Premier League Top 4 Odds & Predictions 2023 | EPL Top-4 Finish Betting Picks

Last Updated: Mar 24, 2023

The Premier League title has all but come down to a race between Arsenal and Manchester City. However, there is still a tight race to claim a spot in the Top 4, and the Champions League invitations that come with it.

There are currently a handful of teams vying for the last two positions near the top, with Manchester United sitting comfortably in third place.

Will there be a club to rise up and make a surprise run at the end of the season? Or will Newcastle, Tottenham, and Liverpool battle back and forth until the end?

Let’s look at the odds for a Top 4 Finish in the Premier League.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds

EPL odds are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook and are current as of Friday, March 24, at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Manchester United (-650)
  • Newcastle United (+110)
  • Tottenham Hotspur (+160)
  • Liverpool (+220)
  • Brighton (+450)
  • Chelsea (+3300)
  • Brentford (+5000)
  • Fulham (+8000)

Premier League Top 4 Finish Best Bet

Liverpool (+220) • BetMGM Sportsbook

JĂĽrgen Klopp‘s squad has turned a corner and is a legitimate threat to reach the Top 4 after a disastrous start to their season.

The Reds have finished third or higher in each of the previous four seasons and are starting to show glimpses of being the dangerous juggernaut clubs have come to fear.

It was only recently that Liverpool ousted Manchester United 7-0 in a statement win. In fact, the Reds put together a run a five straight clean sheets, collecting 13 points from a possible 15 before losing their momentum against Bournemouth.

Liverpool may have some holes on the defensive side of the pitch, but they sit as the best value on the board to reach the Top 4 due to their dangerous offense led by Mohamed Salah, Darwin Núñez, Roberto Firmino, Luis Díaz, and Cody Gakpo.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Contenders

Manchester United (-650) • BetMGM Sportsbook

Erik ten Hag has the Red Devils in such fine form that it once looked as if they were going to challenge Arsenal and Manchester City at the top of the table.

However, those aspirations seem a bit unrealistic at the moment. That said, Manchester United seems like a lock for a spot in the Top 4 in the Premier League after already claiming the EFL Cup.

Bruno Fernandes sits second in the EPL with passes breaking the defensive line (25), while Marcus Rashford continues to be a revelation in the attacking third.

Unfortunately, they come saddled with a ridiculous amount of juice (-650), which makes betting on the Red Devils a wasteful proposition.

Newcastle United (+110) • BetMGM Sportsbook

After a brief lull following the winter break, Eddie Howe has Newcastle back on track to compete for a spot in the Top 4.

In fact, as of March 24, the Magpies sit in third place in points per game and goal differential.

It was widely expected that Newcastle would be a strong contender in years to come under their new ownership, but they appear to have arrived ahead of schedule.

Allan Saint-Maximin leads the Premier League in dribbles per possession, attempting to beat defenders one-on-one almost every chance he gets. Hopefully, the eventual return of attacking midfielder Miguel AlmirĂłn (thigh) will help spark their efforts for a spot in the Top 4.

Tottenham Hotspur (+160) • BetMGM Sportsbook

Tottenham are in a challenging situation due to the public complaints of Antonio Conte. In fact, it is a real possibility that by the time you read this article, Spurs may have a new manager.

The bottom line is that Tottenham have been underwhelming since the World Cup, which falls in line with the reputation that Spurs have been saddled with.

It still seems difficult to dismiss a talented club led by superstars such as Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min, but with a vast array of behind-the-scenes issues, you are better off putting your money elsewhere.

Premier League Top 4 Finish Sleeper

Brighton (+450) • BetMGM Sportsbook

If you consider games in hand, Brighton are sitting in the top five as of March 24.

Roberto De Zerbi has done an outstanding job stepping in for Graham Potter.

The Seagulls rely upon a full team effort to compete with strong performances from Leandro Trossard, Moisés Caicedo, Solly March, Alexis Mac Allister, and Kaoru Mitoma.

The only question is if they can survive their quest for the Top 4 with remaining matches against Tottenham, Chelsea, and Manchester City. If they do, they will be in great shape, especially if you consider they have a game in hand over every team above them in the standings.


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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