March Madness Final Four Prop Bets

Last Updated: Mar 28, 2023

It is not the Final Four any of us expected, although we will gladly embrace the 2023 edition. And with unlikely teams and a fresh set of games, we now have a new stream of prop bets to sink our teeth into.

There are only two games on the docket before a championship game takes shape, although that’s plenty to make money. Either Florida Atlantic, San Diego State, Miami, or UConn will win a title this year; it’s wonderful to say over and over again.

Now, back to making money with these Final Four Props.

Final Four Prop Odds

Before you continue reading, toggle with the widget below to find the top March Madness prop odds and bet listings.

All CBB odds used for my favorite props below are current as of Tuesday, March 28, at 9 a.m. ET, and are found at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Final Four Game Props

Miami vs. UConn: UConn 1st to 15 Points (-150) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Simply put, UConn is on a tear. Not only are the Huskies the hottest team in all of sports, but they’re getting off to fast starts that are putting the team in successful positions out of the gate.

We saw that against Gonzaga, and the end result was a spectacular blowout. While I don’t expect we will see that type of game, there is no reason to believe UConn will slow down here.

If Miami gets hot from the three-point line early, well, this one could be tricky. But I believe UConn can match the Hurricanes there, especially early, and I like this bet a lot even with the juice attached as my CBB pick of the day.

Read more NCAA Tournament Final Four betting tips:

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic: FAU 1st to 15 Points (+100) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

We stay with the race-to-15 theme, and we move to the other side of the bracket.

This time, however, we like the (slight) dog. That dog, FAU, has been on an absolute run. The gritty 79-76 win over a feisty Kansas State team showed us a bit of everything. The Owls also shot well from the three-point line, and that could serve them well here.

They’re going to play fast. No, scratch that. They need to play fast.

FAU’s transition offense is the perfect counter to San Diego State’s defense, and I think it suits them perfectly in this kind of bet.

Final Four Team Props

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic: FAU Over 65.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

Using the same sort of mindset and theme as stated above, I don’t think FAU will stop scoring against a very good defensive team.

Whether it’s Bryan Greenlee or Alijah Martin or another very capable player on a really good team, FAU, which has only scored fewer than 65.5 points once all tournament, should find a way to eclipse that total once again.

Yes, the Aztecs have a great defense and have held teams under 65 points all tournament. But pace will be an enormous factor here, and the style will be enough to create just enough offense.

Final Four Player Props

Miami vs. UConn: Adama Sanogo Over 17.5 Points (-110) • DraftKings Sportsbook

WAGER: 1 Unit

One of the more amazing elements of UConn’s massive win over Gonzaga is that Sanogo, who has become a crucial piece for this team, made very little noise.

Granted, he did deliver 10 rebounds and six assists, which were huge, but he finished with only 10 points, and he didn’t shoot much.

That changes in a big way this time around. The 6-foot-9 forward will likely have a much bigger role on the offensive side against a team that largely bases its offense on the outside shot. In my eyes, this point total is telling in what kind of game we’re likely to get.

Before last game, Sanogo scored 18, 24, 29 and 19 points. I would be shocked if he doesn’t reach 20 again.


Adam Kramer

Adam Kramer is an NFL, college football, and gambling analyst for The Game Day. While college football has long been his calling, he’s also covered sports such as boxing, horse racing, and baseball at The Game Day and in other places. He’s also written for Bleacher Report, VSiN, and various other outlets over the past decade-plus.

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