Premier League Winner Odds & Predictions

Last Updated: Aug 11, 2023

The English Premier League is widely heralded as the most competitive domestic league in the European soccer landscape, and that is proving to be the case once again this season.

Manchester City won their third straight title in 2022-23 on the back of Norwegian striker Erling Haaland. In addition, the Sky Blues enter this season as the reigning UEFA Champions League winners and defending champions of the FA Cup.

Can anyone stop Pep Guardiola’s juggernaut? Or can Manchester City continue their reign of dominance?

Here are the current Premier League winner odds for the 2023-24 season.

Premier League Winner Odds

Premier League winner odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook and are current as of Tuesday, July 25, at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Manchester City (-150)
  • Arsenal (+450)
  • Liverpool (+800)
  • Manchester United (+1000)
  • Chelsea (+1200)
  • Newcastle (+1600)
  • Tottenham (+4000)
  • Brighton (+5000)
  • Aston Villa (+12500)
  • West Ham (+20000)
  • Brentford (+25000)
  • Fulham (+50000)
  • Crystal Palace (+50000)
  • Nottingham Forest (+50000)
  • Wolverhampton (+50000)
  • AFC Bournemouth (+50000)
  • Everton (+50000)
  • Burnley (+75000)
  • Sheffield United (+75000)
  • Luton Town (+300000)

As mentioned above, Manchester City enters the season as the clear favorite to repeat as champions. In addition, the remaining clubs listed in the top 10 come as no surprise, with Arsenal coming in at an enticing +450.

Premier League Winner Prediction

Manchester City (-150)

The Citizens became even more dangerous last season after they fell into a groove with Haaland up front. Guardiola’s new attacker ran away with the Golden Boot after scoring an incredible 36 EPL goals.

City enters the 2023-24 campaign with the same depth that we have become accustomed to seeing from the reigning champions, and it would be difficult to predict a different winner until another club proves otherwise.

Premier League Title Contenders

Arsenal (+450)

The Gunners made a serious run for the title last season, spending 248 days on top of the table. Unfortunately, they set a dubious record in the process of being the team to spend the most time in first place without winning the league.

However, Arsenal reloaded for the 2023-24 campaign, adding former Chelsea forward Kai Havertz and world-class midfielder Declan Rice.

Mikel Arteta returns an impressive attack led by Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka, Martin Ødegaard, and Gabriel Martinelli.

The real question is whether or not this roster can handle the Premier League with the added pressure of a Champions League schedule.

Liverpool (+800)

Liverpool is coming off one of their most disappointing seasons in years but remains just a season removed from nearly winning the Premier League.

Jürgen Klopp’s side finished the season on a nine-match winning streak, finishing fifth in the table.

After the additions of Dominik Szoboszlai (RB Leipzig) and Alexis Mac Allister (Brighton), it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Reds spring back toward the elite this season without the burden of a Champions League schedule.

Manchester United (+1000)

Erik ten Hag more than proved his worth during an impressive first season in the Premier League. The Red Devils reached the final of the FA Cup and were crowned winners of the League Cup.

The Red Devils replaced goalkeeper David De Gea with André Onana (Inter Milan) but will need a repeat performance from breakout forward Marcus Rashford if they are unable to sign a striker.

However, after acquiring Mason Mount from Chelsea, they should receive a boost in their midfield, giving ten Hag more options on match day.

Premier League Title Contenders

Chelsea (+1200)

The Blues are coming off an embarrassing 2022-23 season that saw them go through three different managers in Thomas Tuchel, Graham Potter, and Frank Lampard, under a new ownership group led by Todd Boehly.

However, Chelsea remains determined to right the ship in a hurry after the offseason firesale of excess players in addition to a youth movement on the pitch.

New manager Mauricio Pochettino has a talented crop of players to utilize, including newly acquired Christopher Nkunku and Nicolas Jackson, in addition to Reece James, Enzo Fernández, Mykhailo Mudryk, Cesare Casadei, Ben Chillwell, Malo Gusto, along with veterans Raheem Sterling and Thiago Silva.

The Blues may not be ready to challenge for the EPL title this season, but at +1200, it could be worth a speculative wager considering their talent and resources.

Newcastle (+1600)

The Magpies have enough resources to buy their way into title contention, but instead, they have managed to earn their way to the top due to the quality approach of manager Eddie Howe.

However, after losing Allan Saint-Maximin to Al Ahli (Saudi Arabia), they enter the season without a key player. That said, Newcastle has secured the services of Harvey Barnes (Leicester City) to ease the burden.

Newcastle is more likely stuck in the battle for top-6 or even top-4 this season, but they are in a fine position to threaten for a league title in years to come.


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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