Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets

Frank AmmiranteFantasy Sports & Betting Writer
Posted: a day agoLast updated: a day ago

Patrick Mahomes continued to show why he’s clearly the best quarterback in the NFL in the Chiefs’ win over the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game.

Despite playing through a high ankle sprain, Mahomes was able to complete more than 67 percent of his passes for 326 yards and two touchdowns.

He’s in for another tough test against the Eagles, who have an elite pass defense.

With that in mind, let’s dive into the best Patrick Mahomes prop bets for Super Bowl 57.

All Super Bowl odds used in these props are current as of Thursday, Feb. 2, at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Patrick Mahomes Prop Pick of the Day

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Patrick Mahomes Rush Yards Prop

Patrick Mahomes: Under 19.5 Rush Yards (-135) at DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Mahomes averaged 21.1 rushing yards per game during the regular season. However, it’s clear that his high ankle sprain has affected his mobility.

In the AFC Championship Game, Mahomes was limited to only eight yards on three carries, one of which was a five-yard run on the last play of the game.

While an extra week of rest could help his mobility, that’s already baked into the number at 19.5, since it’s relatively close to his season average.

I believe this is too high of a bar to clear considering the lingering injury.

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Patrick Mahomes Pass Yards Prop

Patrick Mahomes: Over 290.5 Pass Yards (-130) at DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Eagles’ defense ranks 1st in Pass DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. However, we’ve got a couple of angles with the Over here.

For one, Mahomes’ limited mobility could keep him in the pocket, resulting in more pass attempts, and providing more opportunities to rack up yardage.

There’s also a chance that the Chiefs are playing from behind in this game, which would bode well for passing volume.

Add in the fact that Mahomes averaged 308.8 passing yards per game this year and you can see why the Over looks so appealing.


Frank Ammirante

Before joining The Game Day, Frank spent three years in the fantasy sports and betting industry, writing for websites like RotoBaller and 4for4football. Frank is an active member of the fantasy baseball and fantasy football community, participating in high-stakes leagues like NFBC/NFFC as well as industry competitions like Scott Fish Bowl, RazzBowl, and TGFBI. Frank is a member of the FSWA and IBWAA. Give him a shout to talk fantasy sports and sports betting.

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