NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds & Predictions

Last Updated: May 1, 2023

The NFL Draft has come to close, which means the race for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is on.

Sure, it’ll be months before this officially takes shape. But talent and fit matter, and we can already start to size up how the likely contenders will factor in next season.

Last season, wideout Garrett Wilson took home the honor with the New York Jets. With plenty of quarterbacks poised to take snaps and a slew of skill position players poised to be in quality positions to make an immediate impact, the race has plenty to offer.

Let’s explore the top NFL OROY lines and wagers.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Odds

NFL odds used for these OROY Award tips were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of 8 p.m. on Saturday, April 29.

  • Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons (+300)
  • Bryce Young, QB, Carolina Panthers (+475)
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks (+700)
  • C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans (+700)
  • Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions (+900)
  • Anthony Richardson, QB, Indianapolis Colts (+900)
  • Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota Vikings (+1700)
  • Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens (+1800)
  • Zach Charbonnet, RB, Seattle Seahawks (+2000)
  • Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers (+2000)

Keep track of pro football futures this offseason with our NFL futures odds comparison tool:

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Prediction

Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Lions (+900)

We can debate the pick. Did Detroit take Gibbs much earlier than they should have? Maybe.

What we can’t debate, however, is the impact this rookie is likely to have in an offense that is poised to put up a ton of points.

Yes, David Montgomery is on the roster and he will be a factor, but Gibbs will have a significant role on this team, and he’ll be able to showcase his hands and speed in a variety of ways.

The value also plays a factor. At 9-1 odds, Gibbs has plenty to offer as our NFL pick of the day. The Lions made a statement with this selection, and I don’t expect them to wait long to show us why they made it.

Best NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorite

Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons (+300)

Simply put, he’s superb. It’s not hard to understand why Bijan Robinson is the favorite out of the gate.

The running back out of Texas is a threat in so many ways. His ability to catch passes could be an enormous quality when it comes to this award. He could quickly emerge as one of the most versatile running backs in the league.

For all the good, however, there are concerns. Those concerns aren’t with Bijan, but rather what he’s stepping into. The Falcons were third in rushing last year, and Tyler Allgeier looked incredibly comfortable as a rookie.

That is not to say that Robinson won’t get chances. You don’t draft a running back this high to let him sit. It is simply acknowledging that he might not be a workhorse back right away, and that could impact his chances.

Best NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Sleepers

Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers (+2000)

Will he get enough opportunities? That’s the key question. The Chargers, of course, have plenty of targets to throw to, although Quentin Johnston could become an immediate red-zone force.

Having Justin Herbert as a QB certainly won’t hurt. Whether Johnston gets enough reps, however, is another story entirely. I love his game, I love his size, and I love this offense.

Josh Downs, WR, Indianapolis Colts (+2500)

The wide receiver, formerly of North Carolina, found a perfect home with the Colts.

While we’ll ultimately see if QB Anthony Richardson is named the starter and what the offense ultimately looks like, but Downs should get plenty of chances to catch passes.

He’s versatile, had some incredible games in college, and could be incredibly productive if used properly. And at 25-1 odds, well, it’s hard not to like his chances.


Adam Kramer

Adam Kramer is an NFL, college football, and gambling analyst for The Game Day. While college football has long been his calling, he’s also covered sports such as boxing, horse racing, and baseball at The Game Day and in other places. He’s also written for Bleacher Report, VSiN, and various other outlets over the past decade-plus.

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