After one of my strongest weeks of the season, I still managed to break even in my player prop selections in Week 14. For the second consecutive week, I hit on a DraftKings weekly special, as Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf both scored one TD each at +350.
As we look ahead to NFL Week 15, I am hooking on with some of the best offenses in the league, while looking for the Jets to produce enough offense to help us head to the pay window.
Scott Engel 2022 NFL Prop Betting Record: 70-106 (-55 Units)
Before reading Scott’s picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Week 15 player props:
NFL Player Props Week 15
NFL Week 15 odds used for prop bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and are current as of Friday, Dec. 16.
Week 15 NFL player prop bets will be out later this week. For now, I’m eyeing these player prop bets:
Dak Prescott: Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Jaguars
WAGER: 2 Units
The Cowboys rank eighth in run-to-pass ratio, running the ball 49.3 percent of the time on offense. Still, the Dallas offense is balanced and explosive enough to assure that Prescott has a good chance to sail past the projected yardage total.
Prescott has passed for 260-plus yards in four of his past five games. Jacksonville ranks 28th in the NFL in passing yards per game allowed.
Mike Williams: Over 65.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Titans
WAGER: 2 Units
Williams is healthy again and ready to roll up good numbers in a highly favorable matchup. In Week 14, the Chargers’ WR caught all six of his targets for 116 yards,
The Titans lead the AFC in receiving yards allowed to WRs. Williams should easily soar past the projected yardage total.
- Check out the latest NFL Week 15 Odds for more on the upcoming slate of games.
Jalen Hurts 1+ Rushing TD, Miles Sanders 75+ Rush Yards (+275) at Bears
WAGER: 1.5 Units
This is my attempt to cash in on a DraftKings weekly special for a third consecutive week, and I like the matchup for both Hurts and Sanders to do significant damage. Weekly specials are obviously gutsy wagers, but there are good reasons to strongly support this Philadelphia play as a Week 15 NFL bet.
Chicago ranks 27th in rushing yards allowed to RBs, and it has allowed five rushing TDs to QBs, second-most in the NFL. Hurts has rushed for a TD in four of his past five games, and Sanders has rushed for 140-plus yards in two of his past three games.
Michael Pittman: Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Vikings
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Colts’ best wide receiver should get past the projected number against the league’s worst pass defense. The Vikings have allowed the most receiving yards to WRs this season.
Regardless of the game script, this wager looks promising for Pittman. If the Colts are staying in the game, he can be a significant contributor in the offensive mix, and Pittman can also augment his yardage totals if Indianapolis is operating in catch-up mode.
D’Onta Foreman: Longest Rush Over 14.5 Yards (-115) vs Steelers
WAGER: 1 Unit
Carolina exhibited a full-blown RB committee approach in a Week 14 win at Seattle, but Foreman is still the clear leader in terms of carries. He had 21 attempts against the Seahawks and when he gets into a rhythm, Foreman can deliver a few sizable gainers.
Foreman has long rushes of 18-plus yards in four of his past seven games, including a 60-yarder. The Steelers rank 29th in rushing yards allowed to RBs over the past four weeks.
Zonovan Knight: Anytime TD Scorer (+125) vs Lions
WAGER: 1 Unit
Mike White (ribs) is out, so the Jets are going to lean on Knight a lot after he rushed for his first pro TD in his third game played last week.
Detroit has improved in all facets recently, but they have not played a true road game since Week 11 and allowed Matt Breida to rush for a TD in a matchup with the Giants. The Lions have still allowed 13 rushing TDs to RBs overall, which ranks 28th in the NFL.
NFL Prop Bets Week 15
Cowboys vs Jaguars: DAL Over 26.5 Total Points (-110)
WAGER: 2 Units
Dallas has vaulted over this projected total in its last six games. The 27 points they scored last week was their lowest point total during that span.
Jacksonville has allowed 27-plus points in three of its past four games.
Eagles vs Bears: PHI Over 3.5 Total TDs (+100)
WAGER: 1.5 Units
The Philadelphia offense has been overwhelming opponents in its last three games, scoring 35-plus points every week. The Chicago defense has allowed 27-plus points in every game during a six-game losing streak.
The Bears have the worst rushing defense in the league, and the Eagles have the second-best rushing offense in the NFL.
Steelers vs Panthers: PIT 11-20 Total Points Band (+130)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Steelers will have trouble scoring points no matter who starts at quarterback this week. They have scored fewer than 20 points in two consecutive games.
Carolina has held three of its last four opponents to under 16 points. Last week, the Panthers’ running game allowed them to dominate time of possession (39:16) and they can certainly keep the Steelers’ offense off the field for significant portions of the day.
Colts vs Vikings: Over 5.5 Total TDs (-105)
WAGER: 1 Unit
Minnesota has scored 94 points in its past three games, but they also have the worst defense in the NFL. The Colts allow 22.9 points per game, which already puts the Vikings in three-TD range as a floor.
Indianapolis has failed to crack the 20-point mark in its last three games, but Minnesota has not allowed fewer than 22 in its last five. If the Vikings blow out the Colts, they will stack up their TDs quickly and the Colts can add more TDs in garbage time.
Chiefs vs Texans: KC To Cover -7.5 Spread, 1st Half (-115)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Texans threw a big scare into the Cowboys last week, and after seeing the game film, the Chiefs will come ready to stomp out the Texans quickly. Houston will also be without its most important offensive player, Dameon Pierce (ankle injury).
Kansas City is the third-highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 15.2 points per game. Houston averages 7.5 points per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL.
Lions vs Jets: NYJ Over 21.5 Total Points (-110)
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Lions have allowed 37 points in their last two games, but they play better at home and allow 25.8 points per game on the road. Zach Wilson is going to start at QB for the Jets, but there is hope that he can play better after being benched.
The Jets obviously won’t be able to muster the same amount of points they would if Mike White (ribs) was available, but they will have to score enough to stay ahead of Jared Goff, who can certainly direct the Lions within the 20-point range.
