NFL

Spread

Texans vs Broncos Predictions | Best Bets & Odds

Posted: Sep 14, 2022Last updated: Sep 14, 2022

The Broncos left Monday Night Football in the most embarrassing fashion possible. Nathaniel Hackett and the coaching staff made a string of critical coaching errors that cost Denver a Week 1 victory and ruined Russell Wilson’s revenge.

Now, the Broncos travel home after a short week. It’s nice they get to play at Mile High, however. 

The Texans are likely disappointed by their Week 1 tie, but it was an impressive effort before they let up 17 fourth-quarter points. Davis Mills looks good. 

Can the Texans keep it up? Will the Broncos look similarly inept in Week 2?

Read on for our Houston vs Denver best bets and predictions. 

Texans vs Broncos Odds

The odds have barely moved for this matchup, hovering in between Denver -9.5 and -10. I believe that’s a fair price that accurately reflects the difference between these two teams.  

The Over has jumped significantly. The number was below 44 at open and has jumped three points at some books since. Heavy money has hit this total. 

Take a look at the best Texans odds and Broncos odds for the 2022 NFL season.

Texans vs Broncos Implied Score

Broncos 28, Texans 18

Oddsmakers believe that Denver’s offense will see a huge boost in productivity following a 16-point flop in Week 1. Likely because of the two goal-line fumbles and the fact that they’re playing in Denver.

Meanwhile, the Texans may see a slight drop in productivity playing on the road at high altitude.

Texans vs Broncos Pick of the Day

Read more on this Texans vs Broncos bet below.

Texans vs Broncos Matchup

Interestingly, two offensive linemen for the Broncos are questionable for this matchup, including starting right guard Quinn Meinerz. That could play a huge role.

However, the Houston front seven is weak. DE Mario Addison is still on injured reserve, and now fellow DE Rasheem Green is questionable. Houston allowed the Colts to rush for 177 yards on 38 attempts in Week 1, and the Denver rush game is looking dangerous with Javante Williams.

Texans vs Broncos Prediction

Broncos 28, Texans 14

I think we’re in for a massive Broncos bounce-back game. 

The Broncos fumbled on the goal line twice, but Russell Wilson threw for 340 yards and was the third-most efficient quarterback by EPA per play last week. The defense allowed zero second-half points. They simply lost the game due to offensive miscues that are fixable.

Meanwhile, Houston was outgained 517 to 299 total yards and lost the time of possession battle by 10 minutes. The Texans also allowed 33 first downs while only gaining 20. They were basically shelled and only managed to tie thanks to some lucky bounces. 

Denver should turn around and smash Houston with the home field and altitude advantage. 

Texans vs Broncos Bet Tips

Here are some Texans vs Broncos betting tips to consider before placing your any wagers.

  • The Texans are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games vs. the AFC, and are 4-0 ATS after rushing for less than 90 yards in the previous game. However, the Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Week 2 games. 
  • The Under is 5-0 in the Broncos’ last five September games. Plus, the Under is 6-1 in the Texans’ last seven games following an ATS win. 

Texans vs Broncos Best Bets

Broncos -10 (-110) at BetFred Sportsbook

Wager: 1 Unit

As mentioned, the Broncos are due for a big bounce-back performance while the Texans are due for tons of negative regression.

Denver just has to clean up the coaching mistakes and the fumbles and we’ll see a totally different team. The Broncos could’ve won last week by two touchdowns, and they should win this week by two touchdowns.

Plus, all the money is coming in on the Texans, including over 75% of the tickets at the time of writing. I’m happy to fade the public in this spot.

Before placing this bet, be sure to consult our best Denver Broncos promotions.

Texans vs Broncos Props

I’m keeping an eye on these props once they hit sportsbooks.

Javonte Williams: Over 5 Receptions (-110 or better) 

Wager: 1 Unit

Javonte Williams is going to catch so many balls in this offense.

Hackett runs a heavy run-pass option offense which often targets shorter passes. Plus, Wilson’s ability to run play-action bootlegs and make the short productive throws means the offense can run through the YAC machine that is Williams.

Williams caught 11 balls on 12 targets last week when his receptions total was set at 3. Meanwhile, the Texans allowed 13 pass attempts to running backs in Week 1.

Before placing this bet, be sure to consult our best Houston Texans promos.

Texans vs Broncos Parlays

I’m also targeting this same-game-parlay once odds are available.

Best Same-Game Parlay

  • Denver Broncos Moneyline
  • Under 46
  • Javonte Williams: Over 30.5 Receiving Yards

Stay tuned for more specifics once player props are released for Texans vs Broncos.

Author

Tanner McGrath

Tanner McGrath joined The Game Day to cover the NFL but is beginning to branch out in other areas as well. He can write about anything but is especially passionate about Major League Baseball (go Red Sox!) and NCAA Basketball. He’s a McGill University grad and former (Canadian) Division-I alpine ski racer who now spends his time drinking beer and betting home underdogs.

Related articles

Loading...

Promotions