Best Browns Betting Lines 2023
The Deshaun Watson disciplinary saga finally came to a halt on Thursday, as the NFL and NFLPA agreed upon a settlement that will suspend the Cleveland Browns quarterback for the first 11 games of the 2022 season and require him to pay a $5 million fine.
The announcement came a few weeks after Watson was originally handed a six-game suspension for his off-field conduct, but Roger Goodell and the NFL decided to appeal that initial ruling.
It has been a summer of transition for the Browns organization, which traded former No. 1 overall pick Baker Mayfield to the Carolina Panthers earlier this offseason. With Mayfield out of town and Watson suspended, Jacoby Brissett jumps up the depth chart and is in line to start the team’s first 11 games.
He’s not the win-now quarterback that this roster was built for, but he’ll be backed by a strong running back tandem in Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt as well as former Cowboys WR Amari Cooper.
After all the dust has settled, what are the Browns’ Super Bowl 57 chances and best bets for the upcoming season?
Browns Futures Betting Odds
Note: These Browns futures bet odds are current as of Thursday, Aug. 18, at 4 p.m. ET and courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. You can find more odds at these US betting sites. But be careful, as many of these NFL futures odds might shift as we get closer to the 2022 NFL season.
- Win Total: Over 8.5 (+130) / Under 8.5 (-150)
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+145) / No (-170)
- Win AFC North (+400)
- Win AFC Championship (+1800)
- Win Super Bowl 57 (+3500)
🏈 to place any of these Browns futures bets at Caesars Sportsbook.
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Browns Super Bowl 57 Odds
Browns to Win Super Bowl 57 (+3500) at Caesars
To say the Browns’ 2021 campaign was a disappointment is an understatement.
Cleveland was supposed to take another step forward last season after the franchise won its first playoff game in 26 years and challenged the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round the year prior.
Instead, the Browns were, well, the Browns. Odell Beckham Sr. caused turmoil in the locker room by criticizing Baker Mayfield on social media, which ultimately led to his son’s release.
Injuries marred Mayfield and the Browns throughout the campaign, and an ill-timed COVID-19 outbreak doomed Cleveland in a pivotal Week 15 matchup against the Raiders, who went on to claim a Wild Card spot in a loaded AFC.
This offseason reshuffle, which also included the releases of veterans Jarvis Landry and Austin Hooper, presents the Browns with a bit of a reset heading into the 2022-23 season. While there has been plenty of turmoil and backlash for acquiring Watson amid his legal troubles, there’s no doubt he’s an upgrade over Mayfield on the field.
The last time we saw Watson play, he threw for nearly 5,000 yards and had a 33:7 TD:INT ratio for a Texans team that only won four games in 2020. He’ll have a much better defense in Cleveland and should be a great fit for head coach Kevin Stefanski‘s balanced offensive scheme.
This is a solid on-field fit over the long term, but this season is going to be a challenge with Watson set to miss more than half of the year.
Brissett could have potentially bridged the gap to Watson’s return if the suspension stayed at six games, but he’s not good enough to help Cleveland stay afloat during a brutal mid-season stretch that includes contests against the Chargers, Patriots, Ravens, Bengals, Dolphins, Bills, and Buccaneers.
Introducing a new quarterback in Week 13, especially one that hasn’t played for nearly two years, won’t be particularly easy either. With Watson set to miss more time than originally anticipated, Cleveland’s odds dropped from 25-1 to 35-1 to win it all.
Personally, I don’t think that’s far enough.
Browns AFC Championship Odds
Browns to Win 2023 AFC Championship (+1800) at Caesars
After adding Watson, the Browns dropped to the fifth favorite (+900) to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl. With Mayfield out of the picture and Watson facing an 11-game suspension, those odds have doubled to (+1800) as Cleveland has fallen behind Indianapolis (+1300), Las Vegas (+1600), and AFC North rivals Baltimore (+1000) and Cincinnati (+1100).
The Bills (+300) and Chiefs (+600) are the favorites in the AFC once again, followed by the Chargers (+800) and Broncos (+900).
This conference is as deep as ever, and even at full strength, I’m not sure Cleveland is ready to compete with the Bills and Chiefs just yet.
Browns AFC North Winner Odds
Browns to Win AFC North Championship (+400) at Caesars
After acquiring Watson, the Browns were installed as the favorites to win the AFC North at (+170), leading the Bengals (+220), Ravens (+220), and Steelers (+1000).
The market has progressively soured on the Browns since that March move, mostly due to the uncertainty around Watson’s future. Now that a suspension has been issued, we know Jacoby Brissett will be thrust into the starting role.
I know the consensus opinion on Mayfield right now isn’t particularly good — just look at the trade return of a fifth-round pick — but he at least would’ve been comfortable in the offense and is probably still an upgrade on Brissett.
The Browns haven’t won the AFC North in its current figuration and don’t have a division title since claiming the AFC Central in 1989.
Is 2022 the year things change? Probably not.
Browns Make Playoffs Odds
Browns to Miss Playoffs (-170)
I just don’t see how this team can overcome Watson’s absence over 11 games. I know the early-season schedule is pretty forgiving and Cleveland boasts a talented running game and defense, but it’s just feels like they’re going to have too much ground to make up by Watson’s return in Week 13 and not enough time to do it.
Browns Win Total Bets 2023
Browns: UNDER 8.5 Wins (-150)
Realistically, the Browns have a reasonable shot to start the season 4-0, even with Brissett under center. The schedule (@ Panthers, vs Jets, vs Steelers, @ Falcons) is that kind. The issue then becomes that daunting mid-season stretch of games we discussed earlier.
Even with Watson under center in the final few weeks, he’ll be seeing his first NFL action in nearly two years. Plus, the Browns have tough divisional games against the Ravens and Bengals in December. The safer bet here is the Under.
Browns Prop Bets 2023
Myles Garrett to Win Defensive Player of the Year (+750)
Much like how the NFL MVP is a quarterback-dominated award, the league’s Defensive Player of the Year honor is quickly becoming a procession of pass-rushers. Garrett, a former No. 1 overall pick, certainly has the quality to be amongst the top candidates and put up a career-best 16 sacks in 2021.
He’ll have stiff competition from the likes of Aaron Donald, 2021 winner T.J. Watt, and more, but I don’t hate taking a shot on Garrett to break through at these odds.
How to Bet Browns Moneylines
An NFL moneyline wager is the easiest football bet you can make. It just involves picking the team that you think is going to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
The odds for NFL moneylines fluctuate based each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. A favorite will be identified by a minus symbol (-200), whereas an underdog is represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Browns are a (-200) favorite, you have to bet $20 to win $10. If they’re a (+200) underdog, you can win $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2021 Browns Moneyline Record: 8-9
How to Bet Browns Spreads
Spread betting is the most efficient way to bet NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options, regardless of the talent disparity between two teams. The spread, which is set by sportsbooks, is essentially the number of points the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Browns are 3-point favorites over the Steelers, the spread would look something like this: Browns -3 (-110) vs Steelers +3 (-110).
In this scenario, the Browns would have to win by more than a field goal to cash your bet. If they win exactly by three points, your bet is a push and you would receive your initial stake back.
- 2021 Browns Against the Spread Record: 7-10
How to Bet Browns Over/Unders
If you don’t have a lean on the Browns spread or moneyline for a specific game, you can still get involved by betting on the total number of points scored.
Oddsmakers will set the line for how many total points they expect to be scored, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you have faith in the Browns offense and foresee a lot of points being scored, then you’ll want to take the Over. If you think it will be more of a defensive game, then take the Under.
- 2021 Browns Over/Under Record: 7-10