Patriots vs Dolphins Week 18 Prop Bets | Props For Mac Jones, Jaylen Waddle & More

Last Updated: Jan 7, 2022

This weekend’s AFC East matchup features one team playing for playoff seeding and one team playing for pride.

The New England Patriots (10-6) head to Florida with a playoff berth locked up, but still have a myriad of seeding possibilities depending on how they and other teams perform this weekend.

Meanwhile, the Miami Dolphins (8-8) came this close to having this game be a must-win for a playoff berth, but saw their seven-game win streak snapped last weekend and will miss the postseason.

Mac Jones is coming off a three-touchdown performance against the Jacksonville Jaguars last week, while the Patriots’ run game has been firing on all cylinders with Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson.

On the other side of the field, Tua Tagovailoa has been playing great football during the second half of the season, while Jaylen Waddle is one of the best offensive rookies in the league this year.

Let’s dig in to find the best Patriots vs Dolphins prop bets for this weekend’s AFC East battle.

Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines are current as of 3:00 p.m. ET on Friday, January 7.

Patriots vs Dolphins Prop Bets: NFL Week 18 Prop Betting Picks

Mac Jones: OVER 214.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Mac Jones hit a bit of a rookie wall earlier in the season, but he turned things around last week against Jacksonville. Excluding the crazy gale-force winds game in Buffalo where Jones threw only three passes, he’s topped this total in three of his last four games.

While Miami’s secondary represents a tough matchup for Jones, this is a relatively low total for him. He’s already cleared this mark 10 times in 16 games this season, including his NFL debut against these same Dolphins during Week 1.

Take the Over for our NFL bet of the day.

Best NFL Week 18 Prop Bets to Make

Check out the best NFL player prop bets this week with our props comparison tool, including projections to help you make the best decisions.

Click “Place Bet" to unlock the associated sportsbook’s welcome offer and place your best NFL player props, including Patriots vs Dolphins props.

Learn more about NFL prop bets and the best sportsbooks for prop betting.

Tua Tagovailoa: UNDER 226.5 Passing Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

While Tua Tagovailoa has looked much more comfortable during the second half of the season, his stats haven’t always reflected that comfort, as he’s thrown for 205 yards or less in three straight games and five of his last eight.

He’ll also have to face a tough Patriots defense that’s allowing only 208 passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks this year. Tua managed just 202 passing yards against them during Week 1, so it’s hard to envision him hitting the Over here.

Jaylen Waddle: OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

Jaylen Waddle has been the engine that makes the Dolphins’ offense run this season, leading the team in targets (133), receptions (99), and receiving yards (988).

While the Patriots do a great job limiting opposing receivers, they don’t have a true shutdown corner and have been playing a lot of zone this season. Look for Waddle to be busy again this week and exploit New England’s zone coverage.

Mac Jones: OVER 0.5 Interceptions (+140) at Caesars

Wager: 1 Unit

One of Jones’ biggest strengths this year has been his lack of mistakes. He’s been a little careless with the ball lately, however, throwing four picks over his last three games.

There’s a good chance Jones is again forced into another mistake this week against a Miami defense that has already racked up 13 interceptions this year, including three in their last four games.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week 18 Patriots vs Dolphins Prop Bets! For more NFL Week 18 betting tips and tipster picks, check out our NFL Week 18 Best Bets and NFL Week 18 Prop Bets.


Nick Roberts

Nick is an analyst at The Game Day who writes about the NFL and NBA from a betting perspective. He previously contributed to RotoWorld, Rotowire, and The New York Times. Nick resides in New Jersey.

Related articles


Get $1,500 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets or First Bet Safety Net

5 stars

Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Get A Bonus Bet Up to $1,000

5 stars

Get $150 in Bonus Bets

5 stars

Get Up To $250 2nd Chance Bonus Bet

5 stars

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY).

Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).

Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI).

All betting content on is exclusively intended for audience members 21 years and older who are permitted to gamble in legal states. The Game Day may earn revenue from site visitor referrals to betting services.

Responsible Gaming: Many sportsbooks offer ways to encourage responsible gaming, including the establishment of limits to deposits, spending, and time dedicated to betting.

The Game Day is a TGD Marketing Ltd. endeavor.