NBA Three-Point Contest Odds & Prediction 2023

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: Feb 19, 2022Last updated: Feb 19, 2022

In recent years, the NBA has emphasized three-point shooting. Simply put, it’s a more efficient shot than a mid-to-long-range two-point attempt. This has led to a proliferation of terrific shooters, especially from beyond the arc.

That means that the NBA All-Star Three-Point Contest is better than ever. Since there are so many options, you’re always sure to find a stacked competition. This is made even better by the fact that more big men have become prolific three-point shooters — including Karl-Anthony Towns, who will compete.

It’s a league of shooters nowadays, and that’s reflected in this contest. So without further ado, let’s take a look at the 2022 All-Star Three-Point Contest Odds.

All-Star Three-Point Contest Odds

3-Point Contest odds provided by DraftKings and are current as of 1 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 15.

  • Patty Mills, Brooklyn Nets (+450)
  • Luke Kennard, Los Angeles Clippers (+500)
  • Fred VanVleet, Toronto Raptors (+500)
  • Zach LaVine, Chicago Bulls (+550)
  • Trae Young, Atlanta Hawks (+550)
  • Desmond Bane, Memphis Grizzlies (+600)
  • CJ McCollum, New Orleans Pelicans (+750)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves (+1100)

This year’s contest features eight of the best three-point shooters in the NBA. Seven of the eight competitors are averaging at least 2.5 three-pointers per game. Five of these players are shooting 40 percent or greater from beyond the arc.

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The most prolific scorers of the bunch are Trae Young (27.7 PPG), Karl-Anthony Towns (24.1 PPG), and Zach LaVine (24.6 PPG). Towns is the only big man — the rest of the players are either guards or forwards.

None of these players have won the contest before. CJ McCollum and LaVine are the most experienced of the group — this marks their third appearance in the competition. This is Young’s second time in the contest, while the rest of the players in the group will be making their respective debuts.

Three-Point Contest Prediction

Since 2010, seven of the 12 winners had shot at least 40 percent from three-point range. Five of the last seven winners averaged at least three points per game. There has never been a center to win the contest.

When looking at this year’s field, the most efficient three-point shooter has been Luke Kennard, hitting 43% of his long-range shots this season. The most prolific has been Fred VanVleet, who has averaged four threes per game.

The only two competitors averaging three or more three-pointers per game at 40 percent or greater are Fred VanVleet and Patty Mills.

Three-Point Contest Winner Pick

Fred VanVleet is my pick for the winner of the 2022 NBA Three-Point Contest. He has the best combination of efficiency and volume.

Check out more of our NBA All-Star Weekend Predictions

Three-Point Contest Best Bets

Fred VanVleet Wins 3-Point Contest (+500) at DraftKings

WAGER: 1 Unit

VanVleet is one of the top options on his team, so he’s used to firing away threes on any given night. Entering the All-Star break, he’s averaging 10 attempts per game. Several of those shots are off the dribble, which makes them more impressive since they are contested.

Patty Mills Wins 3-Point Contest (+450) at DraftKings

WAGER: 1 Unit

Mills is averaging 3.2 threes per game while shooting 41.8% from beyond the arc. He’s the favorite for good reason, and he’s made at least two threes per game for three consecutive seasons.

Zach LaVine Wins 3-Point Contest (+550) at DraftKings

WAGER: 1 Unit

LaVine is one of the most experienced players in this contest. He’s a high-volume shooter who is making 2.9 threes per game at a 39.9% clip from long distance. Over his last three seasons, he’s averaging 3.1 makes per game and shooting 40% from deep.


Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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