The Falcons finished with seven wins for the second straight season under head coach Arthur Smith and will go into the season with a new starting QB. Marcus Mariota is with the Philadelphia Eagles, so second-year signal-caller Desmond Ridder will lead the way.
The Falcons made a big move in the NFL Draft and selected Texas RB Bijan Robinson with the No. 8 pick. He has been labeled a generational prospect by many and could be a dynamic part of this offense.
Let’s dive into how the betting markets forecast this season for the Falcons.
Falcons Best Futures Odds
Click to find the top Atlanta Falcons betting lines with our NFL bets comparison tool:
NFL odds featured in this Falcons report were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Wednesday, May 31, at 10 a.m. ET.
Falcons Win Total Odds
- Over 8.5 Wins (+115)
- Under 8.5 Wins (-135)
Falcons Win Total Bet: Under 8.5 Wins (-135)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
A lot of the Falcons’ success this season hinges on the play of Ridder. He has a first-round WR to throw to in Drake London, a first-round TE in Kyle Pitts, and now Robinson in the backfield.
The Falcons, ranked fifth in our offensive line power rankings, have done a good job surrounding their QB with playmakers, and it’s time to see the offense take the next step. Atlanta attempted the second-fewest passes in the league last season at 415, so it will be interesting to see how much Ridder actually throws the ball.
Atlanta is in the easiest division in the NFL and has one of the lightest schedules in the league this season. Despite all of this, I think the team will finish with eight wins on the year, which could still be good enough to make the playoffs in a weak NFC.
Falcons Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (+130)
- No (-150)
Falcons Make Playoffs Bet: Yes (+130)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.5 Units
The NFC is weaker this season, and I think an eight-win team could sneak into the playoffs with the additional wild card spot. The Falcons play defensive and run-heavy football, which could bode well for them this year.
They won’t have to face many elite QBs, either, with Aaron Rodgers, Kirk Cousins, Trevor Lawrence, and Derek Carr being the best of the bunch they will see this season.
Falcons Futures Prop Bets
Division Finishing Position: Second (+215)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
The Saints are favored to win the division, and rightfully so. I give the Falcons the edge over the Panthers to finish second because of the continuity in quarterback and head coach. It could take Bryce Young and Frank Reich one or two seasons to fully get going in Carolina.
Exact Season Wins: 8 (+550)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
This is a risky play at (+550), but looking at the schedule, the Falcons can definitely win eight games this season. They should win at least three in the division and will face off against some of the teams that finished at the bottom of the league last year.
The NFC South takes on the AFC South this year, which is a battle of two of the worst divisions in the league.
Falcons Game Odds & Lines
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Falcons Best Player Prop Odds
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More NFC South odds: Carolina Panthers | New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers
How to Bet on Falcons Games in 2023
How to Bet Falcons Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Falcons are a (-200) favorite against the rival Saints, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If Atlanta was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Falcons Moneyline Record: 7-10
How to Bet Falcons Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Falcons are 6-point favorites over the Commanders, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Falcons -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Falcons would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
- 2022 Falcons Against the Spread Record: 9-8
How to Bet Falcons Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Falcons games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect Robinson, Ridder, and the Falcons to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under.
- 2022 Falcons Over/Under Record: 7-10
