The New England Patriots (7-6) head west for the second straight week to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) for a Week 15 battle at Allegiant Stadium.
New England comes into the contest having upended the Arizona Cardinals by a 27-13 score at State Farm Stadium on Monday night, a game that saw Kyler Murray go down with a non-contact knee injury on the third play of the game.
The Raiders suffered a shocking 17-16 loss to a debuting Baker Mayfield and his Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night to kick off the Week 14 slate.
Without further ado, let’s delve into our New England vs Las Vegas best bets, predictions and betting tips for Sunday’s AFC showdown.
Patriots vs Raiders Odds
The Patriots’ status as one-point road favorites as of Tuesday afternoon, Dec. 13, on Caesars Sportsbook is to be expected, considering they’re facing an inconsistent Raiders team that’s often taken two steps back for every one step forward.
However, it’s worth noting this line could easily flip the other way, especially considering the status of several injured players on either side.
Patriots vs Raiders Implied Totals
Patriots 22.75, Raiders 21.75
Oddsmakers clearly seem to be envisioning a mostly defense-centric game where both teams’ inconsistent offenses find only sporadic success. However, the total in this game could certainly trend even lower if the Patriots are forced to play with a backfield that has neither Damien Harris (thigh) nor Rhamondre Stevenson (ankle) available.
On the flip side, the total could see a nice boost if both Darren Waller (hamstring) and Hunter Renfrow (oblique) are announced as available for Las Vegas.
Patriots vs Raiders Pick of the Day
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Patriots vs Raiders Prediction
Raiders 27, Patriots 23
The Raiders appeared to finally be catching on to Josh McDaniels‘ offense in recent weeks, and then the perplexing Week 14 loss to the Rams happened.
Whether the paltry 16 points Las Vegas managed to compile in that game may have been by design — the Raiders appeared to be in complete control until Los Angeles’ last two drives — it’s probably a safe bet that McDaniels won’t take that same approach facing a coach who already knows his offense as intimately as Bill Belichick does.
The good news for the hosts is that they may have a solid opportunity to run a balanced attack. If Renfrow and Waller are able to join Davante Adams and Mack Hollins in the air arsenal, Derek Carr will be in an advantageous position to say the least.
That’s especially true when factoring in New England has been surprisingly vulnerable to the pass on the road.
The Pats are giving up 249 passing yards per road game at 10.6 yards per completion. New England even surrendered 246 yards to Arizona’s Colt McCoy on Monday night after Murray went down.
Additionally, the Patriots had gone into that game as one of the most effective teams at limiting rushing production on the road, but James Conner unexpectedly gained 5.7 yards per carry on 15 attempts.
Consequently, Josh Jacobs, who’s arguably been the most impressive running back in the league the second half of the season despite dealing with a number of lower-body issues, could have more running room than one might assume at first glance.
On the other side, not only do the Patriots have their aforementioned health concerns at running back, but they could be short-handed at receiver as well. DeVante Parker was forced from Monday night’s game with a concussion, which was also the reason for Jakobi Meyers‘ absence from the game altogether.
With four prominent injuries potentially in play, it feels safe to say New England won’t be at full strength and therefore not ideally equipped to take advantage of a Raiders defense that’s allowed 383.4 total yards per home game.
However, with that level of vulnerability, there should still be some success for whatever iteration of the Patriots offense takes the field, just not enough to squeeze out a second straight road victory.
Patriots vs Raiders Bet Tips
Here are a few Patriots vs Raiders betting trends to consider before making your bets:
- The Patriots are 7-5-1 against the spread, including 4-2-1 on the road and 4-3-1 in conference games.
- The Raiders are 6-7 ATS, including 3-2 at home and 5-4 in conference games.
- The Over is 5-8 in the Patriots’ games this season, including 3-4 in its road games and 2-6 in games against AFC foes.
- The Over is 6-6-1 in the Raiders’ games this season, including 3-1-1 in its home games and 5-4 in its games against conference opponents.
Patriots vs Raiders Best Bets
Raiders +1 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
As discussed, the Raiders appear set to have a slightly healthier offense than they’ve had in recent weeks.
Assuming Jacobs is a go without any significant restrictions, Las Vegas should be able to capitalize on its rest advantage to score an upset in this spot. The Patriots may have to rely on an all-rookie backfield while also being down an explosive downfield weapon in Parker.
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Over 44.5 points (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
There’s enough vulnerability on the Raiders defense plus talented weapons on both sides to exceed this modest total. It’s also worth noting that the Over has a good track record in Vegas’ home games, where the weather conditions are always conducive to offense.
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Patriots vs Raiders Props
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