The Miami Dolphins found a way into the playoffs last season despite plentiful injuries at the quarterback position. They almost pulled off an upset against the Bills in the Wild Card Round despite Skylar Thompson starting at quarterback.
With Tua Tagovailoa set to begin the season under center, the Dolphins have their sights set on making a deeper run in the playoffs in 2023.
Dolphins Best Futures Odds
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NFL odds featured in this Dolphins report were found at FanDuel Sportsbook and are current as of May 29 at 3 p.m. ET.
Dolphins Win Total Odds
- Over 9.5 Wins (-110)
- Under 9.5 Wins (-110)
Dolphins Win Total Bet: Under 9.5 (-110)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The biggest question mark surrounding the Dolphins, ranked fifth in our NFL offense power rankings, is if Tagovailoa can avoid the concussion issues that ended his 2022 campaign prematurely. On paper, they have everything needed to be a very good team.
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are a stellar wide receiver duo, and the Dolphins bolstered their defense by acquiring cornerback Jalen Ramsey from the Rams. However, if Tagovailoa can’t stay on the field, their ceiling will be limited.
The Dolphins also have a difficult schedule, largely because of the strength of their division. The Bills have the makings of being special again, while the Jets improved at quarterback with the addition of Aaron Rodgers.
Their schedule also includes difficult road games against the Chargers, Eagles, and Ravens to go along with home games against the Chiefs and Cowboys. Another 9-8 record could be coming.
Dolphins Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (-110)
- No (-110)
Dolphins Make Playoffs Bet: Yes (-110)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Dolphins made the playoffs last year with a 9-8 record. Looking at the teams who didn’t make the playoffs in the AFC, the biggest threats to claim a spot over the Dolphins this season might be the Jets and Patriots.
With all of the talent on their roster and the addition of a capable backup quarterback in Mike White, the floor for the Dolphins is probably eight wins. If Tagovailoa stays healthy, a double-digit win total is within the realm of possibility.
Dolphins Futures Prop Bets
Tyreek Hill: Most Regular Season Receiving Yards (+900)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
Hill’s first season with the Dolphins couldn’t have gone much better, setting a new career high with 1,710 receiving yards. What’s even more incredible about that stat is that he did it with Tagovailoa missing four regular season games.
Hill seems like a man on a mission to prove that he doesn’t need Patrick Mahomes throwing him passes to be one of the best wide receivers in the league. With his explosive speed, even short passes can turn into big gains.
At these lofty odds, the risk could be worth the potential reward.
Dolphins vs Patriots Series Correct Score: 1-1 (+100)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Last season, these two teams split the regular season series. Going back even further, they have split the season series in five of the last six years. The one time they didn’t was in 2021, with the Dolphins squeaking out a one-point victory in New England.
The Dolphins have the most talented roster, but the Patriots hope to have a more explosive offense after adding JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mike Gesicki.
The Patriots are also very good at home, which is why I’m leaning toward these two splitting the season series again.
Exact Regular Season Wins: 9 (+550)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
Another bet with tantalizing odds. The Dolphins won nine games last year despite Tagovailoa missing so much time.
Down the stretch, they lost five of their final six games. Four of those came on the road against the 49ers, Chargers, Bills and Patriots.
With the Dolphins sporting another difficult schedule, it might be too much to ask for significant improvement, even if Tagovailoa stays healthy. They were lucky on the injury front outside of Tagovailoa, with Hill and Waddle playing 17 games each.
If either of them were to miss significant time, their offense suddenly doesn’t look as dangerous. Still, with their talent on both sides of the ball, they can overcome their schedule for another winning campaign.
Dolphins Game Odds & Lines
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Dolphins Best Player Prop Odds
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More AFC East odds: Buffalo Bills | New England Patriots | New York Jets
How to Bet on Dolphins Games in 2023
How to Bet Dolphins Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Dolphins are a (-200) favorite against the rival Jets, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If Miami was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Dolphins Moneyline Record: 9-9
How to Bet Dolphins Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Dolphins are 6-point favorites over the Patriots, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Dolphins -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Dolphins would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
Miami covered the spread in each of their first three games last season, then finished things out by also covering the spread in each of their final three contests. That included their three-point loss to the Bills in the playoffs.
- 2022 Dolphins Against the Spread Record: 10-8
How to Bet Dolphins Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Dolphins games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Hill, Waddle, and the Dolphins to put up a lot of points, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under. With two stellar wide receivers at Tagovailoa’s disposal, they could be looking at some hefty points totals.
- 2022 Dolphins Over/Under Record: 9-9
