After their fourth losing season in five years and with team owner Steve Cohen willing to spend, the New York Mets have been aggressive this offseason.
New York brought Buck Showalter out of a three-year hiatus from managing and made a bevy of notable player moves, landing superstar starting pitcher Max Scherzer as well as Starling Marte, Chris Bassitt, and Mark Canha.
How far the team goes in the postseason will depend on Jacob deGrom returning from a shoulder issue later in the year. A return to form by Francisco Lindor can only help boost their outlook as well.
Mets fans have often seen their hopes extinguished in frustrating fashion and now deGrom will be unavailable for an undetermined period. But Cohen has shown a willingness to spend heavily in his quest to bring the franchise its first championship since 1986 and the Mets still have a good chance to contend.
Will his investments pay off? Let’s explore some 2022 Mets predictions and best bets to find out.
Mets Top Betting Odds 2022
New York Mets MLB betting odds are current as of Friday, April 1, at 5 p.m. ET from Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners: +1400
- Win National League pennant: +700
- Win National League East title: +200
The Mets have the seventh-best odds to win the 2022 World Series. They also have the third-best odds to win the National League and the second-best odds to win the National League East.
New York has not won more than 90 games since 2006 and has made the postseason just three times since 2000. The eventual availability of deGrom and the success of Lindor will be major factors in determining if the team can deliver on the highest expectations.
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New York’s ultimate fortunes will largely hinge on the health of its aces. If both deGrom and Scherzer are available for the stretch run and playoffs, they’ll be the best 1-2 starting duo in baseball when it counts most. Bassitt also projects to be an outstanding No. 3 starter.
Lindor is coming off back-to-back disappointing seasons but finished last year strong, offering hope that the 28-year-old franchise shortstop will rebound in 2022. He is perhaps the team’s most important offensive player in terms of being able to push them to championship contention.
As for the rest of the lineup, Marte and Canha are both 33 years old and will be counted on to produce, while Pete Alonso should remain one of the best power hitters in the league. 2021 All-Star Eduardo Escobar will provide some thump as well, making the offense more dangerous than it’s been in some time.
Mets Futures Bets 2022
Mets To Win World Series (+1400) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Mets have a good shot to win it all this year if everything breaks right, which has rarely been the case for them in this millennium. If Lindor plays up to his potential and deGrom bounces back from his latest setback to return later in the season, a championship is certainly in play.
In addition to Lindor, rebound seasons from hitters such as Jeff McNeil and Dominic Smith could provide a lift as well. If the team’s newcomers make a smooth transition to New York and perform as expected, the Mets may end up battling for their third title in franchise history.
Mets To Win NL Pennant (+700) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
With deGrom, Scherzer, and Bassitt — who’s received Cy Young votes in each of the past two seasons — New York will be tough to beat in a short postseason series if deGrom can make it back to the rotation.
Timely hitting will also be important for New York to make a deep playoff run, and the Mets’ offense should be significantly better after ranking as one of the worst in baseball last year.
With so many veteran bats and arms, plus a capable skipper in Showalter, the Mets have ample postseason experience to carry them through October as they aim for their first pennant since 2015. Health will be the big key.
Mets To Win NL East (+200) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
The loss of deGrom to open the season hurts the Mets’ chances of winning the division. The Phillies have certainly amped up on offense, and the Braves are not going away, either.
But if Scherzer performs to his usual levels and Bassitt fares well in his first year in New York, the Mets can still win the NL East. New York should also score substantially more runs than last year after adding Marte, Canha, and Escobar to its lineup.
The Mets are still a very good bet to make the playoffs. If deGrom does rejoin the rotation for a good chunk of the second half, they can still prevail in what should be a tight race for the division.
Mets Player Prop Bets 2022
Starling Marte To Lead MLB in Stolen Bases (+500) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
If Adalberto Mondesi stays healthy, we would expect him to lead MLB in steals. But that is a major “if.”
Marte is at an age where we might project a slight drop-off from last season’s MLB-high 47 thefts. But Marte’s sprint speed of 28.4 feet per second was outside MLB’s top 100 last season, showing he still knows how to swipe a bag with more than just pure wheels.
With three seasons of 40+ steals on his resume, Marte is a great bet at these odds.
Max Scherzer To Lead MLB in Wins (+800) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Scherzer is a four-time league wins leader, most recently in 2018. He hasn’t shown any real signs of slippage and is still a workhorse at age 37, so the biggest key for him will be getting enough run support and bullpen help from his teammates.
Scherzer won 15 games last year despite spending more than half the season on a dreadful Nationals team. After being traded to the Dodgers, he was a perfect 7-0 in 11 starts. Accordingly, a third 20-win season could be in the cards for Mad Max this year.
Pete Alonso To Lead MLB in Home Runs (+1000) at BetMGM Sportsbook
WAGER: 0.5 Units
Alonso has the second-best odds to lead MLB in homers in 2022, which will likely require him to soar past 40 homers for the second time in his career. Since leading MLB with a rookie-record 53 long balls in 2019, Alonso has finished third in the NL in dingers in each of the past two seasons.
Alonso has done well to trim his strikeout rate every year without sacrificing much power. In fact, he recorded the highest average exit velocity (91.0 mph) and hard-hit rate (47.3%) of his career in 2021, according to Statcast data.
With a better supporting cast, there’s a chance Alonso gets better pitches to hit this year. This is also going to be his age-27 season, which has historically been the age at which most ballplayers peak.