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NFL Prop Bets Week 15

Last Updated: Dec 15, 2023

Once again, a close and agonizing result last week prevented me from finishing a slate with an outright winning record. I recommended the Bills to finish in the 21 to 30 total points band against Kansas City, and they scored 20 points.

A 5-5 week could have been a winning one, yet I must look ahead now. The bad weeks are behind me as I aim to continue improving on a 53-66 overall record.

For more ways to cash out, examine our NFL Week 15 Predictions and Best Bets.

Week 15 NFL Prop Bets

NFL Week 15 odds used for prop bets are current as of Friday, Dec. 15.

Browns vs Bears: CLE Records First Sack (-120)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Chicago has the second-worst pass-blocking grade on Pro Football Focus for Week 15. The Bears have allowed 38 sacks, sixth-most in the NFL, and Myles Garrett is a terror as always, having racked up 13.5 sacks this season.

Justin Fields has been sacked three-plus times in all but one game this season, and he will be in danger of taking coverage sacks against a defense that ranks first in passing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks. Fields also appears on my rundown of Week 15 fantasy football busts.

Bengals vs Vikings: CIN First Score/Moneyline (+150)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Nick Mullens is a decent NFL backup QB, but Jake Browning has looked like a Brock Purdy-type as a starter so far and will do a better job of moving his offense.

Mullens does have receiving weapons, so the Vikings won’t be held without a TD again, but Cincinnati should take care of business at home from start to finish.

Ravens @ Jaguars: BAL Over 24.5 Points (+136)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

When we consider that Baltimore has scored 30-plus points in six of its last seven games, and Jacksonville has allowed 30-plus in its last two games and three of its past five, you can wager even higher on the Over for Ravens points if desired — potentially up to (+275) for Over 29.5.

Back the Ravens to keep up the healthy scoring with your NFL bet of the day.

Seahawks vs Eagles: Longest TD Over 40.5 Yards (-110)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

These teams can leak big plays, as Philadelphia’s pass defense ranks 29th and Seattle’s ranks 25th. The Eagles are seventh in the NFL in passes of 25-plus yards on offense, while the Seahawks rank eighth.

Philadelphia has allowed an NFL-high 23 receiving TDs to WRs, and DK Metcalf is the biggest threat among three potent Seattle WRs who can burn the highly vulnerable Eagles secondary. Over the last four weeks, the Seahawks have allowed the second-most receiving yards and third-most receiving TDs (five) to WRs.

Kenneth Walker III can score from anywhere on the field, and the Eagles rank 27th in rushing yards allowed to RBs over the past four weeks. The Seahawks have allowed the second-most rushing yards to RBs during that span, so it wouldn’t be a shock to see D’Andre Swift resurface for a sizable TD run this week.

Jump in on more Seahawks-Eagles wagers in our Monday Night Football preview.

Bills vs Cowboys: Over 6 TDs (+105)

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

Dallas has surpassed Miami as the highest-scoring team in the NFL at 32.4 points per game, and Buffalo ranks fourth at 26.8. We may see this prop cash out by the third quarter.

Week 15 NFL Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs: Over 53.5 Rushing Yards (-120) vs Broncos

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

The exciting Detroit rookie has topped this projected total in six of his past seven games. Denver has allowed the most rushing yards to RBs this season, and the Lions have the fifth-best run-blocking grade on Pro Football Focus for Week 15.

Matthew Stafford: Over 267.5 Passing Yards (-115) vs Commanders

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Stafford is in a great spot against the NFL’s worst pass defense this week. He has passed for 275-plus yards in his last two games, and Cooper Kupp is looking healthy again.

The Rams also have the best pass-blocking grade on PFF for Week 15, so Stafford will have ample time to carve up the Commanders’ pass defense. The Los Angeles passer occupies a lofty spot in the Week 15 fantasy football rankings.

Rashee Rice: Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-110) @ Patriots

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Rice has the sixth-best WR/CB matchup vs an opposing CB group on PFF for Week 15. Rice has topped 60-plus receiving yards in his last three games, while he has been targeted nine-plus times in those outings.

DK Metcalf: Anytime TD (+125) vs Eagles

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Metcalf will likely face a lot of man coverage from Darius Slay, which should be an interesting matchup to watch, but I expect the Seattle star to prevail. Metcalf wants to ward off some criticism while also playing a big role in an important game for Seattle.

The Philadelphia secondary won’t be able to fully contain the Seahawks’ best playmaker, who can score near the goal line and from anywhere outside the red zone, too.

Isaiah Likely: Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110) @ Jaguars

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

The second-year TE has cleared this number in his last two games, and the Jaguars rank 25th in receiving yards allowed to the position.

Likely is becoming a bigger part of the Baltimore passing game, with 13 targets in his last two games, and the increasing opportunities should help him to get past the projected yardage total comfortably.

Find Top NFL Props

Check out the best player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on a game below to see all of its prop bets.

Author

Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously he was at SportsLine.com and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Seahawks.com. Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 13-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at ESPN.com. and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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