NFL Player Prop Bets Week 18 | Props For Josh Allen, Tyreek Hill, & More Predictions

Last Updated: Jan 7, 2022

Welcome to Week 18!

We’ve made it to the end of the regular season, my friends! It’s been a wild and crazy ride, and this week should be no exception. There are teams with something to play for, while others are already looking ahead to the offseason.

Keeping in mind that playoff motivation (or lack thereof) and ensuing player usage will be a huge factor this week, let’s dig into some of the best player prop bets to make in Week 18.

All NFL gameday odds for Week 18 player prop bets are current as of 5:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 7.

Titans vs Texans Player Props

Brandin Cooks: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

There hasn’t been much that has gone right for the Texans this season, but Brandin Cooks has been one of the bright spots. He’s been on a tear over his last three games and has topped this total and seen double-digit targets in all three.

The Titans are also the third-worst team in the league in terms of allowing receiving yards to opposing receivers, so Cooks should be able to take advantage of this matchup.

Ryan Tannehill: Under 214.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

While Ryan Tannehill is capable of throwing for more than 214 yards, he hasn’t done so since Week 11. Even without Derrick Henry, the Titans have continued to be a run-first team, and Tannehill’s statistics reflect that reality.

This week should be no exception, as the Titans look to sew up home-field advantage against a lesser Texans squad. The game script of this matchup should work in our favor here, as there should be very little reason for Tannehill to throw the ball more than 20-25 times.

Best NFL Week 18 Prop Bets to Make

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Chiefs vs Broncos Player Props

Tyreek Hill: Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Tyreek Hill has had two lackluster games in a row since coming off the reserve/COVID-19 list, but we’re going to use that in our favor this week since his total has come down to a very obtainable 64.5 receiving yards.

While he totaled only 40 receiving yards last week, Hill saw 10 targets and will likely see similar usage, as the Chiefs still have home-field advantage within their reach.

Denver’s pass defense is good at limiting opposing receivers, but they’re not that good. They also have nothing to play for, so look for Hill to run wild against them this weekend.

Travis Kelce: Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

The Broncos are strong against opposing tight ends and have limited the position to 39.4 receiving yards per game this year. But again, Denver has nothing to play for, and is likely to back into the offseason this weekend.

Enter Travis Kelce. The Chiefs star tight end has only topped 26 yards once in his past four games, but one of those games was a 191-yard explosion. He’s also seen 20 targets over his last two games.

With Kansas City determined to win on Saturday, look for them to get Kelce involved to the tune of at least 64 receiving yards.

Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs TE

With 20 combined targets in his last two games, the Over looks like a safe bet on Travis Kelce’s receiving prop this week. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

Jets vs Bills Player Props

Josh Allen: Over 248.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

The Bills are one of many teams looking for a win this weekend as they aim to clinch the AFC East. The Jets, on the other hand, have all the incentive in the world to lose and put themselves in position for a better draft pick.

Josh Allen is coming off an abysmal 120-yard performance against the Falcons, so this total is a bit deflated. Fortunately, we can take advantage of it.

The Jets secondary is a mess, and their defense as a whole has allowed 272.3 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks this season. Expect Allen to have a big day and lead the Bills to their second-straight AFC East crown.

Zach Wilson: Over 184.5 Passing Yards (-120) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

I bet against Zach Wilson in this space last week, and he stuck it to me. I’m not going to make the same mistake again this week against an even lower prop total.

While Wilson has had his struggles this season, he’s looked better as of late despite missing most of his best receiving options.

The Bills have the best numbers in the league in terms of limiting opposing quarterbacks (an average of 185 passing yards per game), but Wilson has topped this yardage total in three of his past five games and should be able to do so again this week with the Jets playing catch-up.

Top Week 18 NFL Player Props

Deebo Samuel: Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-130) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

Deebo Samuel has been an absolute beast this season, and he’s continued that trend lately. He’s posted at least 60 receiving yards in each of his last three games, and he’s also seen 17 targets in his last two games. Samuel should also see less usage as a runner now that the 49ers are getting healthier at the position.

The Rams are in the bottom-10 in the NFL in terms of receiving yardage allowed per game to opposing receivers, so Deebo has a really good chance to top this relatively low yardage total.

Tyler Huntley: Under 223.5 Passing Yards (-120) at Caesars

Wager: 2 Units

Tyler Huntley has started four games this season, topping 220 yards in just one of them. The Ravens and Steelers are also longshots to make the playoffs, so there’s a good chance both teams will stick to the ground this weekend and keep the clock moving.

As far as matchups go, the Steelers are middling in terms of allowing passing yards to opposing quarterbacks at 239.8 yards per game. While it’s not impossible for Huntley to top this total, a lot of things would have to fall into place for it to happen, making this my NFL bet of the day.

Nick Raducanu’s 2021 NFL Props Betting Record: 51-64, -20.0 Units

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 18 Player Props! For more NFL betting tips, check out our NFL Week 18 Best Bets and NFL Week 18 Prop Bets.


Nick Roberts

Nick is an analyst at The Game Day who writes about the NFL and NBA from a betting perspective. He previously contributed to RotoWorld, Rotowire, and The New York Times. Nick resides in New Jersey.

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