NFL Survivor Week 1 Rankings

Last Updated: Sep 7, 2023

A new NFL season means a fresh, unblemished NFL Survivor pool. What a magnificent sight.

Last year, the Survivor chaos started early. Huge favorites fell early and often, and the impact on Survivor pools was instantly significant.

Will we see a similar development in 2023? Or will the madness come later?

Regardless, we are here to provide weekly guidance on the Survivor front, giving picks and insight for each week of games.

Survivor Week 1 Best Picks

Washington Commanders vs Arizona Cardinals

There won’t be an abundance of opportunities in this year’s NFL Survivor pools to use the Commanders, although this feels like one of them.

The Cardinals are without Kyler Murray and openly tanking, which is why this road trip could be an ugly one. While I am not completely sold on QB Sam Howell yet, he’s got talent and plenty of options on offense to keep the scoreboard moving.

This will be a popular selection. Given what we’ve seen from Arizona, we have to fade while we can.

Use our NFL Eliminator tips to place bets with the top NFL odds:

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

As far as debuts go, it doesn’t get much tougher for C.J. Stroud.

No, this isn’t an elite Baltimore defense. It does have the potential to be great, however, and this is also a tricky environment to play in.

Lamar Jackson has weapons, and I am fascinated to see how much rookie wideout Zay Flowers gets involved. In this game, it probably won’t matter who catches the ball.

A healthy Baltimore is a better Baltimore, as the point spread would indicate.

(Our NFL Week 1 best bets include hammering the Ravens against the spread.)

Survivor Week 1 Rankings Grid

1Dallas Cowboys@ Arizona CardinalsA+
2Kansas City ChiefsChicago BearsA+
3Jacksonville JaguarsHouston TexansA
4San Francisco 49ersNew York GiantsA
5Baltimore RavensIndianapolis ColtsA
6Miami DolphinsDenver BroncosA-
7Buffalo Bills@ Washington CommandersB+
8Seattle SeahawksCarolina PanthersB+
9Philadelphia Eagles@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersB
10Detroit LionsAtlanta FalconsB
11Cincinnati BengalsLos Angeles RamsB
12Cleveland BrownsTennessee TitansB-
13Green Bay PackersNew Orleans SaintsB-
14Las Vegas RaidersPittsburgh SteelersB-
15New York JetsNew England PatriotsB
16Minnesota VikingsLos Angeles ChargersB
17Los Angeles Chargers@ Minnesota VikingsB-
18New England Patriots@ New York JetsB-
19Pittsburgh Steelers@ Las Vegas RaidersC+
20New Orleans Saints@ Green Bay PackersC
21Tennessee Titans@ Cleveland BrownsC-
22Los Angeles Rams@ Cincinnati BengalsC-
23Atlanta Falcons@ Detroit LionsD+
24Tampa Bay BuccaneersPhiladelphia EaglesD
25Carolina Panthers@ Seattle SeahawksD-
26Washington CommandersBuffalo BillsD+
27Denver Broncos@ Miami DolphinsD
28Indianapolis ColtsBaltimore RavensD-
29New York Giants@ San Francisco 49ersD-
30Houston TexansJacksonville JaguarsD-
31Chicago Bears@ Kansas City ChiefsF
32Arizona CardinalsDallas CowboysF

Survivor Week 1 Sleeper

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

Again, we’re fading a rookie quarterback. While I am a huge fan of Bryce Young’s future, it could be tough sledding for a while. This roster has been gutted, and it’s going to take time.

Atlanta certainly has question marks, starting with quarterback Desmond Ridder. The surrounding cast has intriguing weapons, and it should be too much for Carolina to deal with.

It’s not a huge spread, although I’m comfortable with that. If you’re feeling confident in Week 1, it’s an option.

Survivor Week 1 Team To Save For Future

Philadelphia Eagles @ New England Patriots

The Super Bowl runner-up starts the season with a slippery road game against the Patriots.

Although we don’t know exactly what kind of team Bill Belichick will have in such a loaded division, this is not the ideal start to the season for the Eagles.

Beyond this individual game, Philly will play the Vikings, Buccaneers, Commanders, and Rams over the next six weeks. That’s a nice way of saying better opportunities await.

Patience, my friend.

Survivor Week 1 Chalk Team That Could Lose

San Francisco 49ers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

While San Francisco is largely considered one of the favorites to come out of the NFC, this is a difficult road trip to start the year. We’ll see how Brock Purdy fairs in his first game back from surgery and how a defense that is currently without Nick Bosa will compete.

On the Pittsburgh side, Kenny Pickett looks to be gaining momentum, and George Pickens looks like one of the best young wideouts in the NFL. Time will tell if that’s the case, although the oddsmakers seem to think so based on such a short line.

I’m staying far away from this one.

Read our full 49ers vs Steelers betting guide.


Adam Kramer

Adam Kramer is an NFL, college football, and gambling analyst for The Game Day. While college football has long been his calling, he’s also covered sports such as boxing, horse racing, and baseball at The Game Day and in other places. He’s also written for Bleacher Report, VSiN, and various other outlets over the past decade-plus.

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