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Belmont Stakes Odds & Predictions 2023

Last Updated: Jun 8, 2023

Although there will be no Triple Crown winner in 2023, the Belmont Stakes is still a fascinating race ripe with storylines and betting potential.

This nine-horse field features a slew of horses that entered the Derby with high hopes, hoping their racing styles translate to the mammoth mile-and-a-half distance. Forte, the Derby favorite before it was scratched prior to the race, returns. As do Tapit Trice and Angel of Empire, two horses that garnered considerable interest in the same race.

With the field set and the odds board established, here is a look at Belmont Stakes, including our favorite bets from the race.

Belmont Stakes Odds & Position Draws

Here’s how Tuesday’s position draw aligned the horses for the final Triple Crown leg:

POSHorse NameOdds To WinJockeyTrainer
01Tapit Shoes20/1Jose L. OrtizBrad H. Cox
02Tapit Trice3/1Luis SaezTodd A. Pletcher
03Arcangelo8/1Javier CastellanoJena Antonucci
04National Treasure5/1John VelazquezBob Baffert
05Il Miracolo30/1Marcos MenesesAntonio Sano
06Forte5/2Todd PletcherIrad Ortiz
07Hit Show10/1Manny FrancoBrad Cox
08Angel Of Empire7/2Flavien PratBrad Cox
09Red Route One15/1Joel RosarioSteve Asmussen

Horse racing odds for the final leg of the Triple Crown are current as of June 6 at 5 p.m. ET at DRF Sportsbook.

With only nine horses in the field and a long distance to travel, post position is much less of a factor in this race. Instead, however, we can zero in on a field that features a slew of horses hoping to rebound.

The distance here, of course, is the key factor. A mile-and-a-half is a massive step up for all horses in this race, and handicapping that element is where one should begin.

Belmont Stakes Win/Place/Show Predictions

With that information in mind, here are my top bets to finish first, second, and third at Belmont:

WIN Belmont: (8) Angel of Empire

The third-place finish in the Derby was impressive, and the horse seems to want to run further. In this race, that style should pay dividends. The 104 Beyer Speed Figure in the Derby, also best in this race, should help as well.

The horse is seasoned and conditioned to run off the pace. Not running in the Preakness means Angel of Empire should be fresh. The running style aligns perfectly for this long trek and our horse racing bet of the day.

PLACE Belmont: (2) Tapit Trice

My pick to win the Kentucky Derby never fired in that race. Tapit Trice finished seventh overall and never came close to contending. In a field as large as that race, however, weird results happen.

Up until the Derby, Tapit Trice had won four consecutive races and improved its Beyer Speed Figure each time. Also, it looks plenty comfortable riding long distances.

Pletcher is too good of a trainer to let this horse fire another blank. It will contend and is poised for a massive rebound.

SHOW Belmont: (6) Forte

Just what version of the horse will we see? The Derby chalk is back after being ruled out with an injury, and recent workouts would indicate the horse should be ready to go.

When right, Forte is one of the best three-year-olds in the world but the horse hasn’t run since April 23, and it will attempt to run a mile-and-a-half in its first race back. I expect Forte to compete for a win, although it ultimately comes up just short.

Read more about our favorite Belmont Stakes betting apps where you can wager on action at The Championship Track.

Belmont Stakes Sleeper To Win

(3) Arcangelo

Make no mistake about it; this isn’t a deep sleeper. At 8/1, however, Arcangelo has value as the fifth selection on the board.

With only one Grade 3 race on the resume, experience is still lacking. But what the horse lacks in experience it makes up for in speed. Specifically, we saw a huge jump in performance during its last race.

A Belmont win might be a little ambitious but the horse has ability, and it wouldn’t be shocking at all if it contends.

Belmont Stakes Best Bets

Note: Lines will change frequently from the morning lines due to activity at your online sportsbook. Make these bets regardless of odds.

Win/Place/Show: (8) Angel of Empire

I love this horse in this spot. As such, I am betting it to win, betting it to place, and betting it to show.

The Kentucky Derby finish is a piece of the puzzle, but it’s not everything. The horse was seemingly constructed to run this race and distance well, and I believe it will.

Exacta Box: (8) Angel of Empire + (2) Tapit Trice + (6) Forte + (3) Arcangelo

This is not a break-the-bank wager. In fact, if all three favorites come in, it could lose money.

But I like these horses enough that I will dabble with some exotics, starting with an exacta. We’re grouping four talented horses together and hoping they fill two spots.

Trifecta Box: (8) Angel of Empire + (2) Tapit Trice + (6) Forte + (3) Arcangelo

We’re using the same horses in a different bet, this time hoping that three of the four horses finish above all others.

All four are capable of running this distance and race well. It starts with Angel of Empire finishing first, and then we go from there.

Belmont Park Track Notes & Tips

Beware the Straightaway

The race is long, and it feels like the finish line will never come. Well, that is if your horse is on the lead when they come around the turn.

The distance of this race is never more prevalent than it is down the back stretch. Be patient when it arrives.

Pletcher’s Place

Since 2013, Todd Pletcher has trained three horses that have won this race. That includes the 2022 winner, Mo Donegal.

Pletcher has two live horses here in Tapit Trice and Forte, and both could obviously be factors.

Author

Adam Kramer

Adam Kramer is an NFL, college football, and gambling analyst for The Game Day. While college football has long been his calling, he’s also covered sports such as boxing, horse racing, and baseball at The Game Day and in other places. He’s also written for Bleacher Report, VSiN, and various other outlets over the past decade-plus.

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