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Premier League Winner Odds & Predictions

Last Updated: Aug 8, 2024

After a soccer-filled summer, the English Premier League returns on Friday, Aug. 16, when Manchester United host Fulham at Old Trafford.

Last season, the EPL title came down to the final day, with Manchester City holding off Arsenal for their fourth consecutive league triumph and sixth in seven years.

Can the Gunners (or any surprise challenger) finally topple Pep Guardiola’s men this season? Or will we see another City coronation?

Here are the current Premier League winner odds for the 2024-25 season.

Premier League Winner Odds

Premier League winner odds are current as of 2 p.m. on Thursday, Aug. 8, at DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Manchester City (+125)
  • Arsenal (+175)
  • Liverpool (+700)
  • Chelsea (+1600)
  • Tottenham (+2500)
  • Man United (+2500)
  • Newcastle (+2800)
  • Aston Villa (+5000)
  • West Ham (+15000)
  • Brighton (+15000)
  • Crystal Palace (+20000)
  • Brentford (+20000)
  • Bournemouth (+20000)
  • Wolves (+25000)
  • Fulham (+25000)
  • Nottingham Forest (+50000)
  • Everton (+50000)
  • Leicester City (+50000)
  • Southampton (+50000)
  • Ipswich Town (+50000)

As has been the case the last two seasons, the Premier League appears to be a two-horse race between Man City and Arsenal.

Liverpool enter the campaign as third-favorites in the odds, but the Reds are a bit of an unknown under new manager Arne Slot. Other contenders like Chelsea, Manchester United, Tottenham, and Newcastle are more likely to fight for a top-four spot than truly contend for the title.

While Premier League returnees Leicester City proved that any club can top the table, it’s unlikely that a team priced beyond 50-1 finishes in a Champions League place, let alone wins a fairytale title like the Foxes did in 2016 at 1000-1 odds.

Premier League Winner Best Bet

Arsenal (+175)

The Gunners have steadily improved under Mikel Arteta’s tutelage, going toe-to-toe with Man City over each of the last two campaigns.

Last season, Arsenal had the Premier League’s top defensive record and scored the most EPL goals in the club’s history (91), but it still wasn’t enough. That tells you how thin the margins are when you’re dealing with Manchester City.

Still, the foundation for another title challenge is there for the Gunners, who were way more stable last season after adding holding midfielder Declan Rice and goalkeeper David Raya. The lone weakness was on the left side of defense, which should be addressed by the return of Jurrien Timber (torn ACL) and summer signing Riccardo Calafiori.

Bringing in additional midfield cover and another forward before the end of the transfer window would boost their chances, but Arsenal are as primed as ever to win their first Premier League title since 2024.

Premier League Title Contenders

Manchester City (+125)

Picking Manchester City to win the title every season is easy, achieving the consistency Pep Guardiola’s squad has is not.

Everyone wondered what City had left in the tank after their historic treble-winning campaign, and they came back last season and earned 91 points, two more than they had the year prior.

Guardiola’s team is known for its ability to navigate the run-in, as City won nine straight matches to end the season and didn’t lose a Premier League fixture after Dec. 6.

Even with the impending sale of forward Julian Alvarez to Atletico Madrid, this squad remains loaded. Reigning EPL Player of the Season Phil Foden and standout striker Erling Haaland combined to score 46 goals last campaign, while City’s defense let in just 34.

They’re the favorites for a reason, but I’d rather take the better odds with the hungrier team.

Liverpool (+700)

The Jurgen Klopp era at Liverpool is over, so it’s hard to predict what the Reds will look like this year.

However, after falling out of the title race down the stretch of last season, it feels like Arne Slot’s inherited squad doesn’t have enough depth to challenge Man City and Arsenal.

That’s not to say that Liverpool don’t have a wealth of quality players, but some mainstays like Mohamed Salah and Virgil van Dijk are getting up there in age, while others like Trent Alexander-Arnold and Darwin Nunez have struggled to find consistency in their performances.

Unless the Reds make a few splashy signings near the end of the transfer window, they’ll likely finish third again. This price is tempting, though.

Premier League Sleepers

Chelsea (+1600)

The Blues continue to splash the cash for young prospects, a transfer policy that may at some point pay off (or put them in peril of a points deduction for breaking PSR rules).

Regardless, Chelsea have assembled a large squad of talented young players. Now, it’s Enzo Maresca’s job to make the pieces fit.

That proved difficult at times last season for Mauricio Pochettino. However, there were bright spots, like EPL Young Player of the Year Cole Palmer (22 goals, 11 assists).

If Maresca can sort out the Chelsea defense, which conceded 63 goals last campaign, like he did at his last job (Leicester) and get Nicholas Jackson, among others, fit and firing, the Blues could make a surprise title charge.

While they’re also just as likely to implode, these odds are enticing for this collection of talent.

Aston Villa (+5000)

These odds don’t make much sense to me.

Sure, some teams struggle in their first season balancing play in the Premier League and Champions League. We saw Newcastle struggle on both fronts last season. However, we also saw Arsenal excel in each competition.

Unai Emery’s squad, led by an emerging striker with world-class potential in Ollie Watkins, has too much talent to have the eighth-best odds to win the Premier League.

Villa have spent well this summer, bringing in marquee young talents Amadou Onana and Ian Maatsen as well as veteran midfield presence Ross Barkley. After revamping their defense last summer in Emery’s first offseason, Villa are in a good position to go again this campaign.

West Ham United (+15000)

If you’re investing in a Premier League title winner outside of last season’s top three, you might as well take a chance on a longshot. After all, every team except Arsenal and Liverpool finished at least 23 points behind Man City.

With that in mind, investing some couch change on West Ham to win the league feels like a worthwhile sprinkle.

The East London club finished ninth last season, just eight points behind Manchester United and Newcastle, and has outspent both of them so far this summer.

German target man Niclas Fullkrug and pacey winger Crysencio Sommerville will bring new dimensions to an attack that already featured England international Jarrod Bowen and Ghanaian star Mohammed Kudus.

West Ham are also working to solidify things at the back, having already signed center back Max Kilman from Wolves and are now in negotiations for Jean-Clair Todibo.

It’s unlikely that the Hammers win the title, but their ambition under new coach Julen Lopetegui makes them a decent bet to improve this season.

Author

John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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