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Browns vs Dolphins Predictions & Odds

Posted: Nov 8, 2022Last updated: Nov 8, 2022

The Cleveland Browns (3-5) head to South Florida to take on the Miami Dolphins (6-3) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday in a key game for both clubs.

Cleveland was on a bye in Week 9 after an impressive 32-13 Monday night win over the Cincinnati Bengals to close out Week 8. Miami was able to outlast the Chicago Bears, 35-32, at Soldier Field on Sunday for its third straight win.

With the stage set, let’s examine our Cleveland vs Miami best bets, predictions, and betting tips for this Week 10 clash.

Browns vs Dolphins Odds

The Browns’ status as only 3.5-point road underdogs is eye-catching, considering the disparity between the teams’ records and passing attacks. However, the fact Cleveland is coming off a bye and Miami’s defense has shown vulnerability to the pass may certainly be playing a part here.

The projected total of 48.5 seems to be right in line with a matchup between a team that still prefers to lean on its ground game as much as possible (Cleveland) and a Dolphins team that can strike quickly through the air and also seems to have injected new life into its running game with the acquisition of Jeff Wilson.

Take a look at the best Browns odds and Dolphins odds for the 2022 NFL season.

All odds are current as of 1 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 8, at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Browns vs Dolphins Implied Totals

Dolphins 26, Browns 22.5

Oddsmakers, as of Tuesday, Nov. 8, seem to be envisioning another close game for the Dolphins that they pull out largely on the strength of their offense, with the Browns not quite able to keep pace with Miami’s high-octane air attack in the end.

Browns vs Dolphins Pick of the Day

Read more on this Browns vs Dolphins bet below.

Browns vs Dolphins Prediction

Dolphins 27, Browns 21

The Dolphins’ passing attack is proving to be one of the league’s elite units, and a matchup against a Browns team that’s been beatable through the air at times doesn’t project as an insurmountable obstacle in its ongoing path to success.

On the bright side for the Browns, Denzel Ward (concussion) is looking likely to make his return after a three-game absence and Cleveland is allowing an NFL-low 144 passing yards per road game and a 51.6 percent completion rate in that split, as well.

While those numbers certainly look daunting on the surface, it’s worth noting they’ve been built in matchups against Baker Mayfield, Marcus Mariota, and Lamar Jackson, with the latter putting up just 16 pass attempts in that contest and playing with a hobbled Mark Andrews.

The matchup is naturally exponentially more daunting against Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill, and Jaylen Waddle. The Dolphins are averaging 310.7 passing yards per game in the last three contests and rank second on the season with 293.6 per game overall.

Miami also gained a new passing game weapon at the deadline in Wilson, who complements Raheem Mostert‘s own pass-catching talent out of the backfield nicely. Speaking of the duo, the matchup on the ground is far from prohibitive, as Cleveland is giving up 138.7 rushing yards per road contest.

The Browns should have their opportunities on offense, as well, considering the Dolphins’ sub-standard pressure rates and the fact their secondary has proven porous at times. Miami has tightened up a bit more against the pass recently (224.3 PYPG allowed in the last three games), however, and the Fins have been much better at limiting chunk plays through the air at home (8.5 yards per completion allowed) than on the road (12.4).

Cleveland’s vaunted running game should also have its moments as it does each week while led by the matchup-proof Nick Chubb. However, it’s certainly possible that head coach Kevin Stefanski‘s hand is eventually forced by the Dolphins’ high-powered offense and he turns more toward the pass, where he doesn’t have the weapons to fully keep up if Tagovailoa and company are clicking.

Browns vs Dolphins Bet Tips

Here are some Browns vs Dolphins betting trends to consider before placing your bets:

  • The Browns are 4-4 against the spread this season, including 2-1 as a home team and 3-3 in conference games.
  • The Dolphins are 4-5 ATS this season, including 2-2 as a home team and 3-3 against AFC opponents.
  • The Over is 5-2-1 in the Browns’ games this season, including 1-2 in their road games and 4-1-1 in conference games.
  • The Over is 4-5 in the Dolphins’ 2022 contests, including 0-4 in its home games and 2-4 in matchups against AFC foes.

Browns vs Dolphins Best Bets

Dolphins -3.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Miami should have enough firepower here to overcome what will be a feisty and well-rested Browns team, as the Dolphins’ air attack should still have plenty of opportunities despite the likely return of Ward for Cleveland.

Before placing this bet, get the best Dolphins promo codes.

Dolphins Moneyline & Over 44.5 Total Points (+123) at FanDuel

Building on the belief of a Dolphins win, this parlay is a great way to get around the heavy (-194) moneyline price Miami carries as of Tuesday afternoon.

As far as the total goes, there are certainly enough offensive pieces on each side for the points to progressively pile up as the afternoon unfolds and get past this alternate figure that still gives us a plus-money wager.

Interested in backing Cleveland? Get the best Browns promo codes.

Browns vs Dolphins Props

Check out the best Browns vs Dolphins player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool. Click on “Show More Games" below to find the Cleveland vs Miami game and see all of its prop bets.

Author

Juan Carlos Blanco

Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports since 1997 and actively writing about the fantasy sports and sports betting industries since 2015 for multiple websites. He has covered a wide variety of professional sports leagues, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, CFL, Arena Football League, Alliance of American Football, XFL, NPB and KBO. He was the recipient of the FSWA's 2016 Newcomer of the Year award for his work with RotoWire.

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