The NFL Draft is behind us, but it’s never too early to look ahead at next year.
The 2024 draft will take place in the Motor City as the Lions play host to the 89th annual event. A lot can happen between now and then, and it may seem way too early, but sportsbooks are already taking bets on who will be selected No. 1 in 2024.
Here’s a look at some of the odds.
NFL Draft Bet of the Day
Read more on this NFL Draft prop and my other best bets below.
NFL Draft Odds & Props
NFL Draft Futures odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 8 p.m. ET, on Friday, April 28, 2023.
NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds
- Caleb Williams, QB, USC (-550)
- Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina (+600)
- Marvin Harrison, Jr., WR, Ohio State (+2000)
- Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame (+2500)
- Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OT, Penn State (+2500)
- Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB, Alabama (+3000)
- Michael Hall, Jr., DT, Ohio State (+3000)
- Dallas Turner, OLB, Alabama (+3500)
- Jared Verse, EDGE, Florida State (+3500)
- K.J. Jefferson, QB, Arkansas (+4000)
- Michael Penix, Jr., QB, Washington (+5000)
- Quinn Ewers, QB, Texas (+5000)
- Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU (+6000)
- Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado (+6000)
- Spencer Rattler, QB, South Carolina (+6000)
- Bo Nix, QB, Oregon (+8000)
- Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State (+8000)
- Grayson McCall, QB, Coastal Carolina (+8000)
- J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan (+8000)
The 2022 Heisman Trophy winner is by far the favorite to go No. 1 overall as soon as he’s eligible.
Williams, the Oklahoma transfer who took USC by storm a season ago, is almost certain to declare for the NFL after his junior season in 2023. Barring injury, or a catastrophic fall-off in 2023, Williams will almost certainly be the first name called in Detroit next April.
Archie Griffin is still the only player to ever win multiple Heisman Trophies, which means Williams’ odds will drastically change between now and the 2024 draft.
Seven of the past nine top picks have been quarterbacks, and the top-two odds players are QBs. Aside from Williams, Drake Maye of North Carolina is the only player with sub-3000 odds.
Maye, who replaced Carolina great Sam Howell, in 2023 had an exceptional redshirt freshman year and is also in the top-3 for Heisman Trophy odds entering the 2023 season.
No. 1 Pick Best Bet: Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina (+600)
The best play at this moment would be to hold off for Williams’ odds to lengthen, but I’m old enough to remember when Matt Barkley was the consensus top pick out of USC before the 2012 season. Barkley ultimately went in the fourth round of the 2013 draft.
Williams is a far-more special talent than Barkley, but at these odds, it is not a good bet to place. QBs are almost always the first player chosen — seven of the past nine Nos. 1 overall have been signal callers and five of the past six — but if Williams falters Maye will almost certainly be the top pick.
Might as well take Maye as our NFL pick of the day.
NFL Draft First QB Picked Odds
- Caleb Williams, QB, USC (-600)
- Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina (+600)
- K.J. Jefferson, QB, Arkansas (+3000)
- Michael Penix, Jr., QB, Washington (+3500)
- Quinn Ewers, QB, Texas (+3500)
- Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU (+4000)
- Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado (+4000)
- Spencer Rattler, QB, South Carolina (+4000)
- Bo Nix, QB, Oregon (+6000)
- Grayson McCall, QB, Coastal Carolina (+6000)
- J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan (+6000)
First QB Taken: Drake Maye (+600) • DraftKings Sportsbook
It’s a loaded draft for QBs, but as stated above, Maye is the consensus No. 2 QB at this point behind Williams. If you want to take a flier on a long-odds pick, like Nix or Sanders, who is crazy athletic but must show it off against FBS competition, I’d advocate going for that.
But at this point, if it’s not Williams, it’ll be Maye.
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