Following his win at Roland Garros, it sure feels like this is once again Novak Djokovic’s ATP Tour. Without several of his biggest challengers in the last few years, the World No. 2 will be challenged by a grass-averse Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon with few other serious contenders behind him.
Let’s break down the best ways to bet on the men’s field at the All England Club this year.
Wimbledon Men’s Winner Prediction
Novak Djokovic (-155)
BetMGM Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
(Tennis odds used for these men’s Wimbledon picks are current as of Thursday, June 29.)
There are only three players who have really been able to threaten the World No. 2 on grass in recent years. It seems all of them will be out of contention at Wimbledon.
Matteo Berrettini has yet to play on grass this season and hasn’t played much at all, trying to come back from several injuries. Nick Kyrgios had knee surgery in January and then his comeback was delayed by an injury sustained in a burglary. He came back for one grass match only to find he couldn’t move well which ultimately led to a defeat. Rafael Nadal hasn’t played since the Australian Open and won’t play here.
That should clear the way for Djokovic to win his 24th grand slam. He’s won Wimbledon the last four years he’s played in it and proved at the French Open that he’s still the top dog.
Wimbledon Men’s Contenders
Wimbledon winner betting lines were found at FanDuel Sportsbook and are fresh as of Wednesday, June 28 at 4 p.m. ET.
Here’s how the top Wimbledon favorites rank:
- Novak Djokovic (-175)
- Carlos Alcaraz (+340)
- Jannik Sinner (+1600)
- Daniil Medvedev (+1800)
- Sebastian Korda (+2900)
- Taylor Fritz (+2900)
- Alexander Zverev (+2900)
Given the injuries to Berrettini and Kyrgios, the favorites to win this tournament look a lot different than you’d expect.
Alcaraz surely will win a Wimbledon soon but lacks experience on the surface.
Daniil Medvedev once again finds himself among the favorites, but grass is a surface that he’s yet to master.
Jannik Sinner is still unproven at slams. It’s anyone’s guess who the contenders will be.
🎾 Read our full Wimbledon men’s odds and draw report.
Wimbledon Men’s Best Bet
Editor’s Note: Nick Kyrgios withdrew from Wimbledon due to a wrist injury.
Nick Kyrgios (+3000)
FanDuel Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 unit
Ironically, this is just about what Kyrgios’ odds were to win Wimbledon a year ago. Back then, he hadn’t proven he could play two weeks of best-of-five tennis, with both his body and mind holding him back. He enters this tournament without any of those question marks.
The issue here with Kyrgios is that he’s played one match all season after rehabbing from a knee injury, which came in a straight-set loss on grass a couple of weeks ago. He wasn’t moving well and was forced to skip the rest of grass season to get his body right for Wimbledon.
We know that when he’s in form, Kyrgios is a top-three player on grass due to his other-worldly power. Even without much movement, the Australian should still be able to win some matches early here based off of his serve alone and has a chance to play his way into form in England. I think at this price he’s the longshot you want to be looking at.
🎾 Click for our women’s Wimbledon best bets.
Wimbledon Men’s Sleeper Bet
Sebastian Korda (+2900)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 units
How is it that the sleeper has better odds than the best bet? Well, the difference is that Kyrgios is a veteran at this point in his career and not only made the Wimbledon final last year but the US Open quarters as well.
Sebastian Korda has yet to advance past the fourth round at a slam, but just so happens that it was right here at Wimbledon, in his debut in 2021. Like his father, the young American has an excellent game for grass with such grace and clean ball-striking. He can slice the ball very well and serve his way out of trouble. He’s really got the complete package.
It’d be hard to see him defeating Djokovic, but he’s already notched a win over Alcaraz in his career on clay. On top of that, he reached the semis at Queen’s Club last week where he took out some solid competition in Frances Tiafoe, Cam Norrie and Dan Evans.
Korda is quickly becoming a borderline top-10 player on grass and should be expected to make a deep run here, barring a nightmare draw.
