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Marlins Odds & Predictions | 2022 MLB Playoff Futures & Award Props

Posted: Apr 1, 2022Last updated: Apr 1, 2022

The Miami Marlins crashed back to earth after posting a winning record during the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, going 67-95 and finishing fourth in the NL East standings. They had yet another full season below 70 wins despite playing in one of the weaker divisions in baseball last year.

The franchise has promising young pitching and is headed in the right direction despite Derek Jeter’s departure from ownership, but has not had a true winning season since 2009. How much longer will the rebuild take?

The 2022 Marlins should be better, but how much better is the million-dollar question for fans and bettors alike.

Marlins Top Betting Odds 2022

Miami Marlins MLB betting odds are current as of April 1, 2022, at Caesars Sportsbook.

  • World Series Winners (+7500)
  • Win National League pennant (+3500)
  • Win National League East title (+1600)
  • 2022 Win Total Over/Under: 76.5 (-110)

Miami is a seriously unserious team despite what its recent transactions may suggest. Jorge Soler and Avisail Garcia are good players, but neither moves the needle for a roster desperately in need of star talent.

Expecting a pennant, let alone a World Series championship, would be extremely lofty even with aggressive inseason moves.

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Marlins Futures Bets 2022

Over 76.5 Wins (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 2.5 Units

The Marlins have one of their best units in a long while and should be able to creep up around 80 wins. They are already dealing with a few volatile players in Jesus Aguilar and Garrett Cooper, but they are healthy as of now and should provide some modicum of value.

Miami’s biggest strength is its insane starting pitching, which would make most World Series contenders jealous. All five starters are in their 20s and have the potential to be excellent this season if they stay healthy.

Despite a thin lineup and questionable bullpen, the Marlins’ talented starters will keep them in games and improve the team’s record considerably, making the Over our MLB bet of the day.

Marlins To NOT Make Playoffs (-320) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 5 Units

While the Marlins should be better, they are not making the postseason in a stacked NL. They play in a tough division with three potential playoff teams and will also have to compete with the Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers, and St. Louis Cardinals.

All of those teams are stronger than Miami on paper and appear more likely to make the postseason. Even if several of them fall flat, the Marlins would still likely need to win 90 games to make the playoffs, which is too big of a leap for such a flawed team.

Miami is still a work-in-progress and doesn’t look ready to contend for a postseason berth just yet.

Marlins Player Prop Bets 2022

Sandy Alcantara To Lead MLB In Strikeouts (+4000) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.25 Units

Alcantara isn’t a dominant strikeout pitcher per se, but sheer volume alone makes him a contender for this. He’s a true workhorse and was one of just four pitchers to exceed 200 innings last year, which helped him amass 201 strikeouts.

His command also keeps getting better, as his walk rate has improved every year of his career and his strikeout rate has increased in each of the past two seasons as well. If those trends continue, he should rank near the top of the league in punchouts.

Alcantara is only 26 and regularly tops 98 mph with his fastball, so leading MLB in whiffs is a feasible outcome for him this year.

Edward Cabrera To Win NL Rookie Of The Year (+1800) at Caesars Sportsbook

WAGER: 0.25 Units

Despite a tumultuous debut in which he allowed 17 earned runs and 19 walks in 26 1/3 innings last year, Cabrera had a 9.6 K/9 and is still one of the game’s most promising pitchers. He’s only going to be 24 this year and should benefit from having a full offseason to make adjustments.

Cabrera doesn’t have a rotation spot at the moment, but given the natural volatility of pitcher health one could open up as soon as tomorrow. Pablo Lopez has a history of shoulder issues, Elieser Hernandez missed most of last season, and Jesus Luzardo didn’t pitch more than five innings in a single game throughout his minor league career due to his injury risk.

There will be innings available for Cabrera — he just needs to make the most of them.


Kev Mahserejian

Kev Mahserejian is an NFL/NBA/MLB analyst at The Game Day, residing in Los Angeles, CA. He graduated from the University of Southern California in 2017 and began creating sports content soon after. Kev currently writes fantasy and betting pieces while also hosting his podcast The Operating Room with various guests from the sports industry to discuss topics primarily regarding fantasy. He also writes for RotoBaller and is quite active on his Twitter @RotoSurgeon.

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