The Pittsburgh Steelers were written off for dead after entering the month of November with a 2-6 record. But head coach Mike Tomlin proved why he is among the best at his profession.
Pittsburgh rallied in the second half of the season behind rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett and nearly made the playoffs. It finished the year 9-8 and are one of the more interesting teams heading into the 2023 NFL season.
Steelers Best Futures Odds
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NFL odds featured in this Steelers report were found at DraftKings and Caesars Sportsbook and are current as of Monday, May 29, at 10 a.m. ET.
Steelers Win Total Odds
- Over 9 Wins (+105)
- Under 9 Wins (-125)
Steelers Win Total Bet: Under 9 (-125)
Caesars Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
As much as I believe in Tomlin and the culture he has helped foster in Pittsburgh, I just do not see this team winning 10 games. Pickett showed flashes last year, but he’s still a bit raw.
He averaged just 6.2 yards per attempt last year, ahead of only Kyler Murray.
A young quarterback’s best friend is often his running game, but Najee Harris regressed in his second NFL season. If he cannot increase his production, I am not sure this offense will do enough to compete with the big boys in the AFC.
Steelers Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (+130)
- Yes (-150)
Steelers Make Playoffs Bet: No (-150)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
If Pittsburgh were in the NFC, I would absolutely bet on it to make the playoffs. But in the AFC, I just do not see it happening.
It has the lowest projected win total among the four teams in the AFC North. It will be a tough road for Pittsburgh to make it to the playoffs.
Steelers Futures Prop Bets
Steelers to Finish Third in the AFC North (+240)
Steelers to Finish Fourth in the AFC North (+165)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 combined Unit
Unless there is a significant injury to Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson, I think Pittsburgh will be unable to overtake either Cincinnati or Baltimore in its division. That leaves third and fourth place as the most likely landing spots for the Steelers in 2023.
In this scenario, you can bet on Pittsburgh to finish either third or fourth and guarantee yourself a profit. I would propose risking 0.4 units on it finishing third, and 0.6 units on it finishing fourth.
The payout for both outcomes would be roughly 1 unit plus your initial stake.
Steelers to Win Under 2.5 Divisional Games (+195)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
I proposed the same wager for the Cleveland Browns and am doing so again here for Pittsburgh.
The Steelers went 3-3 against the AFC North a season ago. However, three of those games were played against Jacoby Brissett and Tyler Huntley.
I do not have a ton of faith in Pickett out-dueling the likes of Deshaun Watson, Lamar Jackson, and Joe Burrow.
Steelers Game Odds & Lines
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Steelers Best Player Prop Odds
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More AFC North odds: Baltimore Ravens | Cincinnati Bengals | Cleveland Browns
How to Bet on Steelers Games in 2023
How to Bet Steelers Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Steelers are a (-200) favorite against the rival Browns, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If Pittsburgh was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Steelers Moneyline Record: 9-8
How to Bet Steelers Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Steelers are 6-point favorites over the Commanders, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Steelers -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Steelers would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
Pittsburgh was the only team in the NFL to cover the spread exactly half the time in 2021, and should be a decent bet moving forward as the roster seems to have improved over the offseason.
- 2022 Steelers Against the Spread Record: 10-6-1
How to Bet Steelers Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Steelers games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Pickett, Diontae Johnson, and the Steelers to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under.
- 2022 Steelers Over/Under Record: 7-10
