey has future All-Star written all over him, even if he doesn’t come close to winning the Rookie of the Year award.
Keegan Murray, F, Sacramento Kings (+4300)
Murray wasn’t the flashiest pick at No. 4 overall, but the 22-year-old has gotten off to a solid start to begin his rookie season.
He’s taken a step back recently, but Murray is still averaging 12.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game. He’s a natural scorer with a nice outside shot, and he’s relatively smart with the ball when he’s got it in his hands.
With that said, he’s a longshot here for a reason. Murray hasn’t been nearly as impressive as Banchero or Mathurin, and I wouldn’t recommend betting on him at this time.
NBA Rookie of the Year Sleepers
Jabari Smith Jr., F, Houston Rockets (+10000)
Smith has a chance to have a long and successful NBA career. At 6-feet-10-inches with an efficient stroke from beyond the arc, Smith offers exactly the skillset that’s becoming more and more desirable in today’s NBA.
- Check out our 2023 NBA Finals Odds for more top NBA betting tips and picks.
However, he hasn’t quite found his rhythm yet with the Rockets. Smith is averaging just 10.0 points and 5.6 rebounds per game while shooting 30.3% from the field and 30% from three-point range. As such, he’s fallen quite far down the leaderboard.
Shaedon Sharpe, G, Portland Trail Blazers (+24000)
Sharpe has been fun and surprisingly efficient for the Trail Blazers, though the sample size has been pretty small. He has appeared in all 10 games, but he’s averaging just 20.2 minutes per game and saw his most consistent action in a handful of spot starts.
The future is bright for Sharpe, but Rookie of the Year simply isn’t in the cards.
NBA Rookie of the Year Prediction
Paolo Banchero, F, Orlando Magic (-700)
It’s Banchero, and it’s not particularly close. He’s already driven a chasm of distance between himself and the other contenders in this category, and that gap will only continue to widen as the season goes on.
Now, we just wait and see if Banchero gets an All-Star nod to go along with his inevitable Rookie of the Year award.