Best Texans Betting Lines 2023
The Houston Texans concluded the 2021 season with a 4-13 record under first-year head coach David Culley.
Culley was fired despite exceeding expectations and has since been replaced with Lovie Smith. After inevitably trading Deshaun Watson, the Texans are seemingly giving the keys to the offense to Davis Mills, a second-year quarterback who made 11 starts last season.
On the defensive side of the ball, Houston lost Justin Reid in free agency but addressed the holes in its secondary during the offseason. The Texans signed veteran Steven Nelson and selected Derek Stingley Jr. and Jalen Pitre in the first two rounds of the 2022 NFL Draft.
Will Houston’s offseason moves be enough for them to put together a solid campaign in 2022?
Texans Futures Betting Odds
Note: These Texans futures bet odds are current as of Friday, Sept. 2 at 4 p.m. ET and courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. You can find more odds at these US betting sites. But be careful, as many of these NFL futures odds might shift as we get closer to the 2022 NFL season.
- Win Total: Over 4.5 (-120) / Under 4.5 (+100)
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+1500) / No (-3500)
- Win AFC South: (+2500)
- Win AFC Championship: (+10000)
- Win Super Bowl 57: (+30000)
🏈 to place any of these Texans futures bets at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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Texans Super Bowl 57 Odds
Texans to Win Super Bowl (+30000)
Of all 32 teams in the NFL, the Texans currently have the worst odds to win the Super Bowl. Houston has (+30000) odds to win Super Bowl 57, while the team with the second-worst odds is the Atlanta Falcons at (+25000).
It’s hard to be confident in the Texans when they are rolling out Mills at quarterback along with a below-average roster. Entering the 2022 season, it is clear that Houston is going to take a few years to rebuild following the Watson trade.
For those that gravitate toward betting on certain teams to win the Super Bowl, placing a wager on the Texans to win the Super Bowl is equivalent to burning money.
Texans AFC Championship Odds
Texans to Win AFC Championship (+10000)
Seeing that the Texans have the worst odds to win the Super Bowl in 2022, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that their odds to win the AFC title game are extremely low as well. The AFC got much stronger this offseason — especially the AFC West — which is a division that Houston will have to face this season.
In the AFC, the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, and Los Angeles Chargers are all considered among the favorites to win the conference. The Cincinnati Bengals, the reigning AFC champs, are also threats to repeat in 2022.
Wagering on the Texans to emerge from the depths of the AFC amid a full rebuild is one way to ensure that the sportsbooks get a donation.
Texans AFC South Winner Odds
Texans to Win AFC South (+2500)
When it comes to the AFC South, the Texans have the worst odds to win the division at (+2500). The Indianapolis Colts are favorites at (-125), followed by the Titans (+170) and the Jaguars (+750).
The Texans have by far the worst quarterback situation in the division. The Colts traded for Matt Ryan in the offseason, the Titans have Ryan Tannehill and Malik Willis developing behind him, and the Jaguars should see massive improvements from Trevor Lawrence under the tutelage of Doug Pederson.
Meanwhile, Mills is a third-round pick that doesn’t have many exciting traits. It’s possible, but slightly far-fetched to think he can evolve into a franchise signal-caller.
The Texans have won the AFC South in four out of the past seven years, but this year’s squad is one of the worst rosters they’ve had since the early 2000s, so I wouldn’t advise on betting them to win the division.
Texans to Make Playoffs Odds
Texans to Make Playoffs (+1500)
Once again, the AFC got much better this offseason, likely making it a taller task to make the playoffs in the conference. Even with the NFL increasing the number of playoff teams in each conference to seven, the Texans are an extreme longshot to secure one of those spots.
For Houston to do the unthinkable and advance to the playoffs in 2022, they’ll need elite play from Mills and their defense to become a formidable unit immediately under Smith. I’m not a big believer in Mills, and it’s going to take time for the new pieces on the Texans’ defense to gel together before they become a notable group.
Houston is at least a couple of years away from playoff contention, which is why I wouldn’t spend any hard-earned money on betting them to sneak into the playoffs in 2022.
Texans Win Total Bets 2023
Texans: Under 4.5 Wins (+100)
Just last season, the Texans were able to overachieve by going 4-13 in the NFL’s first 17-game season. You would think that having an extra game would give Houston a better chance to secure another win, but in their case, it probably means they have one more opportunity to lose.
The Texans play in a division that could be improved with the Colts adding Ryan at quarterback and the Jaguars replacing Urban Meyer with Pederson at head coach. The Titans have continued to be playoff contenders in recent years under Mike Vrabel, so wins aren’t going to be easy to come by in the AFC South.
Despite getting to face the NFC East in 2022, the Texans will also have to square off with the much-improved AFC West. Houston is going to need a lot to bounce the right way for them to hit the Over of 4.5 wins.
I expect them to get three or four wins in 2022, potentially putting them in a position to select one of the highly-touted quarterback prospects in C.J. Stroud or Bryce Young in the 2023 NFL Draft.
Texans Prop Bets 2023
Texans: Finish 3rd in AFC South (+250)
The Texans have (-210) odds to finish fourth in the AFC South in 2022, so there isn’t much value in betting them to be at the bottom of the division unless you parlay it with other events.
While I’m not confident in Houston securing wins in the upcoming season, picking them to finish third in the AFC South is a longshot wager I’d take a dart throw at.
There’s no guarantee that any of the Colts, Titans, or Jaguars live up to expectations in the 2022 campaign. Injuries could also cause any one of these teams to spiral downward, giving the Texans a chance to avoid being the worst team in the AFC South.
If you’re wagering on this team prop, I’d recommend placing just half a unit, or even less, on the Texans to finish third in the division.
Derek Stingley Jr. to Win Defensive Rookie of the Year (+1400)
With the No. 3 overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, the Texans took Stingley, a cornerback out of LSU. Stingley has been a highly-regarded cornerback prospect since his stellar freshman season at LSU where he shut down some of the top wide receivers in the SEC who are now notable wideouts in the NFL.
Injuries have been a concern for Stingley in recent years, but it’s hard to ignore the talent he possesses. Stingley has been one of my favorite cornerback prospects to watch in recent years, and he’ll be playing under a defensive-minded coach in Smith.
Upon joining the Texans, Stingley should immediately start and get an opportunity to produce solid numbers for a team that is desperate for consistency at the cornerback position.
We’ve seen two cornerbacks win Defensive Rookie of the Year since 2015 (Marcus Peters in 2015 and Marshon Lattimore in 2017) and it wouldn’t surprise me one bit to see Stingley take home the hardware in 2022.
How to Bet Texans Moneylines
Moneyline betting is the easiest way to wager on NFL games. All you need to do to win is pick which team you believe will win the game. If you’re right, your bet will cash.
These odds change on a weekly basis and are entirely dependent upon matchups. Houston isn’t likely to be favored in many games this season, but in the event that they are, you’ll see a minus symbol (-120) appear next to their odds. Otherwise, a plus symbol (+180) will appear when they’re an underdog.
A $12 wager at (-120) odds would earn you $10, whereas a $10 wager at (+180) odds would earn you $18. There’s more opportunity for earnings by betting on underdogs, but because they don’t win as often, it isn’t exactly the best strategy.
- 2021 Texans Moneyline Record: 4-13-0
How to Bet Texans Spreads
Spread betting is another popular way to wager on NFL games. Here, each team is assigned a number that’s essentially the total points they’re expected to win or lose by. Each option is evenly-priced, so we don’t need to worry about value here.
For example, the Texans may be a 9.5-point underdog against the Colts. In that case, all the Texans have to do to cover the spread is lose by fewer than nine points, or win the game outright. For the Colts to cover the spread, they’d have to win by at least 10.
Once again, the plus and minus symbols indicate underdogs and favorites here, so make sure you pay attention to those indicators to know what exactly it is that you’re betting on.
- 2021 Texans Against the Spread Record: 8-9-0
How to Bet Texans Over/Unders
Over/Unders — also known as totals — is a fun way to wager on NFL games. Instead of picking winners and losers or the margin of victory, totals instead are all about how many points are scored in a game.
Before it begins, oddsmakers will set their projected scoring total for the game. This may be something like 43.5 points, for example. Once this has been set, you need to determine whether the actual combined scoring total will be higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the number.
- 2021 Texans Over/Under Record: 8-9-0