The Week 10 edition of Sunday Night Football will see a matchup of AFC playoff contenders, as the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (6-3).
Pittsburgh is coming off a huge win against the Indianapolis Colts, while the Chargers have won two in a row, knocking off the Minnesota Vikings and Tennessee Titans.
Below, I’ll dive into my SNF predictions for this Week 10 matchup.
Updated SNF Odds Comparison
The Chargers are three-point home favorites, which reflects how the market doesn’t view much of a home-field advantage here, especially against a fanbase that travels well, like the Steelers. The Over/Under currently sits at 45.5 points.
All NFL odds used for these Sunday Night Football predictions are current as of Friday, Nov. 7, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
SNF Implied Scores & Team Totals
Chargers 24.25, Steelers 21.25
Oddsmakers expect the Chargers to prevail over the Steelers by a field-goal margin on Sunday night.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Sunday Night Football Predictions
SNF Score Prediction: Chargers 27, Steelers 21
The Steelers are coming off an impressive win over a Colts team that was 7-1 coming into that game, but they were outgained 368 to 225 in total yards in that game.
It was your classic Steelers win in the Mike Tomlin era, where they won the turnover battle, and that was ultimately the difference in the outcome.
With that in mind, I lean towards the Chargers in this game. Justin Herbert is playing at an MVP-level right now, throwing 18 touchdowns with eight interceptions as he carries an offense that struggles to run the football.
Pittsburgh just recently got torched through the air by Jordan Love, who went off for 360 yards and three touchdowns back in Week 8.
I’m betting on something similar happening in this one, resulting in a Chargers win.
Sunday Night Football Bet Tips
Keep these bet tips and trends in mind before making your Sunday Night Football bets.
- The Steelers are 4-4 against the spread this season, while the Chargers are 3-5-1.
- Pittsburgh’s games are 5-3 to the Over. The Over is 5-4 in Los Angeles’ contests.
- The Steelers rank 27th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends this year.
Sunday Night Football Best Bets
SNF Over/Under Pick: Steelers @ Chargers Over 45.5 Points (-105)
These two teams are a combined 10-7 to the Over this season. We’re getting a reasonable bar at 45.5 points, where a 27-20 type of game would do it for us.
The Steelers have gone Over this number in three consecutive games, including 64, 70, and 47 points during that span. The Chargers have eclipsed this number in four straight, with 56, 62, 47, and 47 points during that stretch.
Considering these trends, we’ll ride with the Over in this spot.
SNF Pick Against the Spread: Chargers -3 (-105) vs Steelers
I’m leaning towards the Chargers here because we’re getting a short number on them in a home game.
We’ve seen the Steelers struggle against good quarterbacks. Just look at what Jordan Love did against them only a couple of weeks ago.
The edge with Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers, combined with home-field advantage, makes me want to target the Chargers in this one.
I’m laying the points with the home team as my best NFL bet today.
Sunday Night Football Prop Bet
SNF Prop Bet: Oronde Gadsden: Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
The Chargers’ rookie tight end has been a revelation in the last few games.
Oronde Gadsden has racked up 68, 77, 164, and 68 yards in his last four. That’s good news against the Steelers, who rank 27th in receiving yards allowed to tight ends.
We just recently saw Tucker Kraft go off for 143 yards against the Steelers only two weeks ago.
Combine this matchup with Gadsden’s recent performance, and you have to like the Over here.
Sunday Night Football Parlay
Best SNF Same-Game Parlay (+180)
- Justin Herbert: Over 287.5 Passing+Rushing Yards (-112)
- Quentin Johnston: Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
For my SNF parlay picks, I’m taking Justin Herbert to go Over 287.5 passing+rushing yards and pairing that with Quentin Johnston Over 44.5 receiving yards.
Herbert has been on quite a roll on the ground, racking up 57, 62, and 31 yards in his last three. He’s also thrown for 250+ yards in three of those four games. On top of that, the Steelers rank 29th in passing yards allowed, so it’s a good spot.
I’ll add Quentin Johnston because 44.5 receiving yards is a low bar for him, as he’s averaging 57.5 per game. Johnston has gone Over this number in five of seven games.
The Steelers are allowing the most receiving yards to wideouts this season, so it’s a great matchup.
Back these three plays for your Week 10 Sunday Night Football parlay.
