2024 Super Bowl Predictions & Best Bets For 49ers-Chiefs

Last Updated: Feb 9, 2024

Two of the NFL’s most successful franchises of all time will look to add another major accomplishment to their impressive bodies of championship work when the Kansas City Chiefs meet the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58.

The Chiefs aim to cement themselves as the true, current dynasty in the NFL while becoming the first team in 19 years to repeat as a Super Bowl champion. The 49ers can tie the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers for most Super Bowl wins with six, while ending a championship drought lasting nearly 30 years.

Who will add another Lombardi Trophy to their cases? I make the call, and you can view all the Super Bowl 58 odds.

Super Bowl 58 Prediction

FINAL SCORE PICK: Chiefs 27, 49ers 24

I am expecting the second Super Bowl clash between Kansas City and San Francisco to be a close matchup. Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker made the game-winning kicks in Super Bowl 57 and last season’s AFC Championship Game, and may play the role of a difference-maker in the clutch again.

Kansas City has won its last playoff games by seven and three points. San Francisco won both of its NFC playoff games by three points, so you can strap in for a tight showdown between two historic franchises.

Check out our complete Super Bowl 58 betting guide, along with some of the best sportsbook promos in the industry.

Super Bowl 58 Featured Best Bet

Chiefs +2

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1.5 Units

The Chiefs are the more proven Super Bowl team, as they have played in four of the last five and have a head coach/quarterback combination that is still building a legendary list of accomplishments. The duo of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes is now in the conversation with some of the greatest in NFL history, such as Tom Brady/Bill Belichick and Joe Montana/Bill Walsh.

Reid now has 25 career playoff wins, the second-most ever by an NFL head coach, and the fourth head coach to appear in five Super Bowls. Mahomes is the first QB in NFL history to start in four Super Bowls before the age of 30 and he now has 14 career playoff wins, second only to Brady and Montana, as noted by the Kansas City Star.

While Mahomes has an illustrious postseason record, the Kansas City defense has been a prime factor in their playoff success. The Chiefs led all teams in the postseason with four takeaways and have allowed 10 or fewer points in two of three postseason games.

Defense will be the key against the 49ers, who have the league’s most talent-laden crew of playmakers. San Francisco ranked third in the NFL during the regular season at 28.9 points per game, and it has stayed on that course with 58 points scored in its first two playoff games.

Brock Purdy has led two comeback wins against lesser defenses in the NFC but will find the Chiefs’ unit much less forgiving. Ultimately, Super Bowl 58 will come down to which defense will get the key stop in a clutch moment, and I will lean toward Kansas City getting the job done.

The Chiefs are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season and 6-3-1 when not playing at Arrowhead Stadium, as noted by TeamRankings. San Francisco is 9-10 ATS as favorite and 6-7 after a win, and the 49ers did not cover the spread in their two NFC playoff games.

Lock in Kansas City to cover the spread and win its fourth Super Bowl as the NFL bet of the day.

Super Bowl 58 Featured Best Bet

Over 47.5

DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit

Neither offense will be fully held down despite both sides having quality defensive reputations, as the Niners simply have too many playmakers, and the Chiefs, while less potent than in recent seasons, can still roll up enough points to help us ease to the virtual pay window here.

Kansas City averaged 23.3 points per game in three AFC playoff games, scoring more than 26 twice. San Francisco allowed 52 points in two NFC playoff games, and the Chiefs are certainly capable of scoring within 26 again, giving the Niners ample runway to push the wager past the Over.

The Chiefs’ secondary is a significant defensive strength, but it can be avoided often enough by the 49ers with consistent throws to Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle. Attacking the Kansas City defense with alternatives to the WRs is an approach that Baltimore should have considered, and San Francisco is better equipped to execute.

When the Chiefs have the ball, look for them to lean on Isiah Pacheco, as Aaron Jones rushed for 108 yards vs the 49ers in the Divisional Round, and Detroit rushed for three TDs against them in the NFC title game. Sam LaPorta caught nine passes for 97 yards last week, so Travis Kelce may see a path to finishing off his resurgent postseason.

San Francisco is 10-3 to the Over following a win. Two of three of Kansas City’s AFC playoff games came in under the projected total for Super Bowl 58, but those results were against a lesser Baltimore offense and a Miami team dealing with extreme weather conditions.

Super Bowl 58 Staff Predictions

SB PredictionsAmmiranteArliaDe LimaEngelHicksWagman
ATS Winner49ers (-1)Chiefs (+1)49ers (-1)Chiefs (+1)Chiefs (+1)Chiefs (+1)
O/U 47.5Over 47.5Over 47.5Under 47.5Over 47.5Over 47.5Over 47.5
SB MVPGeorge KittlePatrick MahomesChristian McCaffreyTravis KelcePatrick MahomesIsiah Pacheco

Photo Credit: Kirby Lee, USA Today


Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously he was at and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 13-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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