Game 3 of the WNBA Finals was a journey. Minnesota led by as many as 15 points before New York came crawling back, capping it off with a 28-foot heave from Sabrina Ionescu in the closing seconds to give the Liberty a 2-1 lead.
How will the Lynx respond as they face elimination for the first time in this series? As we prepare for tip-off, let’s dig into my best WNBA prop bets for Game 4 of the WNBA Finals.
All WNBA odds are current as of Thursday, Oct. 17.
Garrett Chorpenning’s 2024 WNBA betting record: 71-65 (-1.65 Units)
Best WNBA Player Props Today
Breanna Stewart: Over 1.5 Threes (+102) @ Lynx
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Game 3 will be remembered for Ionescu’s epic game-winner, but she wouldn’t have been in position to make the shot had it not been for Breanna Stewart’s stellar performance. The two-time Finals MVP might be on her way to adding a third after logging 30 points, 11 rebounds, and four blocks in the victory.
One thing that’s changed about Stewie’s game in the playoffs is her willingness to be aggressive from the perimeter. After attempting 4.1 threes per game during the regular season — her lowest since 2017 — she’s upped her frequency to 4.9 in the semifinals and beyond, connecting on 32.4% of her looks.
It’s a small sample size, but Stewart has had more success from beyond the arc against the Lynx, going 6-for-17 in the series while sinking at least two three-pointers in each game. It’s essential that she continues to take those shots, and based on how she’s fared so far, I can’t imagine she would suddenly stop.
At (+102), I’m more than happy to take this gamble. Look for Stewie to cash another pair of threes with your WNBA bet of the day.
Best WNBA Props Today
Lynx: Under 79.5 Points (-122) vs Liberty
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Liberty gave up 95 points to the Lynx in Game 1 (84 in regulation), but this team appears to have learned a lot from the series-opening defeat. Minnesota hasn’t cracked 80 since then, and in Game 2, it posted just 66 points in a loss.
New York has clearly figured something out, because the Lynx have been far less efficient as the series has progressed. Minnesota shot 50.7% from the field in Game 1, followed by 45% in Game 2, and an ugly 38.7% in Game 3.
- See our WNBA Playoffs predictions for the WNBA Finals.
The work is being done inside the arc, because the Lynx have remained relatively efficient from three-point range throughout the series. Their free-throw percentage has remained consistent, too.
Until Minnesota proves it can adapt and win on offense once more, I’ll be happy to take the Under on their team total. This 79.5-point bar is a tough one to clear as it is, and it only gets tougher when Stewie and Jonquel Jones are patrolling the paint.
