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Now that you understand how Underdog Fantasy works, it’s time to give you my sleeper draft picks and my DFS football predictions for the Christmas games between the Cleveland Browns and Green Bay Packers, and Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals!
They don’t call me the “Head of Winning" at Underdog Fantasy for nothing.
Prop stats information for NFL DFS Week 16 picks are current as of Wednesday, December 22, at 5:00 p.m. ET.
NFL DFS Christmas Week 16: Underdog Fantasy Sleeper Picks
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Target these sleepers in your Underdog Christmas Draft.
Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers vs. Cleveland Browns
The Baltimore Ravens secondary keyed in on Davante Adams, which opened the door for Marquez Valdes-Scantling to put up numbers. However, MVS has entered COVID protocols, now opening the door for Allen Lazard.
Lazard bumps up to the No. 2 receiver spot, and he’s proven to be a reliable receiver for Aaron Rodgers to throw to. I expect the Browns to do the same to Adams in not letting him beat them, giving Lazard a big opportunity.
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Nick Chubb, RB, Cleveland Browns @ Green Bay Packers
This might not seem like a sleeper, but Nick Chubb is going under the radar right now. He’ll most likely be the least selected running back amongst Aaron Jones, Jonathan Taylor, and James Conner.
Baltimore had a lot of success running the ball against Green Bay, rushing for 143 yards. So if the Browns can potentially be in the game early, that would lead to really strong opportunities for Chubb.
Michael Pittman Jr., WR, Indianapolis Colts @ Arizona Cardinals
He’s had a few down weeks, but the Colts are going to need Michael Pittman Jr. to be a part of the game plan. Indianapolis is an underdog with a high total, which bodes well for Pittman.
Pittman won’t be high on the list between Adams, Jarvis Landry, and other receivers, so look to snag the WR1 late.
Rondale Moore, WR, Arizona Cardinals vs. Indianapolis Colts
Christian Kirk is the feature receiver, while everyone knows about A.J. Green, so go with Rondale Moore as the sleeper. With DeAndre Hopkins (knee) on Injured Reserve, Arizona should look to get Moore involved.
Whether it’s out of the backfield, deep down the field, or with different reverse-type plays, the Cardinals need to get the ball in Moore’s hands.
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NFL DFS Christmas Week 16: Underdog Daily Fantasy Sports Prop Games
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Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers
UNDER 95.5 Receiving Yards
The Packers should be in more of a run-game script this week, and the Browns should do the same thing the Ravens did in making sure Adams doesn’t beat them over the top.
Cleveland also has a top-10 defense, which doesn’t help Adams’ case.
Jonathan Taylor, RB, Indianapolis Colts
OVER 115.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
Since J.J. Watt’s departure with injury, the Cardinals have struggled to stop the run. With the best running back in the world coming to town, it’ll be next to impossible to stop Taylor.
Taylor has eclipsed the 115.5-yard mark 6 times this season in rushing alone. With receiving yards tagged on, this total will be easy to go Over.
James Conner, RB, Arizona Cardinals
UNDER 54.5 Rushing Yards
The Cardinals should be facing a bigger pass-influenced game script as only 1-point home favorites. Since returning, Arizona has been easing Chase Edmonds back into the running back rotation.
Conner had 8 carries last week and 13 the previous week, so he’ll need more to hit the Over.
Check out more of our NFL Christmas Betting Tips:
NFL Christmas Games Predictions
Cleveland Browns @ Green Bay Packers
I think the Browns will keep this one really close, but the Packers will pull off the win at home.
Aaron Rodgers just needs 1 touchdown to become Green Bay’s all-time leader in touchdown passes, so that should be fun to watch for.
Browns vs. Packers Prediction: Packers 27, Browns 24
Indianapolis Colts @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is in a really good spot here, so I’m going with them to win.
The Los Angeles Rams are just a better team than the Cardinals, and that’s why they beat them two weeks ago. I’m chalking it up to a letdown spot against the Detroit Lions last week.
A short week here, the Cardinals will be well-rested and ready to go for this matchup