World Cup Golden Boot Odds & Predictions 2022

Last Updated: Dec 16, 2022

The Golden Boot race at the World Cup can be exciting and unpredictable. Not only does the winner need to perform at a high level, but their team must also advance deep enough into the tournament to provide enough scoring opportunities.

Superstars like 2018 golden boot winner Harry Kane, along with Neymar, Kylian Mbappé, and Lionel Messi were expected to grab headlines.

However, the contest has come down to a head-to-head battle between Messi and Mbappe in the World Cup final.

Below are the betting odds for who will lead this year’s World Cup in scoring, but who are the best bets to hoist the tournament’s golden boot?

World Cup Golden Boot Winner Odds

World Cup top goalscorer lines for the top favorites are current as of Thursday, Dec. 15, at 9 a.m. EST on FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Lionel Messi, Argentina (-135)
  • Kylian Mbappe, France (+130)
  • Oliver Giroud, France (+1800)
  • Julian Alvarez (+1800)

World Cup betting around the top goalscorer should account for the squad’s ability to reach the deep rounds of the tournament; the percentage of chances and time on the pitch; the squad’s high-danger scoring chances; and much more.

World Cup Golden Boot Prediction

Kylian Mbappe, France (+130)

WAGER: 1 unit

Mbappe and Messi are tied heading into the World Cup final with five goals each. However, Messi has the edge due to controlling the tie-breaker with three assists.

I am backing Mbappe to put on a show in the final and claim the Golden Boot outright with a French victory over Argentina.


Matt Williams

Matt Williams is the Lead MLB Editor for The Game Day, formerly of The Athletic and NBC Sports. Matt is the former host of the Turn Two Podcast and champion of both Tout Wars and the Kings Classic fantasy expert leagues. He has been nominated for an FSWA award and is known for his analytical breakdown threads on Twitter.

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