NFL Christmas Prop Bets

Last Updated: Dec 25, 2022

A three-game Christmas Day slate in NFL Week 16 gives us more opportunities to head to the pay window. A possible shootout in Packers vs Dolphins awaits, while we also can ride with Tom Brady and see what can be squeezed out of the Denver offense.

Scott Engel 2022 NFL Prop Betting Record: 70-106 (-55 Units)

NFL Christmas Player Props

NFL Week 16 odds used for prop bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook (unless otherwise noted) and are current as of Friday, Dec. 23.

Aaron Rodgers: Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+100) at Dolphins

WAGER: 2 Units

Miami has allowed 24 TD passes, which is tied for the third-most in the NFL. The Dolphins have allowed eight TD passes in their past four games.

Rodgers has passed for one TD in each of his past two games, but he had two-plus TD passes in five of his six previous outings. He will have to gun the ball often enough to keep up with Tua Tagovailoa on the scoreboard.

Before reading the rest of Scott’s prop picks, toggle with the widget below for our full list of NFL Week 16 player props:

Latavius Murray: Anytime TD Scorer (+105) at Rams

WAGER: 1 Unit

A.J. Dillon rushed for two TDs against the Rams last week. He banged his way to 90 yards on 17 carries, and the Broncos can approach the Los Angeles defense similarly with Murray.

Russell Wilson passed for three TDs in his last game played and will increase Murray’s chances to finish off a scoring drive if he displays his better form again. Los Angeles has allowed four rushing TDs to RBs in its last four games.

NFL Christmas Prop Bets

Packers vs Dolphins: GB Over 22.5 Total Points (-115)

WAGER: 2 Units

Green Bay has vaulted past this projected total in three consecutive games and four of its past five. This game has the highest total of the week at 50 and the Packers will do their part in elevating the offensive output.

Miami has allowed 23-plus points in their last three games and it has allowed 24.6 points per game for the season, which ranks 26th in the NFL. The Packers will apply some offensive pressure on Miami as they try to keep their playoff hopes alive.

  • Check out the latest NFL Week 16 Odds for more on the upcoming slate of games.

Buccaneers vs Cardinals: TB 21-30 Total Points Band (+145)

WAGER: 1 Unit

The Buccaneers scored 23 points against the Bengals last week and came within four points of this projected points band in two of their previous three games. They should be able to land within the range against an Arizona defense that will spend a lot of time on the field this week.

The Cardinals are down to a third-string quarterback, and they have allowed between 24 and 27 points in their last three games. Tampa Bay has not scored above 30 points since Week 4.


Scott Engel

Scott Engel is a Senior Sports Writer at The Game Day. Previously he was at and The Athletic. His work is also featured at RotoBaller and on Scott is a host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He is an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association's Hall of Fame. Scott is a four-time FSWA award winner and a 13-time finalist. He was an Associate Editor and featured writer at and his career began at CBS SportsLine, where he was a Senior Writer and Managing Editor. Scott was the Managing Director at RotoExperts.

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