Among the toughest players to assess when it comes to Super Bowl prop bets could be New England running back TreVeyon Henderson.
He was the team’s top ball carrier during the middle part of the season, only to see his role diminish during the playoffs.
After taking a close look, I’ve come up with my three favorite TreVeyon Henderson props for Super Bowl LX.
TreVeyon Henderson Super Bowl Props
All NFL odds used for these TreVeyon Henderson Super Bowl props are current as of Thursday, Feb. 5, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
TreVeyon Henderson: Over 4.5 Rush Attempts (-143) vs Seahawks
For the AFC Championship Game, I hit on my bet of under 9.5 rush attempts for Henderson, who got just three carries against the Broncos.
However, I feel that an over/under of 4.5 rush attempts in the Super Bowl is too much of an overcorrection. The Patriots stuck with Rhamondre Stevenson in that game because he was the hot hand and looked more comfortable in the adverse weather conditions.
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That was the first time since October that Henderson didn’t get at least five carries, and even if it’s not an even split, Henderson is too good for the Patriots to keep on the sidelines, making me think he’ll get at least five carries against the Seahawks.
Take the over as your NFL pick of the day.
TreVeyon Henderson: Under 3.5 Receiving Yards (-108) vs Seahawks
Even with a little more playing time in the Super Bowl than he got in the AFC Championship Game, Henderson isn’t likely to be part of New England’s passing game.
He’s had one catch or fewer in six straight games, and one of those catches went for -2 yards.
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The Patriots might give him a few more carries than he got in the AFC Championship Game, but Henderson’s role has still diminished to the point that he may not get enough snaps to get the ball as a pass-catcher.
In big spots, it’s likely Stevenson will be on the field, so this is an area where I want to fade Henderson.
TreVeyon Henderson: Longest Rush Over 8.5 Yards (+100) vs Seahawks
This number is understandably low because oddsmakers don’t believe Henderson will get enough touches to break loose against a strong rush defense.
However, breaking free and picking up chunk yards is arguably the thing Henderson is best at.
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While he’s been largely bottled up during the playoffs, Henderson had at least one carry of nine yards or more in eight of his last 10 regular-season games.
With plus-money odds, I’ll take a chance on Henderson having at least one productive carry in Super Bowl LX. Consider pairing this wager with our best sportsbook promotions.
