Betting on the Super Bowl coin toss is an American tradition.
Sure, you can wager on the game, the MVP, and a buffet of other props. But nothing compares to betting on the flip of a coin. The odds are clear, as are the outcomes.
Will it be heads? Or will it be tails?
Regardless of the outcome, there’s no better feeling than winning a bet before the game even kicks off.
Ready to bet on the Super Bowl 57 coin toss? Let’s explore all the options for the 2023 Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles.
Please note that all Super Bowl odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and current as of 11:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Feb. 1.
Super Bowl Coin Toss Odds
If you’re planning to bet on the Super Bowl coin toss, you’re going to want to shop at various sportsbooks for the best odds. As silly as that sounds, books typically offer different prices for what should be a 50-50 proposition.
DraftKings Sportsbook is currently offering the best odds on the Super Bowl coin toss, with Heads and Tails listed evenly at +100. That price implies a 50% win probability, which makes sense in this context, and ensures players the chance to double their money if they pick the correct coin toss outcome.
DraftKings has added a few other coin toss-related props, including the team to win the flip and earn the right to choose between receiving the opening kickoff and deferring to the second half. As should be the case, the Chiefs and Eagles are also equally priced at +100 to call the coin toss correctly.
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If you’re in the market for a more complex coin toss prop, may I interest you in the odds for either team to win the coin toss and then win the Super Bowl?
Very well. I’m not sure if these are technically Super Bowl parlays, but these yes/no propositions are certainly interesting to entertain.
The odds for Philadelphia to win the coin toss and raise the Lombardi Trophy are Yes (+250)/No (-330), while Kansas City’s odds to accomplish the same feat are even more disparate: Yes (+300)/No (-400).
Super Bowl Coin Toss History
One would think that a coin toss would have a relatively even outcome distribution between heads and tails. And yes, you would largely be right.
Tails, however, holds a 29-27 advantage heading into Super Bowl 57 between the Chiefs and Eagles. In recent years, heads has slightly closed the gap by showing up in three of the past five Super Bowls.
Before that, tails ripped off four wins in a row.
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This back-and-forth has been almost as competitive, if not more so, than the games themselves. Well, at least for those of us who bet on it.
Surprisingly, winning the coin toss hasn’t provided much of an edge in the actual game. The last eight coin toss winners have all gone on to lose the Super Bowl.
In fact, the last franchise to raise the Lombardi Trophy after winning the coin toss was the Seattle Seahawks, who defeated the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 48.
Chiefs Super Bowl Coin Toss History
The Chiefs will be making their fifth Super Bowl appearance when they take on the Eagles in Arizona.
Here is how their previous four coin tosses (and games) went:
| Super Bowl | Coin Toss Result | Did Chiefs Win Toss? | Game Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heads | No | L 35-10 vs GB |
| 4 | Tails | No | W 23-10 vs MIN |
| 54 | Tails | No | W 31-10 vs SF |
| 55 | Heads | Yes | L 31-9 vs TB |
Kansas City will surely be holding its collective breath during the Super Bowl coin toss as the Chiefs have only lifted the Lombardi Trophy when they’ve lost the toss and the result has been tails.
All kidding aside, this is obviously a small sample size.
During their run to Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs won the toss against both the Bengals and Jaguars. Kansas City chose to defer twice, its defense forced two opening-drive punts, and the Chiefs went on to win both games.
Can they keep the trend going in the Super Bowl? We shall see…
Eagles Super Bowl Coin Toss History
Philadelphia will be making its fourth Super Bowl appearance in 2023. The previous three trips have taken on a similar pattern when it comes to the coin toss.
| Super Bowl | Coin Toss Result | Did Eagles Win Toss? | Game Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Tails | Yes | L 27-10 vs OAK |
| 39 | Tails | Yes | L 24-21 vs NE |
| 52 | Heads | No | W 41-33 vs NE |
I guess it isn’t a surprise given the recent trend, but it appears that both teams will be hoping their teams lose the coin toss. However, Chiefs fans will be rooting for tails, while Eagles fans will be hoping for heads.
Philadelphia’s trip to the Super Bowl has also followed a distinct pattern when it comes to the coin toss. In playoff games against the Giants and 49ers, the Eagles lost the coin toss, got the ball first, and went on to score opening-drive touchdowns.
I’m pretty sure coach Nick Sirianni would sign up for that a third time if he could.
Check out more of our Super Bowl 57 betting plays
- Read our full staff’s Super Bowl Predictions.
- Dive into a full menu of Super Bowl Prop Bets.
- Go for glory with our Super Bowl Parlays.
Super Bowl Coin Toss Prediction
Heads
Over the history of the Super Bowl, we have seen the coin toss land the same way four or five years in a row, and heads still has some catching up to do in the overall standings.
Call it regression to the mean, call it luck, heads will prevail.
Super Bowl Coin Toss Best Bets
Coin Toss Result: Heads (+100) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Wager: 1 Unit
If tails never fails, what happened the last two years?
Don’t overthink this. Take heads for your NFL bet of the day.
Chiefs: Win Coin Toss (+100) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Wager: 1 Unit
As the designated away team, the Chiefs will have the honor of calling the toss.
I believe Kansas City will call heads, as Travis Kelce did successfully in Super Bowl 55, and therefore will win the toss.
Eagles: Win Coin Toss & Super Bowl (+250) at DraftKings Sportsbook
Wager: 1 Unit
This Super Bowl coin toss curse has to end at some point, right?
I could be wrong on my assumption above, especially since Super Bowl 55 didn’t go particularly well for Kansas City, so there’s a decent chance Kelce (or someone else) calls tails.
I’m picking the Eagles to win the game, so if they can win this 50-50 flip before kickoff, I’m getting a much better price with this prop.
Where can I bet the Super Bowl Coin Toss?
While Super Bowl props are the main attraction when betting on the big game, some states have restrictions as to which novelty props sportsbooks can offer.
Here is a full list of the states in which certain Super Bowl props are available:
Coin Toss: AZ, IL, IN, MD, MI, MS, NJ, NY, PA, WA, WV, WY
Gatorade Color: AZ, IL, MD, NJ, WV
National Anthem: IL, MD
MVP Award: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IA, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WA, WV, WY
Negative Outcomes: AZ, CT, CO, DC, KS, IL, IN, LA, MD, MI, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WA, WV, WY
Editor Note: TGD featured writer Adam Kramer contributed research to this Super Bowl Coin Toss report.
