The 2024 MLB season has arrived, making it an ideal time to dig into our favorite futures bets.
On this page, we’ll take a look at MLB NL Cy Young odds, which will include a favorite as well as a contender and sleeper for the award.
Let’s find some value with our NL Cy Young odds and best bets for the 2024 MLB season.
NL Cy Young Odds 2024
NL Cy Young MLB betting odds are current as of Tuesday, March 19, and courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook.
- Spencer Strider, Atlanta Braves (+500)
- Zack Wheeler, Philadelphia Phillies (+800)
- Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants (+900)
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Los Angeles Dodgers (+1200)
- Zac Gallen, Arizona Diamondbacks (+1200)
- Justin Steele, Chicago Cubs (+1400)
- Max Fried, Atlanta Braves (+1400)
- Tyler Glasnow, Los Angeles Dodgers (+1600)
- Kodai Senga, New York Mets (+2000)
- Aaron Nola, Philadelphia Phillies (+2500)
Looking at the NL Cy Young odds, it’s hard to consider Zac Gallen due to last year’s heavy volume. If you add up Gallen’s total innings pitched from the regular season and playoffs, you get 243 IP. It’s tough to see Gallen hitting his ceiling in 2024, making it unlikely that the D-Backs’ ace will take home the award.
I’d also cross off Yoshinobu Yamamoto from this list, despite his impressive arsenal. We often see players who come to MLB from overseas have some challenges in their first year in the big leagues. Just look at Yu Darvish, Kodai Senga, and Daisuke Matsuzaka. While Yamamoto should have a good season, I can’t seem him winning this award.
Speaking of Senga, this is clearly a misprice at (+2000) odds because the Mets’ ace is currently out with a shoulder injury and no timetable for return. There’s no way that you can justify taking Senga to win NL Cy Young when we aren’t sure when he’ll be back on the mound.
After crossing off these three players, let’s take a look at our favorite, contender, and sleeper.
NL Cy Young Favorite 2024
Spencer Strider, Atlanta Braves (+500)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
Spencer Strider is coming off an impressive season, posting a 36.8% strikeout rate. While the Braves’ ace had a bloated 3.86 ERA, it’s clear that he deserved better, as we can see from his 2.86 SIERA.
Playing for one of the best teams in MLB in the Braves, Strider will be in a good position to rack up wins at a high rate.
We’ve also seen Strider add to his arsenal this spring, boasting a new curveball that could make him virtually unhittable.
When Strider is on his game, he’s clearly the best pitcher in baseball, so it’s no surprise to see him as the favorite for NL Cy Young.
However, we’re still getting a reasonable price at (+500) odds, making Strider worth a look for this award.
NL Cy Young Contender 2024
Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants (+900)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
Logan Webb has now gone at least 190 innings with a 3.25 ERA or lower in each of his last two seasons.
Playing in a pitcher’s park like Oracle puts Webb in a favorable position for run prevention, which puts him in play for this award.
It’s also worth noting that the Giants improved their infield defense by adding Matt Chapman at third base, which is great news for a pitcher with a 62.1% groundball rate like Webb.
The Giants have had a busy offseason, adding Chapman to go along with Blake Snell, Jorge Soler, Jordan Hicks, and Jung Hoo Lee.
These moves could make them playoff contenders this year, putting Webb firmly in play for NL Cy Young.
NL Cy Young Sleeper 2024
Tyler Glasnow, Los Angeles Dodgers (+1600)
bet365 Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
Tyler Glasnow is basically Spencer Strider but with a lot more health concerns, since the former Rays’ ace has a career-high of 120 innings pitched, set last season.
We saw one of the newest Dodgers put up an impressive 33.4% strikeout rate last year, so the stuff is there for Glasnow to make a significant impact in his first year in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the World Series favorites this year, so Glasnow will have a chance to win a lot of games.
We’re getting a great price on Glasnow at (+1600) odds, which is this high due to his injury concerns.
However, the sky-high upside in playing on a great team in a pitcher’s park makes Glasnow a terrific sleeper for the NL Cy Young award.
See the latest MLB futures odds and picks
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