While Arsenal and Manchester City have separated themselves from the chasing pack in the title race, the battle for the Premier League Top 4 remains wide open.
Aston Villa currently sits third in the EPL table with 50 points, five clear of fourth-placed Manchester United. However, just five points separate the Red Devils from seventh-placed Brentford, who have never qualified for a major European competition in their history.
With 12 matches remaining in the 2025-26 campaign, there is plenty for all these teams to play for, so let’s look at the latest Premier League Top 4 odds and make our predictions for the run-in.
Premier League Top 4 Finish Odds
Soccer odds used for these Premier League Top 4 predictions are current as of Tuesday, Feb. 17, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Manchester City (-5000)
- Aston Villa (-220)
- Manchester United (-125)
- Liverpool (+100)
- Chelsea (+150)
- Brentford (+2000)
- Newcastle (+3500)
- Fulham (+6500)
All other teams have odds of +10000 or longer to finish in the Premier League Top 4.
Premier League Top 4 Predictions
Aston Villa (-220)
Aston Villa occupy third place, five points clear of the chasing pack, despite picking up just two wins from their previous five matches.
While that position feels safe, I’m not rushing to lay the juice with the Villans to finish in the Premier League Top 4.
Unai Emery’s squad will likely shift its focus to the Europa League, a competition that Villa (+280) is currently favored to win.
Managing those high-pressure Thursday night games alongside league play can be difficult for the deepest of squads, which Villa doesn’t necessarily have.
This group has also been outperforming its expected goals metrics for most of the season, so regression could come back to bite them.
Liverpool (+100)
Arne Slot’s side has massively under-delivered in its title defense to the point where the manager’s job has come into question multiple times this season.
However, Liverpool enter Matchweek 27 in sixth place, just three points adrift of fourth-place Manchester United with 12 games to play.
The Reds will have the opportunity to gain ground in head-to-head games against Man United (away), Chelsea (home), and Aston Villa (away) in May, so their fate is still very much in their hands.
Liverpool’s fixture list between now and then seems favorable, so I expect this group to reclaim its place in the Premier League Top 4 soon.
Back Liverpool to finish in the Top 4 as your soccer bet of the day.
Premier League Top 4 Contenders
Manchester United (-125)
Manchester United have turned things around under interim manager Michael Carrick, beating Manchester City and Arsenal in succession to ascend the EPL table.
However, it’s hard to know whether United’s recent results are sustainable or simply the result of a new-manager bounce following the dismissal of Ruben Amorim.
- Arsenal or Man City? Check out our Premier League Winner Odds and Predictions.
Unlike many of their Top-4 challengers, Manchester United will benefit from getting to focus solely on the Premier League for the rest of the campaign.
That lack of domestic or international competition could make a difference in what looks to be a close Top-4 race.
Chelsea (+150)
Chelsea are a difficult team to trust in their current state, especially since we don’t know that much about new manager Liam Rosenior.
The Blues also have one of the trickier fixture lists for the run-in, with games against Arsenal and Manchester City still to come, as well as contests against Top-4 rivals Aston Villa, Liverpool, and Manchester United.
While Chelsea have the highest goal differential (+17) of any team not named Arsenal or Manchester City, I could see this group struggling for form down the stretch.
Premier League Top 4 Sleeper Pick
Brentford (+2000)
The Bees have been one of the Premier League’s best surprises this season, despite many tipping them to go down following the offseason departure of manager Thomas Frank.
However, Keith Andrews has filled the void brilliantly, helping Brentford to the magic number of 40 points with 12 games to play.
The Bees aren’t expected to push on and compete for a Top-4 spot with the Premier League’s elite clubs, but they have the league’s second-leading scorer, Igor Thiago (17 goals), and they don’t play a team above them in the table until a trip to Man United on April 25.
If Brentford can put a run of wins together between now and then, they could cap this sensational season with a spot in Europe.
