EPL Relegation Odds & Predictions 2024

Last Updated: Mar 24, 2023

At the start of each campaign, all 20 Premier League teams have aspirations of winning the title, especially after Leicester City showed small clubs what was possible during their magical 2015-16 season.

However, by the middle of the year, things start to change. The top teams begin to separate themselves from the pack, leaving the bottom clubs in a fight for survival.

With the bottom three EPL teams getting relegated to the EFL Championship at the end of the season, surviving the drop is a must for clubs and their fan bases.

As we head into the final stretch of the 2022-23 campaign, there is no clear-cut favorite to be relegated as nine teams are separated by just four points at the bottom half of the table.

Premier League Relegation Odds

EPL relegation odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of Friday, March 24, at 2 p.m. ET.

TeamGames PlayedPointsRelegation Odds
Crystal Palace2827(+450)
Nottingham Forest2726(-110)
West Ham2624(-110)

While it doesn’t have a 100% track record, the magic number for staving off relegation is typically 40 points from 38 games.

With so many teams currently bunched up near the bottom, that mark feels very far away. As the weeks go on, every result plays a bigger factor in determining each team’s fate.

Let’s dive into our 2022-23 EPL relegation predictions.

Premier League Relegation Predictions

Bournemouth (-160) • DraftKings Sportsbook

In each of the last four seasons, at least one newly-promoted team has gone straight back down to the EFL Championship. Bournemouth managed to avoid that fate the last time they arrived in the Premier League, but I don’t have as much faith in the Cherries this time around.

Gary O’Neil‘s side has the worst defensive record in the league, having allowed 54 goals in 27 games. It also doesn’t have the luck of scheduling down the stretch as Bournemouth will travel to fellow relegation rivals Leicester, Southampton, Crystal Palace, and Everton over the final two months of the campaign.

The Cherries have collected just eight points from 14 road matches this season (two wins, two draws). If that away form doesn’t improve, especially in six-pointers against their relegation rivals, it’ll likely cost Bournemouth their spot in the Premier League.

Southampton (-300) • DraftKings Sportsbook

Southampton currently sit at the bottom of the table and have played a game or two more than the majority of teams in the bottom half. That doesn’t bode well for Rubén Sélles, the club’s third manager this season.

The Saints have scored just 23 goals in 28 games and seem overly reliant on midfield talisman James Ward-Prowse, who leads the team with seven goals, four of which have come from free kicks or penalties.

While Southampton have managed to pick up five points from their last four matches, the run-in seems daunting. The Saints still have to face Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Newcastle. Any points from those fixtures will be a bonus, so getting wins elsewhere will be key.

Nottingham Forest (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

Picking a third team to be relegated was particularly difficult, especially given the cluster at the bottom of the table right now.

Steve Cooper‘s side has a chance to survive thanks to its home form, having earned 20 of its 26 points at the City Ground. However, Forest’s remaining home fixtures come against Wolves, Manchester United, Brighton, Southampton, and Arsenal.

If they don’t beat Wolves and Southampton, it gets hard to imagine a path to safety for the Trees, especially since they’ve scored just four goals and have conceded 32 in 13 away games.

Premier League Relegation Sleepers

Wolves (+330) • DraftKings Sportsbook

After finishing comfortably in the top 10 three out of the past four seasons, Wolves find themselves in a true relegation dogfight for the first time since gaining promotion back to the EPL in 2018.

The Midlands have struggled to score goals all season long, only netting 22 times in 28 games, tied for last in the league. Injuries at the center forward position haven’t helped, but even when healthy, Raúl Jimenéz, Diego Costa, and Hwang Hee-chan haven’t contributed enough.

This squad has more than enough talent to stay in the Premier League, and the recent return of 23-year-old winger Pedro Neto could be enough to get them over the line. Still, manager Julen Lopetegui has his work cut out for him, especially as suspensions mount ahead of a tricky trip to Nottingham Forest coming out of the international break.

Crystal Palace (+450) • DraftKings Sportsbook

Palace, like Wolves, have just 10 games to play and are three points clear of the drop zone. However, their odds to stay up are more favorable because of their schedule, which features six consecutive matches against teams in the bottom half.

Theoretically, that gives the Eagles a great chance to put some distance between themselves and their relegation rivals over the coming weeks. However, it also gives those teams a chance to catch up.

Palace haven’t won a match in 2023 and made the decision to sack manager Patrick Vieira ahead of the club’s 4-1 defeat to Arsenal last time out. Former manager Roy Hodgson, 75, is set to take over following the international break in an attempt to keep the Eagles up.

While the new-manager bounce is certainly a thing, I could see this decision ultimately backfiring on Palace, especially if Hodgson doesn’t get a positive result at home against Leicester in Palace’s return to action April 1.

Palace’s odds to get relegated are the longest of the bottom nine, but I actually have more trust in Everton and Leicester to rescue themselves. At +450, this is definitely worth a flier.


John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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