Fresh off their bye week and a thrilling win over the Kansas City Chiefs, the Denver Broncos (9-2) put their eight-game winning streak on the line on Sunday Night Football when they visit the Washington Commanders (3-8).
The Broncos currently lead the AFC West, but can’t afford to get tripped up with several tough games down the stretch. Meanwhile, the Commanders are heading in the opposite direction, losing six in a row in what has become a lost season.
Despite the unbalanced matchup on paper, let’s take a look at some of my best bets and SNF predictions for Week 13.
Updated SNF Odds Comparison
It should not come as a surprise that the Broncos are road favorites in this game. However, thanks to a series of close wins during their eight-game streak, they are favored by less than a touchdown.
Oddsmakers have Denver’s moneyline as a modest -265 and Washington’s moneyline at +215, with the over/under set at 43.5 points.
All NFL odds referenced for these SNF Week 13 predictions are current as of Thursday, Nov. 27, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
SNF Implied Scores & Team Totals
Broncos 24.5, Commanders 19
In three of their last four games, the Commanders have scored 14 points or fewer, so oddsmakers believe it’ll be another low-scoring game for them against Denver’s elite defense.
They also believe that Denver’s sluggish offense can take advantage of a Washington defense that has given up at least 25 points five times during the team’s six-game losing streak.
Sportsbook Play of the Day
Sunday Night Football Predictions
SNF Score Prediction: Broncos 24, Commanders 10
Even if the Broncos can’t get their offense going, they should be able to manage a comfortable victory for once.
While Jayden Daniels has returned to practice, the Commanders will likely stick with Marcus Mariota for at least one more week. In Mariota’s last three starts, the Commanders have averaged just 14 points per game, and that’s unlikely to improve against a defense giving up just 17.5 points per game.
Of course, the Broncos aren’t likely to run rampant against the Commanders. Bo Nix has been wildly inconsistent this season, especially on the road, where the Broncos are averaging just 21.8 points per game.
Even though the Commanders have allowed at least 28 points in four of their last five games, it’ll take Denver time to find a groove and put the game out of reach.
Sunday Night Football Bet Tips
Keep these Sunday Night Football bet tips and trends in mind before making your Broncos vs Commanders best bets.
- The Commanders have lost six in a row, failing to cover the spread in all six games.
- Washington is 1-7 against the spread as an underdog.
- The Broncos have only covered the spread twice in seven games as a favorite this season.
Sunday Night Football Best Bets
SNF Over/Under Pick: Broncos @ Commanders Under 43.5 Points (-110)
The Broncos have stayed under the point total better than any team in the NFL this season.
They’ve been winning games behind an elite defense, which explains why six of the eight games during their current winning streak have stayed under.
With the Commanders playing a backup quarterback and the Denver offense struggling to find consistency, both defenses should have a good game this week.
Take the Under as one of your best NFL bets today.
SNF Pick Against the Spread: Broncos -5.5 (-110) @ Commanders
It’s fair to be skeptical of the Broncos, who have nine wins on the season but only three wins that have come by more than four points.
But the Commanders also have four losses of 21 points or more in their last five games. They’ve struggled to keep pace with good teams, so even if the Broncos have some flaws, look for Denver to cover, especially after having a bye week to find some answers.
Sunday Night Football Prop Bet
SNF Prop Bet: Troy Franklin Over 4.5 Receptions (+124)
The consistent attention that Franklin has received in recent weeks makes him an ideal target for a bet like this with plus-money odds.
While he’s only made five or more catches twice in his last four games, Franklin has garnered at least eight targets in five straight games.
With the Commanders ranking toward the bottom in most defensive passing categories, Bo Nix should find success when he looks in Franklin’s direction, which is why this bet is worth a shot.
Sunday Night Football Parlay
Best SNF Same-Game Parlay (+490)
- Broncos -5.5 (-110)
- Commanders: Under 20.5 Points (-162)
- Courtland Sutton: Anytime TD (+165)
Even on the road, the Denver defense should dominate this game and give the Broncos a comfortable win. They’ve held three straight opponents below 20 points, so if the Chiefs couldn’t top that mark, Marcus Mariota and the Commanders aren’t likely to do so either.
Meanwhile, the Washington defense has conceded far more passing touchdowns than rushing touchdowns on the season, which is why I decided to close out my best Week 13 SNF parlay with a touchdown from Denver’s best receiver.
