The WNBA Finals begin October 4, and it features the two teams we expected to be playing for it all in the spring. The defending champion Las Vegas Aces take on the New York Liberty.
The two squads split their regular season games 2-2, with both teams winning their home games. Oddly enough, only one game finished with the winner winning by fewer than double digits.
There are at most five games remaining in the WNBA season. Do we get all five, or will the Aces or Liberty cap a top-heavy season in as few as three?
Below are the updated odds and bets from yours truly.
WNBA Finals Betting Odds 2023
DraftKings Sportsbook provides WNBA lines for the 2023 finals winner, which are current as of Monday, Sept. 25, at 1 p.m. ET.
- Las Vegas Aces (-210)
- New York Liberty (+170)
2023 WNBA Finals Prediction
Las Vegas Aces (-210)
The Aces have zero losses in the playoffs and have been a force. The Liberty showed that they can be beaten, even with a similarly star-studded roster as Las Vegas.
The outright market is not there for me because I won’t bet the Aces at (-200) or worse because of the variance of a five-game Finals, and there’s zero value in their current odds.
2023 WNBA Finals Prop Bets
Aces to Win Finals 3-1 (+310)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The prop market is the way to target this series. I doubt the Liberty can match long enough inside, and I believe the teams are equal when shooting from three. Jonquel Jones has been everything and more for the Liberty, but the lack of consistent frontcourt support from her teammates isn’t there with Breanna Stewart as a floor-stretching forward.
I think the Aces hold serve at home, much like they did in the regular season against New York. A’ja Wilson and, to a small degree, Kiah Stokes can win on both ends of the court. Stokes will have to support Wilson on the boards, and if she does, this series could be over in three.
Aces depth players Cayla George and former #2 pick Alaina Coates offer comparable size to Jones in limited minutes.
The Liberty will take Game 3 before losing in four games. Liberty head coach Sandy Brondello is too good at her job to be overmatched in four straight games. Vegas’ depth will ultimately prove too much for New York.