Here we finally are: Super Bowl 58, a rematch of Super Bowl 54 in which the Kansas City Chiefs came all the way back from a ten-point deficit to the San Francisco 49ers in the fourth quarter to win, 31-20.
Both of these teams are stellar.
The 49ers own one of the league’s best offenses, elite in a wide range of efficiency metrics with second-year quarterback Brock Purdy at the helm.
On the other side, the Chiefs have surprised this year by quietly having one of the NFL’s best defenses, a unit that has shown its capability by shutting down plenty of the game’s best wide receivers every week.
We’re going to deep dive through an extensive list of player, game, and exotic props in this piece, which should help you get plenty prepared for your viewing experience.
We’ve even included our Super Bowl Prop Guide, a laundry list of plays that you can bring to your Super Bowl watch parties and compete against family and friends in.
Let’s get into it.
Please note that all Super Bowl odds and lines are current as of Friday, Feb. 2.
Super Bowl 58 Prop Bet Sheet
Super Bowl 58 Prop Sheet Printable Download
Super Bowl 58 Player Prop Bet Odds
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Super Bowl 58 Player Props
Travis Kelce: Over 70.5 Receiving Yards
bet365 Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Kelce is probably the most important offensive weapon that Kansas City has (besides Patrick Mahomes, obviously). The aging but still efficient hyper-targeted tight end famously has turned up his game in the playoffs in past seasons, and this year is no different.
So far this postseason, Kelce has caught 23 of his 27 receptions for 262 yards and three touchdowns. That’s an average of 87.3 receiving yards per game, and you can bet that Mahomes will have a strong focus on him after watching game film of the Detroit Lions’ Sam LaPorta grabbing nine catches for 90+ yards against the 49ers in last week’s NFC Championship game.
The future Hall of Fame tight end will have his hands busy with the 49ers’ solid group of coverage linebackers and safeties, but bet on Kelce to go safely over this total.
Place your Super Bowl bets with the DraftKings LeBron Bet One, Get One Offer
Isiah Pacheco: Over 66.5 Rushing Yards
FanDuel Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Pacheco is a terrific success story, rising from an obscure seventh-round pick last season to becoming the true workhorse back for Kansas City. His hard-charging running style has inspired countless memes and admiration from players and fans alike, and I just think this line is too low for him.
The running back had a solid regular season, coming up just short of 1,000 rushing yards in 14 games, which scoring seven touchdowns on the ground and adding two through the air. The real story though, is how his playoffs have gone this season.
Storming through opposing defenses just doesn’t give him enough credit. The Rutgers product has been on a tear in these playoffs, rushing for at least 68 yards in all three games with a rushing touchdown in each one.
Now he goes up against a 49ers rush defense that has been absolutely beat up on the ground recently. Both the Packers and the Lions ran over the 49ers, rushing for 111 yards and 182 yards, respectively.
The 49ers ranked 30th in rushing success rate allowed and 27th in EPA, which could hurt them against Pacheco’s brutal running style.
Brandon Aiyuk Under 63.5 Receiving Yards
FanDuel Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Aiyuk has been so hit or miss this season. in 18 games played, he has both hit and missed this number nine times, so it’s a 50/50 proposition to me.
The chief problem (pun intended) for Aiyuk in this scenario is obviously Chiefs’ CB1 L’Jarius Sneed. Sneed somehow didn’t even earn a Pro Bowl nod this year, let alone an All Pro nod, but he has played at an insanely high level this season.
Sneed had one of the higher shadow rates in the league, particular on opposing teams’ number 1 perimeter wideouts, and with Aiyuk predominantly lining up outside, I expect Sneed to make him his focus in this game. The Chiefs were one of the better teams in terms of allowing only 37.4% of targets to go to WRs lining up outside, per 4for4’s Connor Allen, so look for Sneed to limit Aiyuk here.
Now Aiyuk can always make big plays, so there’s some inherent risk here. However, I expect the 49ers to make use of their other stud players, namely Christian McCaffrey, George Kittle, and Deebo Samuel, so they may not need Aiyuk here.
Brock Purdy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
FanDuel Sportsbook • 1 Unit
The Chiefs have only allowed four quarterbacks all season to get more than one passing touchdown against them, and I’m not sure that will change in this game. Yes, Purdy has excelled against high-pressure defenses like Kansas City, but I’m also expecting a leaky Chiefs’ run defense to be gashed by Christian McCaffrey, and that should result in less airing of the ball by Purdy.
Looking at Purdy’s stats, he’s gone over this number in 9 of 18 games this season, so we’re looking at a 50/50 split. Many of these over performances, however, came against teams with subpar passing defenses: Philadelphia, Jacksonville, Arizona, Seattle, Washington, the Giants.
Will Steve Spagnuolo let himself get beat through the air? It hasn’t happened much this season, and I don’t expect it to happen here.
See more of our top SB betting picks with our Anytime TD Super Bowl Prop Bets.
Super Bowl 58 Game Props
Any Team to Score 30+ Points
DraftKings Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Both of these teams can absolutely score points.
San Francisco ranked second in the NFL this season with 28.9 points per game, and are fully healthy on offense. Kansas City, on the other hand, experienced a downtick in points per game down to 22.1, but still ranked 15th, middle of the pack.
The main draw here will be the dome provided by Allegiant Stadium. The Raiders didn’t have many high-scoring games on either side this season, but both teams have efficient offenses that can move up and down the field.
Super Bowl Exotic Props
For many bettors, this is a major wagering holiday.
Forget about just betting a team or side or even a run-of-the-mill prop bet; the Super Bowl, and its wide array of wagering options, generate the ultimate levels of gambling excitement.
Want to bet on an amusing wager such as a coin flip? This is your time. Want to bet on Gatorade colors and rare in-game occurrences? You can do that, too.
The distinctive “exotic" bets featured below open up new avenues of betting for the biggest game of the year.
Be sure to check out these other popular novelty props:
- Coin Toss Prop Bets
- National Anthem Prop Bets
- Gatorade Super Bowl Prop Bets
- Cross-Sport Super Bowl Props
Coin Toss Outcome: Tails
DraftKings Sportsbook • 1 Unit
Tails never fails, baby!
Tails hit last year. It’s hitting this year.
How Super Bowl Prop Betting Works
Super Bowl Prop Betting is when you place a wager on a specific outcome. The sportsbook sets a line and you need to bet Over or Under. In some instances, the options may also be Yes or No.
Some props also include several choices with different odds that provide varying payouts. In total, you can pick from Game Props, Player Props, Novelty Props, and Futures Props. Let’s dive in to explain each type of prop.
Game Props
Game Props refer to general outcomes that don’t pertain to a specific player. You can bet on events such as total number of sacks, longest field goal, longest passing touchdown, and much more.
For example, I could bet Over 48.5 yards (-110) on the longest field goal. If either kicker makes a field goal of 49 yards or longer, I would win this bet. If the longest field goal is 48 yards or fewer, I would lose this wager.
Since the line is -110, I would be risking 1.1x my bet, meaning my stake would be $110 to win $100. These types of props are usually set at -110 odds (or close to it) for both outcomes.
Player Props
Player props involve outcomes for specific players. You can bet on a player’s total yards, touchdowns, receptions, sacks, and much more.
For example, I could bet Over 277.5 passing yards (-130) for Patrick Mahomes. If Mahomes throws for 278 yards or more, I would win this wager. If he fails to eclipse this total, I would lose the bet.
Unfortunately, once your player steps on the field, the bet is locked in. Even if Mahomes gets hurt in the first quarter, I would still lose. Sportsbooks have a rule that states that if a player plays at least one snap, the bet is live. In this particular case, I would be staking $130 to win $100.
The lines on player props are often more diverse. Favored outcomes will require a higher stake, usually at a moneyline of -120 or higher. You may also find some player props with plus-money odds, where the payout is greater than the stake.
Novelty Props
Novelty props involve outcomes that don’t have anything to do with the players or the game, but with specific events revolving around the Super Bowl. These usually include random events such as the length of the national anthem or color of the Gatorade dumped on the winning coach after the game.
An example of this would be if I bet Over two minutes for the length of the national anthem. If the singer takes longer than that to complete their rendition, I would win my bet. If you’re betting on the color of the Gatorade, you’ll have a few options, each with different moneylines, such as orange (-110), red (+200), purple (+300) and others.
Futures Props
Futures Props are bets that can be placed on the Super Bowl before the game is played, even well in advance. These wagers are settled at the end of the game. Some types of Super Bowl futures props include Super Bowl MVP and Super Bowl Winner.
You can make a Super Bowl futures prop bet even before the two competitors are decided. For example, I could bet on any playoff team to win the Super Bowl, such as the Buffalo Bills (+800).
When betting on the Super Bowl MVP, you have several choices, each with varying moneylines based on their likelihood of winning the award. For example, if the Philadelphia Eagles are in the Super Bowl, quarterback Jalen Hurts (-110) would likely be the heavy favorite.
Best Super Bowl Prop Betting Sites
The best Super Bowl Prop Betting sites not only include a diverse selection of props, but also provide users with the ability to combine their props into Same Game Parlays for higher payouts. They also feature live betting with props, which can also be helpful.
Here are my five favorite Super Bowl Prop Betting sportsbooks:
DraftKings
New bettors have many choices for DraftKings Super Bowl promos they can use for props. The SB offers provide users with the ability to combine player props to create a Same Game Parlay. DraftKings also allows bettors to bet on low-probability outcomes, such as Travis Kelce scoring three touchdowns.
DraftKings has a sleek app with the option for daily fantasy. This is great because you can hedge your prop bets by avoiding those players in your daily fantasy lineups.
Caesars
Caesars has a ton of props to choose from, including odds boosts on specific events combined into a Same Game Parlay. For example, you can bet on the Kansas City Chiefs to win with Patrick Mahomes throwing three touchdown passes for improved odds. There are several examples of that offered by Caesars during the Super Bowl.
BetMGM
BetMGM provides a user-friendly experience with similar perks as the other sportsbooks listed above. They have a live-betting section with live-streaming options, allowing bettors to follow their bet in real-time. Like Caesars, BetMGM provides pre-arranged Same Game Parlays, which can be helpful for novice bettors.
Be sure to check out which BetMGM promos are available for the Super Bowl.
FanDuel
FanDuel also features a comprehensive selection of player props, game props and novelty props. Users can create huge Same Game Parlays with the potential of winning a massive payout.
With their large selection of betting options, full slate of promotional offerings, and plenty of safe and secure banking methods, it is no wonder that FanDuel is the go-to sportsbook for most U.S. online bettors.
Bet365
Bet365 similarly features several player props with a “Bet Builder” feature that allows users to create their own Same Game Parlays. Bet365 also has pre-arranged parlays with different props to make it easier on bettors.
My favorite part of this sportsbook is the live prop betting feature. Player props are adjusted in real-time based on events in the game. This gives bettors the opportunity to gain an edge if they notice that a player isn’t getting a lot of playing time.
How To Pick the Best Super Bowl Prop Betting Sites
It’s important to establish criteria on how to pick the ideal sportsbook for Super Bowl prop betting. Here is a list to help guide you in your selection:
Same Game Parlays
Same Game Parlays are great because you can correlate your prop bets for potentially higher payouts. For example, if I bet the Over on Patrick Mahomes’ passing yards, I would include the Over on Travis Kelce’s receiving yards. These are two correlated events because there’s a good chance that if Mahomes goes Over, Kelce will as well, since he’s currently the top target on the team.
Live Betting
Live Betting on player props is something that is not usually offered by sportsbooks, but you’ll find this option at bet365. It’s a good tool because let’s say that you notice that running back Miles Sanders is getting less playing time than expected. You can then bet the Under on his live rushing yards prop. Watching the game always gives you an edge in live betting.
Welcome Bonuses
Welcome Bonuses are great because they provide bet credits to new users following their first deposit. This can be helpful to build a betting bankroll. Check to see which welcome bonuses are being offered by your desired sportsbook.
Promotions
You can also find some of the best sportsbook promotions pertaining to props bets, such as props boosts. An odds boost is when the sportsbook provides greater value on a specific bet. For example, Patrick Mahomes throwing 3+ touchdowns might have been +160, but the book boosted it to +200. This is helpful to bettors as you try to create an edge against the bookmakers.
User Interface
User Interface is always important because you want your sportsbook to have an organized layout that is easy to navigate. This is huge when placing a live bet because you need to do it immediately since odds are updating in real-time.
Guidance to Novice Bettors
If you are unsure of what prop bets to make, we here at The Game Day have done the hard work for you, and you can consult our betting experts every step of the way from Week 1 all the way through to the last down of the Super Bowl.
Check out our daily betting picks for all the best bets and best bonus offers.
Super Bowl Prop Betting Promotions
There are different Super Bowl Props betting promotions offered by sportsbooks. Here are a few to look out for:
Props Boosts
This is when the sportsbook boosts the odds on a specific prop, which provides more value to the user. For example, they might have Jalen Hurts to rush for two touchdowns at +600, but boosted it to +700. This means that if you bet $100 on this prop, you would win $700 instead of $600.
Profit Boosts
Sportsbooks offer an increase in potential profits on specific outcomes. For example, in Super Bowl 55, DraftKings offered a 25% profit boost to selected events, such as Patrick Mahomes throwing 3+ touchdown passes.
Bonus Bets Same Game Parlays
Betting sites offer new users bonus bets Same Game Parlays. For example, DraftKings provided this promotion where bettors making their first Same Game Parlay (maximum $25) would be refunded if it was a losing bet. We can expect similar promotions to be available during the Super Bowl.
Past Super Bowl Promos
- DraftKings: Super Bowl 56 Bonus: Last year, DraftKings debuted a Super Bowl offer that granted new players 56-1 odds on either team to win the game when they bet $5.
- Caesars: Deposit Match: Caesars is known for having some of the largest welcome bonuses in the industry and it delivered for Super Bowl 56, offering new players a first deposit match up to $1,500.
- BetMGM: Bet $10, Get $200: BetMGM launched its bet $10, get $200 promo for last year’s game between the Rams and Bengals. New players who bet at least $10 on the game received $200 in free bets if either team scored a touchdown.
Best Super Bowl Prop Bets
The best type of Super Bowl Prop Bet is player props. This is because player production is more projectable. We can examine their season-long sample of production, usage, matchup, and team context.
For example, Quez Watkins averaged 10.7 receiving yards per game this season. However, most of his production came with Dallas Goedert out of the lineup. Goedert’s return relegated Watkins to the fourth or fifth option in the Eagles’ offense.
This means that Watkins is slated for fewer targets, which lowers his upside for receiving yards. If we see that Watkins has a prop of 13.5 receiving yards, we would bet on the Under due to these changes in his team context.
You can also go with game props, such as total sacks for a specific team. This is because we have data to show us how good a team is at rushing the passer. If a team is among the best at generating pressure, they’re a decent bet for the Over on sacks, depending on the opposing team’s pass protection skills.
Super Bowl Player Props
Super Bowl Player Props are prop bets related to player production within the Super Bowl. You can bet on several stats such as receptions, receiving yards, rushing yards, passing yards, pass attempts, and much more.
The sportsbook sets a line for each of these events and you need to bet on the Over or Under. Each side has a moneyline that can vary. For example, if Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing touchdowns is the favored outcome, the moneyline will be higher, perhaps as much as -200.
The player prop goes live if the player is on the field for at least one snap. This means that if they leave the game early with an injury, you (likely) won’t get refunded if your player fails to hit the Over on his prop. However, you’d win your bet if you had the Under in that situation.
Super Bowl Prop Betting Strategy
Your Super Bowl Prop Betting strategy should start with Player Props. This is because these are more predictable than other props. You can research the player’s production for the season as well as the opposing matchup to get a better idea of which side you’d prefer.
First, I would choose my favorite player props and place straight bets on them. This is because I’m most confident in these plays, so I’d want to profit if they hit. Don’t pile them into a parlay because you could then get most of the picks right, but still come away with zero profit.
I tend to focus my player prop plays on yardage stats because they are easier to project. Yardage props are ideal because you can look at their season-long production, such as average yards per game. You can also view their volume stats, such as target share, which is percentage of team targets for each player. This is great for receiving props.
Touchdowns can be random, so I’d avoid betting on a player to score a touchdown. You should also ignore pass and rush attempts because these are more affected by game flow. For example, if Patrick Mahomes throws a 60-yard touchdown pass, that’s bad news if you bet the Over on his pass attempts.
Next, I would find correlated player props to combine for a Same Game Parlay. For example, I could pair Patrick Mahomes Over 275.5 passing yards with Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions or Over 75 receiving yards. If Mahomes has a big game, the chances are high that his top target will also have strong production. This is the best way to create your Same Game Parlays.
While watching the game, I’d keep an eye on any live player props bets that stick out to me. For example, if I notice that wide receiver Mecole Hardman is barely seeing the field, I would try to bet the Under on his live player prop for receiving yards.
I would suggest avoiding Novelty Props because these are totally random. You aren’t able to project how long a singer will take to finish the national anthem or what color the Gatorade will be. These are fun props in name only, but they’re bad bets that can eat away at your bankroll. Don’t touch these.
To finish off my Super Bowl Props strategy, I would place a wager on Super Bowl MVP for each team. The quarterbacks are always the heavy favorites here, so I’d bet on each of them with a higher stake because of the greater likelihood. Then, I’d put in small bets on two longshot MVPs to try to hit a home run.
Benefits of Super Bowl Prop Betting Online
There are several benefits to placing Super Bowl Prop Bets online. You’ll find them below:
- Convenience: It’s much easier to place a bet online than going in-person to your sportsbook. You can put these wagers in from the comfort of your electronic device.
- Promotions: Betting online means that you have access to welcome bonuses and promotions, which provide you with free bet credits to build your bankroll.
- Live Betting: Live betting requires you to act quickly, since the odds change in real-time. You need to place the wager during a stoppage in play. This means that online betting is the only way that you can bet after the game has started. Live betting can offer some edges, so be sure to take advantage here.
How to Place a Super Bowl Prop Bet Online
Here are the steps to place a Super Bowl Prop Bet Online:
- Register for an account at your preferred sportsbook. Be sure to click “Get Bonus" and use our promo code in order to lock in the best new player offer.
- Click “NFL” and go to Prop Bets.
- Choose your preferred props and add them to your Bet Slip.
- Type in how much money you’d like to bet on each pick.
- Place your bets.
Where Can I Legally Super Bowl Prop Bet Online?
The following states allow you to legally place a Super Bowl Prop Bet online:
- Arizona
- Colorado
- Connecticut
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Iowa
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Louisiana
- Maine
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- New Hampshire
- New Jersey
- New York
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oregon
- Pennsylvania
- Rhode Island
- Tennessee
- Virginia
- Washington D.C.
- West Virginia
- Wyoming
Where Can I Bet Super Bowl Novelty Props?
While Super Bowl props are the main attraction when betting on the big game, some states have restrictions as to which novelty props sportsbooks can offer.
Here is a full list of the states in which certain Super Bowl props are available:
Coin Toss: AZ, IL, IN, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, WA, WV, WY
Gatorade Color: AZ, IL, MD, NJ, WV
National Anthem: IL, MD
MVP Award: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WA, WV, WY
Negative Outcomes: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, WY
Choose More Than One Super Bowl Prop Betting Site
It’s important to choose multiple sites to place prop bets because you can take advantage of their welcome bonuses, such as first-deposit matches. These are one-time offers, so it’s best to deposit the maximum amount to receive the highest amount of bet credits offered by the sportsbook.
The best suggestion would be to deposit as much as you can afford for your bankroll and then take the profits to add to another site. This way, you can maximize your bet credits and take full advantage of the welcome bonuses.
For example, I could deposit $1,000 on FanDuel to get their full $1,000 second-chance bet. I would try to earn profits to then deposit $1,000 of those winnings to another site.
Choosing multiple sportsbooks is also useful to compare lines. For example, DraftKings might have Jalen Hurts’ passing yards prop at 247.5, but Caesars might have it at 253.5. In this case, it’s better to bet the Over on DraftKings.
Every yard makes a huge difference in player props, so make sure to compare lines as much as possible. —Frank Ammirante
