NFL Mock Draft 2023 | NFL Draft Pick Predictions for Round 1

Posted: Aug 28, 2022Last updated: Aug 29, 2022

The 2022 NFL season is just weeks away, but it’s never too early to start thinking about the upcoming NFL Draft.

The 2023 class should be a great one. Among the projected top prospects are talented quarterbacks, pass rushers, and receivers. But who will go No. 1 overall? And which team will make that pick?

Here is our complete first-round NFL mock draft for 2023:

Note: The Miami Dolphins have forfeited their 2023 first-round pick after an NFL investigation found they violated league policies related to the integrity of the game, so there will only be 31 selections in Round 1.

2023 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1

1. Seattle Seahawks: Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

The Seahawks are entering the 2022 season with Drew Lock and Geno Smith as their quarterbacks. That’s a sure-fire way to pick inside of the top three in the 2023 NFL Draft.

Bryce Young is the best quarterback prospect in this class despite not having ideal size (listed at 6-foot). Still, he’s incredibly accurate and knows how to throw on time with anticipation.

NFL Draft Bet: Bryce Young 2023 No. 1 Pick

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2. Atlanta Falcons: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

The Falcons selected Desmond Ridder in the third round of the 2022 NFL Draft, but that certainly won’t stop them from taking a much better quarterback prospect in C.J. Stroud.

During the 2022 season, Stroud threw 44 touchdowns while completing nearly 72% of his passes. He needs to speed up his game, but he is a fantastic quarterback prospect who could easily be picked at No. 1.

NFL Bet of the Day: C.J. Stroud No. 1 Pick in 2023 NFL Draft

3. Houston Texans: Will Anderson, EDGE, Alabama

Will Anderson would be the No. 1 pick in most drafts despite being an EDGE rusher. He’s truly one of the most dominant pass rushers we’ve ever seen come out of college.

During the 2021 season, he led the SEC in tackles for a loss with 31 and had 17.5 sacks. That was the most sacks ever in one season by an SEC player as he was nearly unblockable.

Anderson also had an insane 55 hurries last year, leading all of college football.

While he might not have the same size as a Myles Garrett or a Jadeveon Clowney entering the NFL, he’s just a far better player. Picking him at No. 3 would be a massive steal for the Texans.

Will Anderson, EDGE, Alabama

Could Alabama’s Will Anderson follow in Travon Walker’s footsteps as the next SEC pass rusher to be the No. 1 overall pick? (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

4. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia

Jalen Carter was the best defensive tackle on Georgia last season and is a true pass-rush star. He totaled 8.5 tackles for loss on just 396 defensive snaps last year.

Even more impressive were his 24 quarterback hurries. To put that into perspective, Jordan Davis (pick No. 13 in 2022) totaled just 14 hurries on a similar number of snaps.

Carter has all the tools to be an All-Pro defensive tackle in the NFL.

5. Chicago Bears: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

The Bears didn’t get Justin Fields much help this offseason, so look for them to select a No. 1 receiver in Round 1 of the 2023 draft. The top wideout in this class is Field’s former Ohio State teammate Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Despite playing with Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave (both top 12 selections in 2022), Smith-Njigba was the No. 1 receiver on that team. He led the Buckeyes in receptions (95) and yards (1,606), and he’s incredibly dynamic after the catch.

He would be a perfect fit with Fields in Chicago, should he fall to No. 5.

6. Carolina Panthers: Tyler Van Dyke, QB, Miami (FL)

Matt Rhule has had back-to-back five-win seasons to start his NFL coaching career. If he has a third, look for the Panthers to move on.

And despite them taking Matt Corral in the latter part of the third round in 2022, don’t be surprised if they use their top pick on a quarterback.

One quarterback to keep an eye on during this college football season is Tyler Van Dyke from Miami. He ended up starting over D’Eriq King for most of last season, and that was the wise move.

Van Dyke played exceptionally well in the final six games of the campaign, throwing 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions. He led Miami to a 5-1 record during that time, picking up wins over Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, and Virginia Tech.

If he can continue to improve, he’ll have a shot at being the No. 3 quarterback off the board in 2023.

7. New York Jets: Paris Johnson Jr., OT, Ohio State

At this point, the Jets can no longer count on Mekhi Becton. He’ll miss the entire 2022 season with a knee injury and has played just one game since the start of the 2021 season. For that reason, expect the Jets to look at offensive tackle early in Round 1.

One name to keep an eye on is Paris Johnson Jr. from Ohio State. He’s only played guard so far in his college career but is expected to move out to left tackle in 2022.

Assuming that goes well, he could easily be the first offensive tackle off the board in 2023. He’s got the size, power, and length to be a star at nearly any position in the NFL.

8. Detroit Lions: Kayshon Boutte, WR, LSU

The Lions would love to draft one of the top three quarterbacks here at No. 8, but none are available. So, don’t be surprised if they are very aggressive trying to trade up next year to find their next franchise quarterback.

If that doesn’t happen, look for the Lions to continue to rebuild their wide receiver group. D.J. Chark is on a one-year deal and we’ll see how Jameson Williams turns out.

LSU’s Kayshon Boutte only played six games in 2021, but he had multiple outings over 120 yards. He’s extremely young and raw, but he should have a monster season in Baton Rouge this year.

9. Washington Commanders: Peter Skoronski, OT, Northwestern

Washington didn’t do much to help their offensive line this offseason as they opted to trade for Carson Wentz and pick wide receiver Jahan Dotson in the first round. The Commanders have one of the worst offensive lines in the league and could use a player like Peter Skoronski.

He has already had two full seasons of experience, and his play just keeps getting better and better. He projects as a left tackle in the NFL and compares favorably to his former teammate Rashawn Slater, now with the Chargers.

10. New York Giants: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

Tight ends usually aren’t picked in the first round, but most tight ends aren’t like Michael Mayer.

During his freshman season, he caught 42 passes for 450 yards and two touchdowns while playing with Tommy Tremble (third-round pick of the Panthers in 2021). This past year, he saw his role and production increase massively as he caught 71 passes for 840 yards and seven touchdowns.

Not only is Mayer a receiving weapon, but he is a useful blocker that can be moved across all formations. With another strong season, “Baby Gronk" could find himself inside the top 10 of the 2023 NFL Draft.

11. Houston Texans (via Cleveland): Kelee Ringo, CB, Georgia

Could the Texans add another cornerback to pair with Derek Stingley? The answer is yes, as Kelee Ringo has incredible size and speed. Stingley and Ringo would be a fantastic young duo for the new-look Houston defense.

12. Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Sewell, LB, Oregon

The Steelers must address their offensive line early in the 2023 NFL Draft, but we know how much they value the linebacker position. Noah Sewell is a massive off-the-ball linebacker who could replace Devin Bush, who is set to hit free agency after the season.

13. New England Patriots: Eli Ricks, CB, Alabama

Bill Belichick loves to draft Alabama players and they have a huge need at cornerback going into the season. Eli Ricks is a former LSU Tiger, but he will now play under Nick Saban for the 2022 season. Expect his draft stock to rise dramatically over the next few months.

14. Minnesota Vikings: Myles Murphy, EDGE, Clemson

Both of the starting defensive ends for the Vikings are coming off serious back injuries, and they need more depth at the position. Myles Murphy is a towering defensive end with the ability to be a high-end run defender right away. He needs to continue to work on his pass-rush game, but he has the makings of a top-10 pick in next year’s draft with a strong junior season.

15. Arizona Cardinals: Bryan Breese, DT, Clemson

Bryan Breese is a massive defensive end who is coming off a torn ACL. He can play all across the defensive line and would be a perfect replacement for J.J. Watt.

16. Denver Broncos: Nolan Smith, EDGE, Georgia

The Broncos have invested a ton in their pass rush over the last few years, but it’s never a bad idea to keep drafting players there. Nolan Smith is one of the best athletes in the class and is already a proven commodity as a run defender.

17. Philadelphia Eagles (via New Orleans): Jordan Battle, S, Alabama

Jordan Battle could have entered the 2022 NFL Draft and would have been a fringe first-round pick. But returning for his senior season could allow his stock to rise even more. He’s a physical box safety who can be an enforcer on defense for the Eagles.

18. Tennessee Titans: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

Joey Porter Jr. is the son of former Pro Bowl linebacker Joey Porter, and he has some of the best ball skills in the nation. He should be even better this year for Penn State and could lock himself into being a top-10 pick.

Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

His father was a third-round pick, but Joey Porter Jr. could crack the top 20 with another strong season at Penn State. (Image: USA TODAY Sports)

19. Philadelphia Eagles: Andre Carter II, EDGE, Army

A 6’7, 265-pound EDGE rusher with 14.5 sacks in 2021? What’s not to like? Andre Carter is an athletic freak who is still learning how to rush the passer. The upside is there for him to be one of the top picks in next year’s draft.

20. Las Vegas Raiders: Zion Nelson, OT, Miami

It looks like the Raiders whiffed on Alex Leatherwood, so they need to add an offensive tackle to help protect Derek Carr. Zion Nelson needs to continue to get stronger, but he’s improved in every season at Miami.

21. Indianapolis Colts: Broderick Jones, OT, Georgia

The left tackle position continues to be a problem for the Colts, so don’t be surprised if they try to address it early in the 2023 NFL Draft. Broderick Jones is transitioning from right tackle to left tackle for Georgia, but he’s one of the class’s most physically gifted offensive tackles.

22. Dallas Cowboys: Isaiah Foskey, EDGE, Notre Dame

The Cowboys love to add long, athletic defenders to their defensive line, and Isaiah Foskey certainly fits that mold. At 6’5, 265 pounds, he has a ton of raw power and his ceiling is unlimited. Pairing him with Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence seems unfair.

23. Cincinnati Bengals: Cam Smith, CB South Carolina

The Bengals draft defensive backs high and could do so again in 2023 with Cam Smith. He was fantastic for Clemson last season, as he totaled three interceptions and nine pass deflections. Pairing him with Dax Hill for the foreseeable future would be a lot of fun.

24. Miami Dolphins (via San Francisco): Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Mike McDaniel comes from a coaching tree that usually doesn’t draft running backs high, but Bijan Robinson is a special runner that belongs in the first round. He’s also a dynamic receiver that can be used out of the backfield, which increases his value. Robinson shouldn’t get past the top 25 picks in next year’s draft.

25. Los Angeles Chargers: Trenton Simpson, LB, Clemson

Linebacker is the only weak spot for the Chargers on defense, but there will be several intriguing options available in Round 1. One such target could be Trenton Simpson, who stands at 6’3, 230 pounds. He played all over the field for Clemson last season and can even be used as a pass rusher.

26. Baltimore Ravens: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

After transferring from Pittsburgh to USC, Jordan Addison should be in for a massive season in Lincoln Riley’s offense. And with the Ravens having a huge need at receiver, this feels like a match made in Heaven.

27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Garrett Williams, CB, Syracuse

You can never have too many good cornerbacks, and Garrett Williams certainly is a good one. He has the size and length to be a man-to-man cornerback in the NFL, but he’s also very experienced in zone and off-man coverage.

28. Detroit Lions (via Los Angeles Rams): Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

The Lions passed on a quarterback earlier in this draft, but they gamble on Will Levis here at No. 28. He significantly improved after transferring to Kentucky last season, and his fantastic tools make him a worthwhile developmental quarterback behind Jared Goff.

29. Kansas City Chiefs: Antonio Johnson, S, Texas A&M

Antonio Johnson is the new wave of safety in the NFL, as he’s 6’3, 200 pounds but can legitimately cover slot receivers. His incredible length and range might allow him to rise up draft boards during this college football season.

30. Green Bay Packers: Arik Gilbert, TE, Georgia

Is this finally the year the Packers improve their tight end position? Arik Gilbert is one of the riskier prospects in the draft after sitting out the entire 2021 season. But the Packers love to draft former Georgia Bulldogs, and he would make a ton of sense in the middle of the Green Bay offense.

31. Buffalo Bills: Siaki Ika, DT, Baylor

The Bills love to put a ton of draft picks into their defensive line, and Siaki Ika would be a fantastic fit next to Ed Oliver. While he’s 350 pounds, he’s not just a run-stuffer. He can make plays in the backfield and provide a pass rush.

2022 NFL Draft Picks & Mock Draft Results

1JaguarsTravon WalkerWalker✔️
2LionsAidan HutchinsonHutchinson✔️
3PanthersDerek Stingley Jr.Ahmad Gardner
4JetsAhmad GardnerKayvon Thibodeaux
5GiantsKayvon ThibodeauxEvan Neal
6PanthersIkem EkwonuEkwonu✔️
7Giants (via Bears)Evan NealJermaine Johnson II
8FalconsDrake LondonJameson Williams
9Seahawks (via Broncos)Charles CrossCross✔️
10Jets (via Seahawks)Garrett WilsonDrake London
11CommandersChris OlaveGarrett Wilson
12Lions (via Vikings)Jameson WilliamsDerek Stingley Jr.↔️
13Eagles (via Texans)Jordan DavisChris Olave↔️
14RavensKyle HamiltonJordan Davis
15Texans (via Eagles)Kenyon GreenMalik Willis↔️
16Commanders (via Saints)Jahan DotsonKenny Pickett↔️
17ChargersZion JohnsonTrevor Penning
18Titans (via Eagles)Treylon BurksKyle Hamilton↔️
19Saints (via Eagles)Trevor PenningQuay Walker
20SteelersKenny PickettTrent McDuffie
21Chiefs (via Patriots)Trent McDuffieZion Johnson↔️
22Packers (via Raiders)Quay WalkerKenyon Green
23Bills (from Cardinals via Ravens)Kaiir ElamTyler Smith↔️
24CowboysTyler SmithTreylon Burks
25Ravens (via Bills)Tyler LinderbaumDevonte Wyatt↔️
26Jets (via Titans)Jermaine Johnson IIAndrew Booth Jr.↔️
27Jaguars (via Buccaneers)Devin LloydKaiir Elam↔️
28PackersDevonte WyattGeorge Pickens
29Patriots (from Dolphins via 49ers and Chiefs)Cole StrangeJahan Dotson↔️
30ChiefsGeorge KarlaftisDaxton Hill
31BengalsDaxton HillTyler Linderbaum
32Vikings (from Rams via Lions)Lewis CineDesmond Ridder↔️

Read our full 2022 NFL Draft Picks Recap.

2022 NFL Mock Draft Pick Prediction Results (Correct-Incorrect-Traded): 4-16-12

2022 NFL Mock Draft Pick Prediction Results (Team-Position Match): 9-23

2021 NFL Draft Picks & Mock Draft Results

1JaguarsTrevor LawrenceLawrence✔️
2JetsZach WilsonWilson✔️
349ersTrey LanceLance✔️
4FalconsKyle PittsPitts✔️
5BengalsJa'Marr ChaseChase✔️
6Dolphins (from PHI)Jaylen WaddleDeVonta Smith
7LionsPenei SewellSewell (LAC)↔️
8PanthersJaycee HornJustin Fields
9BroncosPatrick Surtain IIMicah Parsons
10EaglesDeVonta SmithJaylen Waddle
11Bears (via NYG)Justin FieldsRashawn Slater (NYG)
12CowboysMicah ParsonsPatrick Surtain II
13ChargersRashawn SlaterKwity Paye (DET)
14Jets (from MIN)Alijah Vera-TuckerChristian Barmore (MIN)
15PatriotsMac JonesJones✔️
16CardinalsZaven CollinsJaycee Horn
17RaidersAlex LeatherwoodChristian Darrisaw
18DolphinsJaelen PhillipsAlijah Vera-Tucker
19WashingtonJamin DavisJeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
20Giants (from CHI)Kadarius ToneyTeven Jenkins (CHI)
21ColtsKwity PayeLiam Eichenberg
22TitansCaleb FarleySamuel Cosmi
23Vikings (from NYJ thru SEA)Christian DarrisawGreg Newsome (NYJ)
24SteelersNajee HarrisTravis Etienne
25Jaguars (from LAR)Travis EtienneTrevon Moehrig
26BrownsGreg Newsome IIAzeez Ojulari
27RavensRashod BatemanCaleb Farley
28SaintsPayton TurnerZaven Collins
29PackersEric StokesElijah Moore
30BillsGreg RousseauRousseau✔️
31Ravens (from KC)Odafe OwehRashod Bateman (Pick 27)↔️
32BuccaneersJoe TryonJaelan Phillips

2021 NFL Mock Draft Pick Prediction Results: 7-23-2

2021 NFL Mock Draft Pick Prediction Results (Team-Position Match): 12-20


Marcus Mosher

Marcus Mosher is an NFL analyst at The Game Day, residing in Erie, PA. He covers the NFL from a betting and fantasy perspective, producing written and video content. Marcus currently hosts multiple football-related podcasts and is a managing editor at USA Today’s Sports Media Group covering the Las Vegas Raiders. He has previously worked at The Athletic and Bleacher Report.

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