AFC Championship Winner Odds

Frank AmmiranteSenior Sports Writer
Last Updated: Feb 28, 2023

The AFC is stacked with talented teams on the rise, boasting some of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. This list includes Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Lamar Jackson, and Justin Herbert.

We also have up-and-coming talents like Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa, mixed in with veterans such as Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson. This strong group of quarterbacks makes this conference so intriguing.

We’re going to provide a breakdown of the AFC Championship betting odds for the 2023-24 NFL season, including the best bet along with favorites, contenders, and longshots.

AFC Championship Betting Odds 2023-24

AFC winner odds used below are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of Tuesday, Feb. 21. Be sure to keep tabs on all of our current NFL odds throughout the offseason.

  • Kansas City Chiefs (+330)
  • Buffalo Bills (+400)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (+600)
  • Baltimore Ravens (+1100)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (+1100)
  • New York Jets (+1400)
  • Miami Dolphins (+1500)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (+1600)
  • Denver Broncos (+1800)
  • Cleveland Browns (+1800)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (+2500)
  • Pittsburgh Steelers (+2800)
  • New England Patriots (+3000)
  • Tennessee Titans (+5000)
  • Indianapolis Colts (+8000)
  • Houston Texans (+10000)

Keep track of pro football futures this offseason with our NFL futures odds comparison tool:

AFC Champion Best Bet

Dolphins: Win AFC Championship (+1500) | DraftKings Sportsbook

What we’re looking for in a best bet for the AFC Championship is long odds with a reasonable win probability. This makes the Dolphins the top choice for this pick.

Miami went 8-3 with Tagovailoa as the starter last season. If he can stay healthy for the entire year, this team is going to be in the mix to win the AFC East.

Head coach Mike McDaniel proved himself as an elite play-caller in his first season with the Dolphins. The former 49ers’ offensive coordinator was able to scheme open his stud wideouts in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

But the x-factor in Miami lies on the defensive side of the ball. This is where I’m projecting significant improvement following the hiring of Vic Fangio at defensive coordinator.

Fangio’s defenses finished in the top 10 six times in eight seasons during his tenures with the Bears and 49ers. Look for him to help bring out the best in Miami’s defense.

The Dolphins should be among the most balanced teams in the NFL, as long as Tua stays healthy. That makes them my NFL pick of the day to win the AFC Championship.

AFC Champion Favorites

Chiefs: Win AFC Championship (+350) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The defending champions will remain among the favorites for as long as Patrick Mahomes remains the starting quarterback.

Their defense continues to improve, especially after hitting home runs on rookies Trent McDuffie and George Karlaftis.

This can give them a lethal combination to go along with their high-octane offense. Even if JuJu Smith-Schuster leaves in free agency, he’s a replaceable receiver.

Kansas City remains the team to beat, but their current +350 odds make them a less appealing pick compared to some of the other options on this list.

Bills: Win AFC Championship (+400) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Bills are once again one of the favorites, which is no surprise considering that they have Allen at quarterback along with a stud wideout in Stefon Diggs.

The defense should also remain among the top units in the league, especially against the pass. However, we saw them struggle in the AFC divisional round against the Bengals.

Buffalo should look to add on defense while also bringing in another target to ease the pressure off Diggs.

At +400 odds, the price isn’t juicy enough to make them a best bet here, especially with the Dolphins and Jets right on their tail.

AFC Champion Contenders

Bengals: Win AFC Championship (+600) | DraftKings Sportsbook

We’ve now seen the Bengals get to the Super Bowl and AFC Championship in consecutive seasons.

This team may be the most well-rounded roster in football when you consider their balance on offense and defense.

There’s a chance that the AFC North will become a lot weaker if Jackson doesn’t stay with the Ravens, which would help the Bengals potentially lock up a No. 1 seed.

Cincinnati looks like the most appealing bet of the favorites and contenders to win the AFC Championship because of the price at +600 odds.

Ravens: Win AFC Championship (+1100) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Ravens are a team in turmoil right now because we’re not sure if they’re going to be able to keep Lamar.

However, if they can get a deal done, this team is firmly in play to go on a deep run en route to an AFC Championship.

The defense improved dramatically following the addition of Roquan Smith, while the offense would be boosted by the return of talented third-year wideout Rashod Bateman.

There’s a chance that this price changes towards +800 or +900 if it’s confirmed that Lamar is staying, so now is a good time to jump on the Ravens.

AFC Champion Sleepers

Jets: Win AFC Championship (+1400) | DraftKings Sportsbook

Here we have my next favorite bet on the board in the Jets. This is a team that is stacked with young talent on both sides of the ball, including Garrett Wilson, Breece Hall, Sauce Gardner, and Quinnen Williams.

The best part about taking the Jets right now is that these odds can change dramatically if they’re able to swing a trade for Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers would fit in perfectly as a veteran to stabilize this offense and find his playmakers, each of which could help the future Hall of Famer have a major bounce-back season.

Even if the Jets sign Derek Carr, they would still become contenders because quarterback really is the missing puzzle piece here.

Jaguars: Win AFC Championship (+1600) | DraftKings Sportsbook

The Jaguars will look to build off a surprising season that saw them win the AFC South and advance to the Divisional Round, only to fall short to the eventual Super Bowl-champion Chiefs.

Jacksonville should be able to cruise to a division title because the AFC South is currently in flux, with the Titans, Colts, and Texans each searching for quarterbacks.

The Jags will also welcome wideout Calvin Ridley into the fold (pending reinstatement), giving their stud quarterback Lawrence another weapon.

We’re getting a terrific price at +1600 odds, making Jacksonville one of the top plays on the board.


Frank Ammirante

Frank Ammirante is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for 4for4 Football and RotoBaller. Frank is a member of the Fantasy Sports Writer's Association while maintaining an active presence within the community. He has competed in industry contests like the Scott Fish Bowl, The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and more. Frank will be making his debut in Tout Wars this year. He's got a diverse sporting background, but specializes in football and baseball.

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