Tampa Bay is left reeling at the quarterback position after Tom Brady retired, again. This time it looks like it is permanent, leaving the Bucs with Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask at the position.
Mayfield is trying to resurrect his career like Geno Smith with the Seahawks, and Trask is looking for a chance to jumpstart his career. However, if I were a Bucs fan, I wouldn’t be that optimistic about this season.
Let’s dive into how the betting markets forecast the Bucs 2023 season.
Buccaneers Best Futures Odds
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NFL odds featured in this Buccaneers report were found at DraftKings Sportsbook and are current as of Wednesday, May 31, at 10 a.m. ET.
Buccaneers Win Total Odds
- Over 6.5 Wins (+110)
- Under 6.5 Wins (-130)
Buccaneers Win Total Bet: Under 6.5 (-130)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 2 Units
Tampa Bay limped into the playoffs last year with a losing record and were then blown out by the Cowboys in the wild card round. They decided to not re-sign RB Leonard Fournette and will ride with Rachaad White as the lead back this season.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are still there, but it’ll be their first season playing with Mayfield. I don’t expect the Bucs to win more than four games this season, so I love betting the Under at 6.5 wins.
Buccaneers Make Playoffs Odds
- Yes (+360)
- No (-450)
Buccaneers Make Playoffs Bet: No (-450)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0 Units
The Bucs, ranked 29th in our offense power rankings, are going to be one of the worst teams in the league this year. There is no value in betting them to miss the playoffs at (-450).
Buccaneers Futures Prop Bets
Under 4.5 Total Wins (+240)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
I’m taking this alternate Under on the Bucs win total due to the lack of confidence I have in their QB situation. The NFL is a quarterback-first league, and the Bucs arguably have a bottom-three class in the NFL.
Division Finishing Position: 4th (+100)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 1 Unit
I expect the Bucs to finish last in the NFC South even though the Panthers are starting a rookie QB this year. The Panthers, Saints, and Falcons all finished with seven wins last year, which was only one behind the Bucs with Brady.
The Falcons have the most continuity at the QB position (which is shocking) and I expect them to finish above the Bucs. The Panthers could finish lower than the Bucs, but I have more faith in Bryce Young than the signal-callers in Tampa Bay.
Fewest Wins in the NFL (+900)
DraftKings Sportsbook • WAGER: 0.25 Units
This is a bit of a longshot, but I truly believe that the Bucs are going to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this year. The Cardinals and Texans are the only other teams who are favored to be worse than Tampa Bay this season.
If things don’t start off well for the Bucs, they may choose to tank for the No. 1 overall pick next season. They are in need of a franchise QB, and USC QB Caleb Williams could be the answer at next year’s draft.
Buccaneers Game Odds & Lines
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Buccaneers Best Player Prop Odds
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How to Bet on Buccaneers Games in 2023
How to Bet Buccaneers Moneylines
NFL moneyline wagers are the simplest forms of NFL bets. All you have to do is pick a team to win a given game, and if they do, you win your bet.
Since winning is the only requirement to cash your bet, the odds for NFL moneylines can vary greatly depending on each team’s implied probability of winning (or losing) that game. Favorites are designated by a minus symbol (-200), whereas underdogs are represented by a plus symbol (+200).
If the Buccaneers are a (-200) favorite against the rival Buccaneers, you would have to bet $20 to turn a $10 profit. If Tampa Bay was a (+200) underdog, you would profit $20 off a $10 bet.
- 2022 Buccaneers Moneyline Record: 8-10
How to Bet Buccaneers Spreads
Betting the spread is the most efficient way to wager on NFL games, as it presents two evenly priced options. The spread, which is assigned a value by the books, is the number of points that the favorite is expected to win by against the underdog.
If the Buccaneers are 6-point favorites over the Commanders, the spread for that game will be set up like this: Buccaneers -6 (-110) vs Commanders +6 (-110).
In this scenario, the Buccaneers would have to win by more than six points for you to win your bet. If they were to win by a pair of field goals, your bet would push and you would recoup your initial wager.
The Buccaneers were the worst team against the spread in 2022.
- 2022 Buccaneers Against the Spread Record: 4-13-1
How to Bet Buccaneers Over/Unders
If you don’t want to pick a side, you can still bet on Buccaneers games by wagering on the total number of points scored.
Sportsbooks set the amount of combined points they expect both teams in the game to score, and then you can bet on either the Over or the Under.
If you expect the Buccaneers to light up the scoreboard, then you’ll probably want to take the Over. If you think a specific game could be more defensive, then you would bet the Under.
- 2022 Buccaneers Over/Under Record: 6-12