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2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers Projections Week 11 | Start ‘Em Picks & Matchup Plays

Last Updated: Jul 14, 2023

We are entering Week 11 of the 2021 NFL season and the current fantasy football campaign is winding its regular-season down.

In most formats, the fantasy playoffs will begin in either Week 14 or Week 15. In other words, the fantasy football postseason will be here before you know it.

Between injuries and bye weeks, you might be trying to get into the playoffs or vying for a first-round bye without some of your big-name studs.

However, don’t fret. My weekly fantasy football sleepers will help you find the best pivots possible to help you win your week and when it is all said and done, a 2021 fantasy football championship.

Now, here are my Week 11 Fantasy Football Sleepers.

Week 11 Byes: Los Angeles Rams, Denver Broncos

Please note that all NFL gameday odds and lines below are current as of 3:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 16.

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Quarterback

Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers vs Washington Football Team

  • Panthers-Football Team Total: 43 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 43 (-110), Under 43 (-110)

The Panthers are pushing the chips in on Cam Newton, and so am I.

Newton immediately provided the Panthers with a spark both on and off the field in last week’s win over the Cardinals. Newton accounted for two early touchdowns — one passing and one rushing — despite only signing with the team that Thursday. He also had a limited package of plays that were immediately put to use.

P.J. Walker might be credited with the win, but if we’re being real, it was Newton who got the team the lead, and Walker managed the game from there on out.

As of this writing, Newton is expected to assume the QB1 duties as early as Week 11 against the Football Team and his old head coach, Ron Rivera. As long as Newton is the confirmed starter, I would feel confident deploying him in fantasy.

If by any chance Newton is not going to start, pivot to Daniel Jones at the Buccaneers or Derek Carr versus the Bengals.


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Deep QB Week 11 Sleeper: Mac Jones, New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Patriots-Falcons Total: 47 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 47 (-110), Under 47 (-110)

We’ve seen ebbs and flows from Mac Jones in fantasy this season. While he is coming off of a 21.9 point outing last week against the Browns, he finished with fewer than 11.9 points in the two games leading up to Week 10.

In Thursday night’s matchup at the Falcons, however, Jones has a shot to have one of the best games of his young career facing an inept defense.

The Falcons were dismantled by the Cowboys last week and are limping into Thursday night on a short week with last week’s embarrassment fresh in their memory. Meanwhile, the Patriots have been rolling, and Jones is playing with confidence.

The Falcons are ceding the third-most FPPG to enemy passers and have given up 20.5+ points to the opposing starting signal-caller in six of their nine games this season, including two straight to Trevor Siemian and Dak Prescott.

Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold, and Zach Wilson are the only quarterbacks that have failed to throw for 2+ scores on the Falcons this season. In fact, they all blanked. Mac Jones is better than all of them.

More Week 11 QB Sleepers To Consider

  • Daniel Jones, New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Running Back

AJ Dillon, Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings

  • Packers-Vikings Total: 49 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 49 (-110), Under 49 (-110)

Now that Aaron Jones (knee) is reportedly dealing with an MCL sprain which will cost him 1-2 weeks, AJ Dillon can be fired up in fantasy with confidence. He will now operate as the Packers’ RB1.

While Dillon has garnered usage this season — he’s averaging 11.3 touches per game — he has only returned four games with double-digit PPR points.

In his past two games, Dillon has finished with 13+ PPR points, popping for a season-high 26.8 last week. En route to his huge outing in Green Bay’s win over the Seahawks, Dillon carried the ball 21 times for 66 yards and two touchdowns while hauling in both of his targets for another 62 yards.

Dillon also played a season-high 36 offensive snaps in Week 10.

Expected to handle the lion’s share of the Packers’ running back workload in Week 11’s matchup at the Vikings, Dillon has RB1 upside written all over him. The Vikings also rank in the bottom half of the league in FPPG allowed to enemy backs at a 24.7 FPPG rate.

Michael Carter, New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

  • Dolphins-Jets Total: 45 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 45 (-110), Under 45 (-110)

Since Week 2, Michael Carter is the RB16 while averaging 14.7 FPPG. I just don’t know if anyone has noticed.

In that eight-game time period, Carter has produced 10.4+ PPR points six times, with an outlier 32.2-point ceiling in Week 8.

Playing on a defunct Jets’ offense, Carter will likely continue flying under the radar, but that doesn’t mean he should sit in fantasy. Fire him up. Because the Jets are normally playing within a negative game script, there are ample pass-catching opportunities for the rookie back, which raises his floor.

Carter has drawn 6+ targets in three of his past four games. In those three games in which Carter has drawn the 6+ looks, he has returned 18.2+ PPR points.

Carter gets a tough but exploitable matchup with the Dolphins in Week 11. While their defense has been playing better, they are still penetrable.

Deep RB Week 11 Sleeper: Rhamondre Stevenson, New England Patriots @ Atlanta Falcons

  • Patriots-Falcons Total: 47 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 47 (-110), Under 47 (-110)

With Damien Harris ruled out last week with a concussion, Rhamondre Stevenson went ballistic in his first NFL start.

He carried the ball 20 times for 100 yards and two touchdowns while bringing in four of his five targets for 14 yards. Finishing Week 10 with 27.4 PPR points, it was the third time in his past four appearances returning at least 12.6 points.

While we don’t know Harris’ playing status for Thursday Night Football’s tilt at the Falcons, I am willing to roll the dice on Stevenson whether the regular starter is in or out. As I mentioned above, Stevenson has been producing with or without Harris in the lineup. I just like him more, obviously, if Harris is ruled out.

Stevenson is in a smash spot against a deflated Falcons defense on TNF. Atlanta’s defense is allowing the fourth-most FPPG (28.8) to enemy backs. They have allowed a running back to score a touchdown in seven straight games.

Stevenson will bring a solid floor if Harris is active, but if he is out, the former could have another big game.

More Week 11 RB Sleepers To Consider

  • Eno Benjamin, Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
  • Mark Ingram, New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Wide Receiver

Hunter Renfrow, Las Vegas Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals

  • Bengals-Raiders Total: 49 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 49 (-110), Under 49 (-110)

Hunter Renfrow is not the sexiest wideout in the fantasy football player pool, but he is one of the more consistent and reliable ones.

Renfrow has scored in the double-digits in all but one game this season. He is also operating as the Raiders’ WR1. And while Renfrow has drawn 5+ targets in every game this season, he’s logged 8+ looks in six of them including in three straight and in five of his past six matchups.

In what is projected to be a high-scoring matchup with the Bengals, Renfrow should once again get busy. Renfrow is a chain mover and a red zone threat. He will continue to receive every opportunity to thrive in fantasy.

Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

  • Dolphins-Jets Total: 45 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 45 (-110), Under 45 (-110)

Jaylen Waddle has been good for low-key production throughout his rookie campaign. Whether it is Tua Tagovailoa or Jacoby Brissett under center for the Dolphins, Waddle gets his opportunities.

Moreover, outside of Mike Gesicki and Myles Gaskin, Waddle does not have a ton of completion for targets with the Miami wide receiver room banged up seemingly all season long.

In 10 games this season, Waddle has only failed to deliver 10+ PPR points in three of them. Waddle has also drawn 6+ targets in each of his past six games while hauling in at least four receptions in five straight.

Although I am all about Waddle’s floor, we could see his ceiling in Week 11 agasint the Jets: New York’s defense ranks near the bottom third in FPPG (37) allowed to wide receivers.

They were a much better unit at defending the pass in September, but have fallen apart since. Waddle could go off in Week 11.

Deep WR Week 11 Sleeper: Rashod Bateman, Baltimore Ravens @ Chicago Bears

  • Ravens-Bears Total: 45.5 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 45.5 (-110), Under 45.5 (-110)

It is time to board the Rashod Bateman train. Despite the return of Sammy Watkins last week, Bateman appears to be the locked and loaded WR2 on the Ravens.

Since Bateman’s Week 6 debut, he’s drawn 6+ targets in each of the past four games, including back-to-back games with eight. He’s also put up 5+ receptions in consecutive games.

And while he has yet to score, Bateman has accumulated 52+ receiving yards in three straight games, including two games with 80. In those three straight outings with 52+ yards, he’s finished with 10.2 PPR points.

If there is any game Bateman can pop, it is in his Week 11 matchup facing a Bears defense yielding 40 PPR points per game to enemy wideouts, good for sixth-most in the NFL.

Chicago’s defense has defended the pass better in the past two games, but they were matched up against the 49ers and Steelers. Neither one of those teams pose a massive threat in the passing game.

I’m all-in on a Bateman breakout in Week 11.

More Week 11 WR Sleepers To Consider

  • Elijah Moore, New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins
  • Jamal Agnew, Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Tight End

C.J. Uzomah, Cincinnati Bengals @ Las Vegas Raiders

  • Bengals-Raiders Total: 49 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 49 (-110), Under 49 (-110)

While C.J. Uzomah has been quiet of late, he had flashed earlier in the year, finishing with 10.5 + PPR points in three of four games between Weeks 4-7. In that four-game period, Uzomah scored five times in three of those games.

In the two games leading up to his Week 10 bye, Uzomah drew 4+ targets and caught 4+ passes in consecutive games for the first time this season. He will need a touchdown to return value, but his increased usage shouldn’t be overlooked.

Look for Uzomah to get back into the end zone in Week 11 agasint the Raiders, whose defense is ceding the second-most FPPG (18) to the tight end position. Las Vegas’ defense is also surrendering the second-most receptions (60) and the second-most yards (655) while allowing the third-most scores (6) to enemy tight ends as well.

Deep TE Week 11 Sleeper: Pat Freiermuth, Pittsburgh Steelers @ Los Angeles Chargers

  • Steelers-Chargers Total: 47 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 47 (-110), Under 47 (-110)

Pat Freiermuth is one of the hottest tight ends in fantasy football. In fact, since Week 6, he is the PPR TE4, averaging 13.7 FPPG in four games.

While Freiermuth is coming off of his worst game since Week 5 — he scored 8.3 PPR points on a 5/31/0 stat line on nine targets — he is primed to bounce back in Week 11 against the Chargers.

Freiermuth has 6+ targets and 4+ receptions in each of his past four games, which raises his PPR floor. He also gets a Chargers defense allowing the fifth-most FPPG (16.3) to enemy tight ends, including the second-most touchdowns (7).

The Chargers have allowed a tight end to score in six out of nine games this season, while Freiermuth has scored in two of his past three.

More Week 11 TE Sleepers To Consider

  • Evan Engram, New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills vs Indianapolis Colts

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Kicker

Zane Gonzalez, Carolina Panthers @ Washington Football Team

  • Panthers-Football Team Total: 43 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 43 (-110), Under 43 (-110)

Although Zane Gonzalez is one of the most produce fantasy kickers on the market, he is only rostered in 3% of leagues at Yahoo. Meanwhile, he is the K6 averaging 9.7 FPPG. Preposterous.

Gonzalez’ massive availability is terrific for those streaming kickers or those who need to make a change because they are holding on to kickers that are not getting it together like last year — cc Younghoe Koo.

Gonzalez may not pop this week, but he should have plenty of chances to score the football now that Cam Newton is back under center for the Panthers. The Football Team is yielding 9.0 FPPG to fantasy kickers this season.

More Week 11 PK Sleepers To Consider

  • Greg Zuerlein, Dallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs
  • Ryan Succop, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Giants

2021 Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11: Defensive Team

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

  • Dolphins-Jets Total: 45 via Caesars Sportsbook
  • Over 45 (-110), Under 45 (-110)

The 2021 Dolphins defense has not lived up to expectations. However, in the past two games, they looked more like the 2020 unit that popped.

In their two games since Week 9, the Dolphins finished with 17 fantasy points and 18 fantasy points facing the Texans and Ravens, respectively.

Accumulating a total of nine sacks, six takeaways, and a touchdown while holding their foes to fewer than 10 points apiece in those two matchups, the Dolphins will look to make it three straight fantasy-friendly outputs in a terrific Week 11 battle with the Jets.

While the Jets have managed to move the football, they are fruitful in ceding sacks and turnovers. Smash the Dolphins this week.

Other Week 11 D/ST To Consider

  • Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints
  • Cleveland Browns vs Detroit Lions

Want more Week 10 fantasy football advice? Check out our Week 10 Fantasy Football Best Waiver Wire Adds.


NFL Week 11 Injuries to Monitor

  • RB Aaron Jones (knee)
  • RB Jermar Jefferson (ankle)
  • WR CeeDee Lamb (arm contusion)
  • **WR D.K. Metcalf (ejected from the game)
  • TE Ricky Seals-Jones (hip)
  • TE Dallas Goedert (head injury)

Anthony’s Accountable: Sleeper Pick Success Rate

This is a recap of my plays from Week 10 (skill position players only). I consider a sleeper a hit if the player scores 10-plus PPR points (15-plus for QBs):

Anthony’s Sleepers are 65-53-1 this season.

  • QB Ryan Tannehill (19.6)
  • QB Matt Ryan (2.7)
  • RB Darrel Williams (29.4)
  • RB Javonte Williams (6.9)
  • RB Devin Singletary (11.9)
  • WR Russell Gage (0)
  • WR Jaylen Waddle (10.1)
  • WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (2.6)
  • TE Hunter Henry (19.7)
  • TE Dan Arnold (13.7)
  • K Younghoe Koo (3)
  • DST Steelers (5.0)

Thanks for reading our Fantasy Football Sleepers for Week 11 of the NFL season! For more fantasy football content, check out our Fantasy Football Waiver Wire.

Author

Anthony Cervino

Anthony Cervino is an NFL Writer and Betting Analyst for The Game Day. He is also a lifelong NFL savant and self-proclaimed league historian. In the industry, Anthony has excelled in both the fantasy football and sports betting space with fantasy his proverbial bread and butter. Anthony has made appearances on SiriusXM, amongst other publications. He is also the co-creator of the FF Faceoff (Faceoff Sports Network) and the FF Faceoff Mental Health Podathon partnered with the Hayden Hurst Foundation. Industry Clout: 15th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for both draft and in-season accuracy (2019) | 8th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for sleepers (2020) | 13th most accurate ranker in the FantasyPros ECR for in-season accuracy, including 2nd at quarterback and 3rd at tight end (2021).

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