The Toronto Blue Jays enter the 2023 MLB season with World Series aspirations. They’ve made some changes to their roster to help create a more balanced team.
The Jays added two lefty outfielders to their righty-heavy lineup in Daulton Varsho and Kevin Kiermaier. Varsho is a budding star who was worth 4.5 WAR last year, while Kiermaier adds a gold glove to the outfield.
They’ve let go of two right-handed hitters in Teoscar Hernández and Lourdes Gurriel, bringing in some bullpen help in Erik Swanson while bolstering the rotation by replacing Ross Stripling with Chris Bassitt.
Toronto has the pieces in place for a World Series run, making them an ideal target for MLB futures bets. With that in mind, let’s take a look at the Blue Jays’ top betting odds for 2023.
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Blue Jays Top Betting Odds 2023
Blue Jays MLB betting odds are current as of Mar. 7 at 3 p.m. EST from Caesars Sportsbook.
- World Series Winners: (+1400)
- Win American League pennant: (+650)
- Win AL East title: (+190)
- Win Total: Over 92 (-110) | Under 92 (-110)
The Blue Jays rank T-7th in World Series, 3rd in the American League pennant, and 2nd in AL East odds. Their season win total is the seventh-highest in MLB.
At first glance, we see some strong value in taking the Jays to either win the World Series (+1400) or the American League pennant (+650). Wagering on them to win the AL East is also a solid bet at +190 odds.
However, I would avoid touching their season win total, as 92 wins is a high bar. Injuries can derail a season, so we don’t want to tie up our bankroll for several months in a futures wager at -110 odds.
The goal here is to find value on a pick with an attainable result, giving us a better return on investment.
2023 MLB Futures Odds
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This widget will update with more bets as the offseason progresses.
Blue Jays Futures Bets 2023
Below you’ll find the top Blue Jays futures bets for the 2023 season.
Blue Jays To Win World Series (+1400) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Blue Jays are a well-rounded team that can contend for a World Series this season.
Their offense is among the best in baseball. Last year, they posted a 118 wRC+ (2nd), .168 ISO (T-8th), and 20.2 K% (5th). Here we have a lineup that is filled with power but strikes out at a low rate.
The main issue on offense was that there were too many righties, but the team helped address that problem by adding Varsho and Kiermaier.
The starting rotation has the potential to improve this year.
Kevin Gausman and Alek Man0ah are a strong duo at the top. The addition of Bassitt gives them a more reliable innings-eater than Stripling, who had a great year last season but still only went 134.1 innings (career-high).
The x-factor here is Jose Berrios, who had a career-worst 5.23 ERA and 1.42 WHIP after turning in five consecutive seasons of sub-4.00 ERA and a WHIP that ranged from 1.06 to 1.32.
We’re likely to see a bounce-back from Berrios. Add in Swanson to the bullpen, and you have a team that has patched up some of its holes.
That makes the Jays a terrific value play to win the World Series.
Blue Jays To Win AL Pennant (+650) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
If you’re not confident that the Jays can win the championship but still like them to go on a deep run, take them to win the AL Pennant.
Their main threats are the Houston Astros, New York Yankees, and Seattle Mariners.
The good news for the Jays is that the Astros have gotten a bit worse following the loss of last year’s AL Cy Young winner in Justin Verlander.
While the Yankees have certainly improved with the addition of Carlos Rodón to their starting rotation, this team was carried by Aaron Judge‘s historic AL MVP season.
It’s obviously difficult to repeat that type of dominance, so we could see some regression.
The Mariners are a budding powerhouse flush with young talents like Julio Rodríguez, along with a strong rotation that features Luis Castillo, Robbie Ray, Logan Gilbert, and George Kirby.
However, this team is young and may be a year away from reaching its ceiling.
Meanwhile, you can argue that the Jays have underachieved in the last two seasons. We could see it all come together following their off-season moves.
Blue Jays To Win AL East (+190) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
The Jays and Yankees are separated by only half a win in the season wins total market. That highlights how close this AL East race projects to be in 2023.
We’ve already discussed how the Yankees’ offense may regress a bit following Judge’s career year.
On the other hand, the Jays may improve on offense, as Vlad Jr. and Bo Bichette are coming off down seasons. This offense can look scary if both of these hitters can take their games to the next level.
When you look at their other opponents, you see that there’s a clear tier break within this division.
The Rays are always a good team because of their strong pitching. However, there’s may not enough offense here.
Tampa Bay needs Wander Franco to take a big step in his development to help them contend for the division.
The Orioles are on the right track, stacked with young talents like Adley Rutschman, but they’re still in the final stages of their rebuild.
The Red Sox just lost Xander Bogaerts to the San Diego Padres. This looks like a team in transition.
We just need the Jays to edge out the Yankees, which looks like a reasonable outcome.
Blue Jays Player Prop Bets 2023
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Regular Season Home Run Leader (+1000) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Vlad Jr. is currently second in odds to lead the league in home runs. He’s coming off a disappointing season, but he was still able to hit 32 homers on the year.
Guerrero is only one year removed from hitting 48 home runs, so he’s definitely in play for this prop.
The good news with Vlad Jr. is that he makes a lot of hard contact, ranking in the 96th percentile in hard-hit rate and 99th percentile in maximum exit velocity.
He also doesn’t strike out often, as evidenced by his 16.4 K% in 2022. This is a good combination because he’s making a lot of contact while striking out at a low rate.
However, the problem here is that he hits too many ground balls, posting a 52.1% rate in 2022. For some context, that ranked as the seventh-highest rate among qualified hitters.
This is because his launch angle was only 4.3 degrees. The only hitters with lower launch angles were Isiah Kiner-Falefa, Christian Yelich, and DJ LeMahieu.
What we need is Vlad to start putting it in their air more, as he did in his 48-homer season, where his launch angle was at 9.4 degrees.
If he can do that, he’s firmly in play to lead the league in homers.
Kevin Gausman to win AL Cy Young (+1800) at Caesars Sportsbook
WAGER: 1 Unit
Despite trailing teammate Manoah in odds for this award, I prefer rolling with Gausman.
Check out where he ranked among qualifying starters last season:
- 28.3 K% (8th)
- 3.9 BB% (3rd)
- 24.4 K-BB% (5th)
- 2.94 SIERA (7th)
- 15.5 SwStr% (T-1st)
- 5.7 WAR (T-4th)
Here we have a starter who has the perfect combination of what you look for in an ace. He’s got swing-and-miss stuff with pinpoint control. He can also pitch deep into games, throwing 174.2 innings last year.
If we see Gausman start to approach the 200-inning threshold this season, he’ll have enough volume stats (strikeouts and wins) along with the ratios (ERA and WHIP) to contend for this award.
His skill set and production make him absolutely worth a look at +1800 odds, which ranks 11th in the American League. Gausman to win the Cy Young is the best value play on the board.
How to Bet Blue Jays Moneylines
Moneyline bets are a simple way of wagering on MLB games. All you need to do is pick the winner of the game, and you’ll win your bet.
The odds are quite easy to understand, too. For example, if the Blue Jays are a (-200) favorite, you would have to bet $20 to win $10. If they’re a (+200) underdog, you can win $20 off a $10 bet.
These odds will change every day depending upon the Blue Jays’ matchup, so there’s always an opportunity for value every step of the way.
How to Bet Blue Jays Run Line
Run Line betting is another common way to bet on MLB games, and you’re probably already familiar with it. You may know it as how much a team is “picked by" to win.
If the Blue Jays are 1.5 run favorites over the Royals, the Run Line would look something like this: Blue Jays -1.5 (-200) vs Royals +1.5 (+200).
In this scenario, the Blue Jays would have to win by more than one run to cash your bet.
How to Bet Blue Jays Over/Unders
If you’re unsure about the Blue Jays’ moneyline or run line on a given day, you can still place a bet on the Over/Under — or total — in the matchup.
Sportsbooks will set a line for how many combined runs they project will be scored. From there, you can bet on the Over or Under.
For example, if you believe in the Blue Jays’ offense and think it’ll be a high-scoring game, then you’ll want to take the Over. However, if it’s supposed to be more of a pitcher’s duel, you should go with the Under.