The NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award has produced a mixed bag of winners in recent years.
Over the past decade, we’ve seen multiple quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers take home this award, making this market harder to assess than the NFL MVP odds, which tend to be dominated by signal-callers.
However, one useful trend is that first-round picks have won NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors eight consecutive years, with New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (2017, Round 3) being the last player to lift the trophy after being selected outside the top 32 picks.
To prepare for the 2026 NFL season, I’ll assess the latest NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds and make my pick to win the award.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Odds 2026
All football odds used for these NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year predictions are current as of Wednesday, Aug. 26, and are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Jeremiyah Love (+470)
- Fernando Mendoza (+600)
- Carnell Tate (+600)
- Jadarian Price (+650)
- De’Zhaun Stribling (+650)
- Makai Lemon (+1500)
- KC Concepcion (+2000)
- Denzel Boston (+2200)
- Ja’Kobi Lane (+2200)
- Carson Beck (+2500)
- Caleb Douglas (+4500)
- Mike Washington Jr. (+4500)
- Antonio Williams (+5000)
- Jonah Coleman (+5500)
- Omar Cooper Jr. (+5500)
All other players have odds of +6000 or higher to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Who Will Win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Jadarian Price (+650)
At +650 odds, we’re getting an intriguing price on Jadarian Price to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
The Seattle Seahawks running back may not be as hyped as his college teammate, Jeremiyah Love, but the Notre Dame product is falling into the perfect situation to make an immediate impact for the defending Super Bowl champions.
After Kenneth Walker III signed with the Kansas City Chiefs in free agency, the Seahawks selected Price with the final pick of the first round to pair alongside Zach Charbonnet, who is still recovering from a torn ACL.
Seattle showed last season that it likes to feature multiple running backs when they’re available, but with Charbonnet not at 100%, Price should get a solid workload early in the year, giving him the chance to solidify his role on one of the league’s top teams.
If Price can minimize the departure of the Super Bowl 60 MVP, he’ll have a good chance to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, making this my NFL pick of the day.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Contenders
Jeremiyah Love (+470)
Running backs don’t typically get picked in the top three of the NFL Draft, so that tells you all you need to know about Jeremiyah Love’s talent.
The Notre Dame star rushed for 1,372 yards and 18 touchdowns last season, while ceding more than 100 carries to Price (674 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns).
Love has game-breaking speed that can be a true difference maker, but I’m concerned that he’s stuck on an Arizona Cardinals offense that lacks an elite quarterback and will face one of the league’s toughest schedules.
While Love could follow in the footsteps of 2018 winner Saquon Barkley, he also could have a similar rookie campaign to Ashton Jeanty.
Fernando Mendoza (+600)
The reigning Heisman Trophy winner led Indiana to an undefeated season and a National Championship, but it’s difficult to see him having success right away with the Las Vegas Raiders.
For one, we don’t know if Mendoza will start in Week 1, as new head coach Klint Kubiak could opt to let him learn behind veteran Kirk Cousins.
The other concern is that the Raiders have the worst wide receiver room in football, with Tre Tucker, Jalen Nailor, and Jack Bech currently topping the depth chart.
When he does play, Mendoza will benefit from having safety blankets over the middle in tight ends Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer, but I’m not expecting him to light the world on fire on one of the league’s worst teams.
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Sleeper Pick
Omar Cooper Jr. (+5500)
There has been some negative noise around New York Jets wideout Omar Cooper Jr. this preseason, but I’m going to take that as a buying opportunity on the 30th pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
While the Indiana product may have been listed behind Isaiah Williams on an early preseason depth chart, that doesn’t mean that will continue to be the case all season or even in Week 1.
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The Jets don’t have much depth at receiver behind Garrett Wilson. While many expect Adonai Mitchell to take a step forward in a larger role this year, there should be plenty of opportunities for Cooper Jr. to make an impression, especially after fellow first-round pass-catcher Kenyon Sadiq missed most of training camp.
Cooper Jr. was Mendoza’s go-to target in clutch situations for Indiana last year, often making key catches on third down to extend drives and notably getting yards over the middle after the catch. He led Indiana with 937 receiving yards last season and scored 13 touchdowns, and could play a large role in what should be an improved New York passing attack with Geno Smith under center.
At these longshot odds, I’ll take a chance on a first-round wideout to follow in Tetairoa McMillan’s shoes and win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.
Previous NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners
| Year | Player | Position | Team |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1967 | Mel Farr | RB | Detroit Lions |
| 1698 | Earl McCullouch | WR | Detroit Lions |
| 1969 | Calvin Hill | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
| 1970 | Dennis Shaw | QB | Buffalo Bills |
| 1971 | John Brockington | RB | Green Bay Packers |
| 1972 | Franco Harris | RB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 1973 | Chuck Foreman | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
| 1974 | Don Woods | RB | San Diego Chargers |
| 1975 | Mike Thomas | RB | Washington Redskins |
| 1976 | Sammy White | WR | Minnesota Vikings |
| 1977 | Tony Dorsett | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
| 1978 | Earl Campbell | RB | Houston Oilers |
| 1979 | Ottis Anderson | RB | St. Louis Cardinals |
| 1980 | Billy Sims | RB | Detroit Lions |
| 1981 | George Rogers | RB | New Orleans Saints |
| 1982 | Marcus Allen | RB | Los Angeles Raiders |
| 1983 | Eric Dickerson | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1984 | Louis Lipps | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 1985 | Eddie Brown | WR | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 1986 | Rueben Mayes | RB | New Orleans Saints |
| 1987 | Troy Stradford | RB | Miami Dolphins |
| 1988 | John Stephens | RB | New England Patriots |
| 1989 | Barry Sanders | RB | Detroit Lions |
| 1990 | Emmitt Smith | RB | Dallas Cowboys |
| 1991 | Leonard Russell | RB | New England Patriots |
| 1992 | Carl Pickens | WR | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 1993 | Jerome Bettis | RB | Los Angeles Rams |
| 1994 | Marshall Faulk | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
| 1995 | Curtis Martin | RB | New England Patriots |
| 1996 | Eddie George | RB | Houston Oilers |
| 1997 | Warrick Dunn | RB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 1998 | Randy Moss | WR | Minnesota Vikings |
| 1999 | Edgerrin James | RB | Indianapolis Colts |
| 2000 | Mike Anderson | RB | Denver Broncos |
| 2001 | Anthony Thomas | RB | Chicago Bears |
| 2002 | Clinton Portis | RB | Denver Broncos |
| 2003 | Anquan Boldin | WR | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2004 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers |
| 2005 | Cadillac Williams | RB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
| 2006 | Vince Young | QB | Tennessee Titans |
| 2007 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2008 | Matt Ryan | QB | Atlanta Falcons |
| 2009 | Percy Harvin | WR | Minnesota Vikings |
| 2010 | Sam Bradford | QB | St. Louis Rams |
| 2011 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers |
| 2012 | Robert Griffin III | QB | Washington Redskins |
| 2013 | Eddie Lacy | RB | Green Bay Packers |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | New York Giants |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | RB | St. Louis Rams |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | QB | Dallas Cowboys |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | RB | New Orleans Saints |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | RB | New York Giants |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | QB | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | QB | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 2021 | Ja'Marr Chase | WR | Cincinnati Bengals |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson | WR | New York Jets |
| 2023 | C.J. Stroud | QB | Houston Texans |
| 2024 | Jayden Daniels | QB | Washington Commanders |
| 2025 | Tetairoa McMillan | WR | Carolina Panthers |
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners by position
- Running back (35)
- Quarterback (12)
- Wide receiver (12)
- Tight end (0)