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Browns Futures Odds After Deshaun Watson Trade | Super Bowl, AFC, & Division Lines

After a year of uncertainty surrounding Deshaun Watson, the former Houston Texans signal-caller finally has a new team to play for.

The Cleveland Browns officially acquired the three-time Pro Bowl quarterback on Sunday in a blockbuster trade that was quite the surprise. Watson had already reportedly ruled out a move to Cleveland, and this surely puts an end to Baker Mayfield‘s tenure with the Browns.

In all, Cleveland dealt three first-round picks, a 2023 third-round pick, and its 2024 fourth-round pick to Houston in exchange for Watson and a fifth-round selection in 2024.

This move, coupled with the acquisition of former Cowboys WR Amari Cooper and release of veterans Jarvis Landry and Austin Hooper, signal an intent to retool the weapons for Kevin Stefanski‘s offense and win at all costs.

With Watson now under center, do Cleveland’s Super Bowl 57 chances improve? What are the Browns’ best bets for 2022-2023?

Note: These Browns futures bet odds are current as of Monday, March 21, at 7 p.m. ET. These NFL odds may shift as sportsbooks continue to adjust after the trade.

Browns Super Bowl 57 Odds with Watson

Browns to Win Super Bowl 57 (+1800) at Caesars

To say the Browns’ 2021 campaign was a disappointment is an understatement.

Cleveland was supposed to take another step forward last season after the franchise won its first playoff game in 26 years and challenged the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round the year prior.

Instead, the Browns were, well, the Browns. Odell Beckham Sr. caused turmoil in the locker room by criticizing Mayfield on social media, which ultimately led to his son’s release.

Injuries marred Mayfield and the Browns throughout the campaign, and an ill-timed COVID-19 outbreak doomed Cleveland in a pivotal Week 15 matchup against the Raiders, who went on to claim a Wild Card spot in a loaded AFC.


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This offseason reshuffle presents the Browns with a bit of a reset heading into the 2022-23 season. While there will certainly be some turmoil and backlash for acquiring Watson amid his legal troubles, there’s no doubt he’s an upgrade over Mayfield on the field.

If you don’t believe me, just look at Cleveland’s Super Bowl odds. The morning after Super Bowl 56, the Browns were 40-1 longshots to lift the Lombardi Trophy next season. Now at 18-1, Cleveland has the tenth-shortest odds to win Super Bowl 57 at Caesars Sportsbook.

The last time we saw Watson play, he threw for nearly 5,000 yards and had a 33:7 TD:INT ratio for a Texans team that only won four games in 2020. He’ll have a much better defense in Cleveland and should be a great fit for Stefanski’s balanced offensive scheme.

As long as Watson’s off-the-field issues are behind him, the Browns should improve markedly next season and have a legitimate shot of making a Super Bowl run. Unfortunately, that’s still a big question mark.

We’ve seen players avoid criminal charges but get suspended by the NFL after an independent investigation before. Don’t rule out that possibility here.

Based on how Watson’s five-year contract extension in Cleveland is structured, with him receiving only $1 million in base salary in 2022, there’s the potential that the Browns or Watson’s camp know a suspension is looming.

I don’t think I’d make this bet until we know more about Watson’s availability, and there’s very little value left at this number anyway.

Browns AFC Championship Odds with Watson

Browns to Win 2023 AFC Championship (+900) at Caesars

Even after adding Watson, the Browns currently have the fifth-best odds to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. That tells you all you need to know about how loaded the conference is.

The Bills (+400) and Chiefs (+450) are the favorites in the AFC once again, followed by the Chargers (+850) and Broncos (+850).

Cleveland fits in nicely with that second tier, as all three are up-and-coming squads that have made significant roster improvements, but failed to reach the postseason in 2021.

The Browns certainly have the talent on paper to compete, but there are a lot of moving parts on both sides of the ball and things may take some time to click. If that process gets pushed back by a Watson suspension, that won’t help matters.

Even still, I’m not sure Cleveland is ready to compete with the Bills and Chiefs just yet.

Browns AFC North Division Odds with Watson

Browns To Win the AFC North (+170) at Caesars

The Cleveland Browns are now the favorites to win the AFC North at (+170), leading the Bengals (+220), Ravens (+220), and Steelers (+1000).

The Browns haven’t won the AFC North in its current figuration and don’t have a division title since claiming the AFC Central in 1989. Is 2022 the year things change?

Personally, I don’t think you can bet Cleveland to win the AFC North right now given all the unknowns. If you make this bet today and Jacoby Brissett is forced to start for half the season, you’re probably ripping up your ticket.

I think the Bengals, who just reached the Super Bowl, are just as good (if not better) than the Browns on paper, especially now that Cincinnati has addressed its offensive line. I can also see the Ravens enjoying a bounce-back campaign after an injury-filled 2021.

But, if you’re into Super Bowl loser regression and not a fan of Lamar Jackson, I could see it. At least you’re still getting plus-money.

prop bet

+170

Browns to Win AFC North

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Deshaun Watson 2022 Prop Bets

Deshaun Watson to Win NFL MVP (+2000) at Caesars

This is the only Deshaun Watson prop available at sportsbooks right now, and it’s definitely not worth your money.

Sure, Watson is among the most talented quarterbacks in the NFL. And yes, the league’s MVP honors have been awarded to quarterbacks every year since 2013. But that’s about where his candidacy ends.

The NFL MVP award is voted on by the media, which means narratives can come into play. Much like with Baseball Hall of Fame voting, it’s not always about the numbers.

Given that Watson doesn’t have the best reputation at the moment — for good reason — he’ll be judged on an even higher standard this season. Fair or not, he’d probably have to set a single-season passing record or two and lead the Browns to 15+ wins to have a chance.

It’s not safe to assume he’ll even play 17 games, whether it be due to suspension or injury, so this is one to stay away from for me.

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