In the National League East, where there are three powerhouse teams that overshadow the rest, the Miami Marlins will continue to be an afterthought. Earning respectability should be the goal for a team that has not won 80 games since the 2010 season.
Don Mattingly is out after seven seasons in which he had a .430 winning percentage. Skip Schumaker, who was the bench coach for St. Louis last season, debuts as an MLB manager in 2023.
The Marlins do have a few players that make it worthy of tuning in to see them. In 2022, Sandy Alcantara became the first Miami pitcher to win the Cy Young Award, an impressive accomplishment when you consider that the Marlins have often trotted out some impressive starting pitchers throughout franchise history.
Alcantara was also one of three Miami players to represent the team as All-Stars, along with Jazz Chisholm and Garrett Cooper. If the latter two can steer clear of significant injuries this season, the top of Miami’s lineup can be quite productive, as Chisholm and Cooper will be joined by 2022 AL batting champ Luis Arraez and free-agent addition Jean Segura.
The rest of the lineup does offer some decent hope for improvement. Miami ranked 28th in runs scored and 27th in OPS last season.
The Marlins ranked 14th in team ERA last season at a 3,87 clip and were 15th in WHIP at 1.27. The starting staff has some promise but was weakened when Pablo Lopez was traded to Minnesota in late January,
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Marlins Top Betting Odds 2023
Marlins MLB betting odds are current as of March 10th at 5 p.m. EST from Caesars Sportsbook.
• World Series Winners: (+10000)
• Win National League pennant: (+5500)
• Win NL East title: (+6000)
• Win Total: Over 75.5 (-105) | Under 75.5 (-115)
The Marlins rank 24th in World Series odds, 10th to win the National League pennant, and fourth in NL East odds. Their season win total is the 23rd-highest in MLB.
Seeing a run to a World Series (+10000) or NL Pennant (+5500) would be more shocking than what the 2014 Kansas City Royals accomplished. Winning the NL East (+6000) would knock the 1969 New York Mets off their perch as the most unlikely team to ever win the division.
Yet the Marlins do have the second-lowest win odds in the NL East and have enough impactful talent to improve on their 69 wins from last season. If promising youngsters Bryan De La Cruz and Jesus Sanchez blossom this season, Miami should coast past the projected win total.
2023 MLB Futures Odds
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Marlins Futures Bets 2023
Below you’ll find the top Marlins futures bets for the 2023 season.
Marlins Win Over 75.5 Games (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1.5 Units
Arraez, acquired in the Lopez trade, will be the new leadoff hitter. Segura, a two-time All-Star, adds further stability to the infield, and even though he will be 33 years old this season, he rounds out a nice trio atop the batting order with Chisholm.
The electric second baseman will be 25 when the season starts, and he had 14 home runs, and 12 stolen bases in 60 games played last season.
Cooper was hitting .299 with a .367 OBP when he was named to the All-Star team, but he dealt with multiple injuries throughout the season, and he can be a consistently steady lineup presence in 2023.
A rebound season from Jorge Soler, who hit .207 with 13 homers in 72 games because of back and hip issues, and breakout years from De La Cruz (.287 xBA for the season, .375 with five September HRs) and Sanchez (13 HRs in 98 games, career .300 hitter in minors) can further boost the offense.
Miami will certainly find ways to keep Jon Berti in the mix after he led MLB with 41 steals in 2022 after getting the bulk of them from June onward.
Alcantara is backed by a respectable starting pitching crew, Jesus Luzardo had a 10.7 K/9 rate, Edward Cabrera is a breakout candidate with a 9.8 career K/9 rate and a 2.82 ERA at all levels, and Trevor Rogers was an All-Star in 2021.
Miami signed Johnny Cueto and he is now the projected No. 2 starter with Lopez gone. He had a 3.35 ERA last season with a 1.23 WHIP, and while he is a likely downgrade from Lopez, Cueto is a decent replacement option.
Marlins Player Prop Bets 2023
Sandy Alcantara to win National League Cy Young Award (+550) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Alcantara can put himself in elite company by winning back-to-back Cy Young Awards. It is undoubtedly an attainable feat, as Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw have all won the award in consecutive seasons in the past decade.
In 2022, Alcantara led MLB with six complete games (more than any other team). 228.2 innings pitched and a .2.28 ERA. He was fourth in strikeouts with 207, and he received all 30 first-place votes in the Cy Young Award voting.
Last season, Alcantara refined his arsenal, as his changeup became his most utilized pitch, and opponents hit .145 against it, according to Baseball Savant. He also had the third-best ground ball rate (53.3 percent) and O-Swing percentage (36.7), according to FantasyPros.
At 27 years old, Alcantara has clearly entered his prime, and he is fully capable of winning the award again. He has the third-best odds among NL pitchers.
How to Bet Marlins Moneylines
Moneyline bets are a simple way of wagering on MLB games. All you need to do is pick the winner of the game, and you’ll win your bet.
The odds are quite easy to understand, too. For example, if the Marlins are a (-200) favorite, you would have to bet $20 to win $10. If they’re a (+200) underdog, you can win $20 off a $10 bet.
These odds will change every day depending upon the Marlins’ matchup, so there’s always an opportunity for value every step of the way.
How to Bet Marlins Run Line
Run Line betting is another common way to bet on MLB games, and you’re probably already familiar with it. You may know it as how much a team is “picked by" to win.
If the Marlins are 1.5 run favorites over the Nationals, the Run Line would look something like this: Marlins -1.5 (-200) vs Nationals +1.5 (+200).
In this scenario, the Marlins would have to win by more than one run to cash your bet.
How to Bet Marlins Over/Unders
If you’re unsure about the Marlins’ moneyline or run line on a given day, you can still place a bet on the Over/Under — or total — in the matchup.
Sportsbooks will set a line for how many combined runs they project will be scored. From there, you can bet on the Over or Under.
For example, if you believe in the Marlins’ offense and think it’ll be a high-scoring game, then you’ll want to take the Over. However, if it’s supposed to be more of a pitcher’s duel, you should go with the Under.