Joe Burrow Prop Bets

Last Updated: Jan 25, 2023

The Cincinnati Bengals have won three straight games against the Kansas City Chiefs, largely due to quarterback Joe Burrow.

Cincinnati will likely need Burrow to be a huge part again if it is going to win the AFC at Arrowhead for the second straight year.

Here’s a look at my favorite Joe Burrow props for the AFC Championship Game on Sunday.

All AFC Championship Game odds used in these props are current as of Wednesday, Jan. 25, at 3 p.m. ET and are courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Joe Burrow Prop Pick of the Day

Read more on this Joe Burrow player prop below.

Before reading Pat Pickens’ picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Conference Championship player props:

Joe Burrow Rushing Prop

Joe Burrow: Over 17.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Chiefs allowed the fifth-most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season (24.5 per game) and surrendered 26 yards rushing on just three attempts to Trevor Lawrence in their divisional-round win over the Jaguars.

Burrow had 31 yards on six attempts in the divisional round against the Bills. He also has 25-plus rushing yards in two of Cincinnati’s past three against KC, including a 46-yard performance Dec. 4.

All that trends toward Burrow producing about 20 rushing yards at Arrowhead on Sunday.

Find more Bengals vs Chiefs betting plays

Joe Burrow Passing Touchdowns Prop

Joe Burrow: Over 1.5 Pass TDs (-165) at BetMGM Sportsbook

WAGER: 2 Units

I don’t love the odds on this prop at all, which is why I’d advocate tossing an extra unit on it. But Burrow has tossed at least two TDs in five of Cincinnati’s past seven games, with the Ravens being the lone opponent to hold him to a single passing score.

The Chiefs allowed 33 touchdown passes during the regular season, the most of any NFL team. Burrow has eight touchdown tosses in the three head-to-head matchups over the past two years, including two in last season’s AFC Championship Game in KC.

There’s a possibility the Chiefs will turn the tables on the Bengals and send them packing, but Burrow still will probably throw two-plus TDs with the full complement of dynamic weapons, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd healthy.


Pat Pickens

Pat Pickens is a seasoned sportswriter who has covered pro sports since 2013 for various websites, including The New York Times,, Bleacher Report,, USA Today, the Associated Press and many others. His debut book, titled "The Whalers" about the history of the NHL's Hartford Whalers, was released in October 2021.

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