I opened the NFL playoffs with a strong showing in game props in the NFL wild-card round, nailing three of four featured selections. Taking Dallas Over 23.5 points and Giants-Vikings Over 49.5 points were prime picks that I knew had a very good chance of cashing.
For my NFL Divisional Round prop bets, I am getting more daring on the game props while my player props have good chances of taking you and me to the pay window.
Scott Engel 2022 NFL props betting: 86-154 (-73 Units)
NFL Divisional Round Player Props
NFL Divisional Round odds used for prop bets are from Caesars Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and current as of Wednesday, Jan. 18.
Brandon Aiyuk: Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Cowboys — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 2 Units
Aiyuk has soared past the projected total in his last four games and five of his past six, marking this wager as an NFL bet of the day for the divisional round. He averaged 59.7 receiving yards per game during the regular season.
Dallas ranked 25th in receiving yards allowed to WRs during the regular season. The Cowboys’ defense will be heavily focused on San Francisco’s other top playmakers, and Aiyuk will be a downfield target as the Cowboys try to stifle the 49ers’ traditional YAC approach.
Jerick McKinnon: Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs Jaguars — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
McKinnon has emerged as a major weapon for the Chiefs, who cannot count on their wide receivers. McKinnon finished the regular season with 30-plus receiving yards in four of his final games.
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Jacksonville ranked 30th in the NFL in receiving yards allowed to RBs during the regular season. The trend continued late into the schedule, as the Jaguars ranked 28th in the final four weeks.
Joe Mixon: Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Bills — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Buffalo ranked fifth in rushing defense during the regular season. Jeff Wilson was Miami’s leading rusher vs the Bills in the Wild Card round with 23 yards.
Mixon has failed to get past the projected rushing total in four of his past six games. His 58.1 rushing yards per game is his lowest seasonal average since his rookie year.
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Evan Engram: Anytime TD Scorer (+175) at Chiefs — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Jaguars will obviously have to throw the ball to keep up with the Chiefs, and this game has the highest projected total (53) of all the divisional round matchups.
The Chiefs allowed nine TD receptions to TEs during the regular season, which was tied for 28th in the NFL. They allowed four TD catches to TEs in the final four weeks of the season.
NFL Divisional Prop Bets
Jaguars vs Chiefs: JAC Over 20 Points (-166) — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 2 Units
Jacksonville has sauntered past this total in five of its past six games. The Jaguars will have to keep answering back at the league’s best offense in what may be the highest-scoring game of the NFL playoffs‘ Divisional Round.
Giants vs Eagles: PHI Under 27 Total Points (+116) — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Viewing the results from the wild-card round, in which seven teams scored above the projected total, and the Giants scored 31, you might think this wager is pushing a bit against the trends. These divisional rivals, however, are very familiar with each other and will be matching up for the third time this season.
In the regular-season finale, the Eagles scored 22 points against a Giants team that was not playing for anything at all. New York has not allowed more than 22 points in four of its past five games.
Cowboys vs 49ers: DAL 1st Half Moneyline (+143) — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Brock Purdy is going to face his toughest matchup yet. The Dallas defense led the NFL with 33 takeaways and was third with 54 sacks during the regular season.
The Cowboys will put Purdy into many adverse situations early on the way to earning their first trip to the NFC Championship Game for the first time since 1997.
As I also note in my Cowboys vs 49ers pick, I’m rolling with the Dallas moneyline. The playmakers on its defensive unit will be able to limit big plays from San Francisco’s usual standouts.
Bengals vs Bills: CIN -3 Alternate Spread (+262) — Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
I believe this is the game where Josh Allen’s picks will cost him after he was second in the NFL during the regular season with 14 interceptions, and he had two more in the wild-card round. Joe Burrow has thrown more than one interception only once in his last seven games.
We are looking at two evenly matched squads in what may be the best game of the weekend, but I think the losing team will be done in by a turnover. Allen is going to make that regrettable mistake that he will have to live with during the offseason.
