NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds & Predictions 2026

The NFL Offensive Player of the Year award typically goes to the best non-quarterback in football.

Running backs and wide receivers have been named NFL Offensive Player of the Year each of the last seven seasons, so you’re better off checking out our NFL MVP odds if you’re interested in betting on quarterbacks.

Last year, Seattle Seahawks star Jaxon Smith-Njigba became the latest recipient of the award after leading the league in receiving yards (1,793) and adding 10 receiving touchdowns.

As we prepare for the start of the 2026 season, I’ll assess the latest NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds and predict who will take home the award.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award Odds 2026

All football odds used for these NFL Offensive Player of the Year predictions are current as of Thursday, Aug. 13, and are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

• Jahmyr Gibbs (+650)
• Bijan Robinson (+900)
• Ja’Marr Chase (+1000)
• Puka Nacua (+1300)
• Christian McCaffrey (+1600)
• Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+1800)
• Justin Jefferson (+1800)
• Derrick Henry (+2000)
• Jonathan Taylor (+2000)
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (+2200)
• CeeDee Lamb (+2500)
• James Cook (+3000)
• Saquon Barkley (+3000)
• Kenneth Walker III (+3500)
• Malik Nabers (+4000)
• Ashton Jeanty (+4000)
• Omarion Hampton (+4000)
• Nico Collins (+4000)
• Drake London (+4000)
• A.J. Brown (+4000)
• George Pickens (+4000)

All other players have odds of +5000 or higher to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

Who Will Win NFL Offensive Player of the Year?

Puka Nacua (+1300)

Nacua finished third in the voting for NFL Offensive Player of the Year last season after putting up career-highs in receptions (129), receiving yards (1,715), and touchdowns (10).

The Los Angeles Rams star actually outperformed Jaxon Smith-Njigba in several categories, including yards per game (107.2 to 105.5), yards after the catch (666 to 528), and first downs (80 to 79). However, JSN had a narrative advantage in terms of workload, accounting for 42.2% of Seattle’s passing yards compared to Nacua’s 36.3%.

Moving forward, the 25-year-old will continue to be the primary option in LA’s elite passing attack, led by reigning NFL MVP Matthew Stafford. No. 2 wideout Davante Adams will be 34 in December, and there isn’t another threat to Nacua’s 28.8% target share, which ranked fourth in the league last season.

Given the Rams are the betting favorites in the Super Bowl odds, it wouldn’t be surprising to see Nacua and the Rams enjoy another strong regular-season campaign, so I’m backing LA’s star wideout to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year as my NFL pick of the day.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Contenders

Jahmyr Gibbs (+650)

Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs is the betting favorite to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year, which makes sense considering his elite versatility as a runner and receiver and his potential to shoulder an even larger role in the Detroit backfield in 2026.

Veteran David Montgomery is now with the Houston Texans, and former Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco doesn’t pose much of a threat to Gibbs’ touches after two subpar, injury-hit campaigns.

Those changes could see Gibbs approach a workload of 300 carries for the first time, having maxed out at 250 during his first three NFL seasons, and it doesn’t hurt that the Lions will face the NFL’s easiest schedule this season.

Given he produced over 1,800 total yards and 18 touchdowns last season in a down year for Detroit, I could certainly see an uptick in production and team success catapulting Gibbs to NFL Offensive Player of the Year honors.

Bijan Robinson (+950)

Robinson finished fourth in the voting for NFL Offensive Player of the Year last season despite leading the league with 2,298 total yards. However, his touchdown production fell year over year (from 15 to 11), and his Atlanta Falcons finished 8-9 and missed the playoffs.

Perhaps the arrival of an offensive-minded head coach in Kevin Stefanski can help Robinson reach another level, but it’s hard to imagine that the 24-year-old has a better season than last year given Atlanta’s questionable quarterback situation.

Maybe the inconsistent play of Tua Tagovailoa and Michael Penix Jr. leads to more short passes heading Robinson’s way, but it also likely means more loaded boxes for the star running back to navigate.

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Sleeper Pick

Omarion Hampton (+4000)

After a disappointing, injury-hit rookie year, Los Angeles Chargers running back Omarion Hampton is poised for a breakout season.

The UNC product should significantly benefit from the arrival of new offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel, who is renowned for his wide zone running scheme. That scheme helped De’Von Achane finish fifth in the NFL in rushing yards (1,350) last season despite playing just 16 games for a Miami Dolphins squad that finished 7-10.

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Hopefully, Hampton will also start the year with a fully healthy offensive line. Star left tackle Rashawn Slater missed all of last season after tearing his patellar tendon in training camp, and second-year tackle Joe Alt played just six games before having season-ending ankle surgery.

Jim Harbaugh’s teams always prioritize running the ball, and with McDaniel and a healthy offensive line in tow, Hampton could burst onto the scene this season and overcome these longshot odds to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year.

Previous AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year Award Winners

NFL Offensive Player of the Year Winners by position

• Running back (28)
• Quarterback (20)
• Wide receiver (6)
• Tight end (0)

Who votes for the NFL Offensive Player of the Year?

Three organizations give out NFL Offensive Player of the Year awards: the Associated Press, Pro Football Writers of America, and The Sporting News. The Associated Press’s award for the most outstanding offensive player is given out at the official NFL Honors ceremony. The AP selects sportswriters to vote each year.

Who has won multiple NFL Offensive Player of the Year awards?

Eight players have won NFL OPOY more than once. Earl Campbell (1978, 1979, 1980) and Marshall Faulk (1999, 2000, 2001) both won three times and in consecutive years. Jerry Rice (1987, 1993), Barry Sanders (1994, 1997), Terrell Davis (1996, 1998), Tom Brady (2007, 2010), Drew Brees (2008, 2011), and Peyton Manning (2004, 2013) each won the award twice.